PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Estrela vs Nacional Prediction & Stats

Date: 07/02/2027
Time: 16:00
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
44%
30%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nacional win
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L12L23L00D22D22D22D32WA·NAC04/04H·SPO11/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·MOR02/05H·FAM11/05A·SC 16/05H·SPO08/08A·ALV15/08A·NAC30/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.901.291.501.382.25
vs Stronger (11)1.182.271.201.601.172.83
vs Similar (19)1.421.681.331.441.501.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W20W12L02L20W22D20W01L23LA·BEN12/04H·ALV18/04A·TON25/04H·AVS02/05A·SAN11/05H·GUI16/05A·SAN10/08H·EST16/08A·GUI23/08H·EST30/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.471.070.871.73
vs Stronger (13)0.691.460.831.000.571.86
vs Similar (17)1.531.351.891.111.121.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.5%
Under 2.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
Estrela goals ↓
Nacional goals →
01234
010%7.9%4.7%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.2%0.6%
28.6%8.9%4.5%1.6%0.4%
34.0%4.1%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Nacional goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Estrela is 0.12 points worse than Nacional in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Estrela is 0.03 goals better than Nacional in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Estrela is 0.32 goals worse than Nacional in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Estrela is 0.8 percentage points better than Nacional in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 2.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

170342541731041634413657298135671711A·NACA·ALVH·SPOA·SC H·FAMA·MORH·FC A·AROH·SPOA·NAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

80124322613144331531343747486647A·NACA·ALVH·SPOA·SC H·FAMA·MORH·FC A·AROH·SPOA·NAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.1

⚠️ Fouls

36091212101314913169181815151115141681421222722253630263022A·NACA·ALVH·SPOA·SC H·FAMA·MORH·FC A·AROH·SPOA·NAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

For 4.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1604334744426648678481157711881014151216H·ESTA·GUIH·ESTA·SANH·GUIA·SANH·AVSA·TONH·ALVA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

70211225224321521221513374737336H·ESTA·GUIH·ESTA·SANH·GUIA·SANH·AVSA·TONH·ALVA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

310129818131314151713161081415161515181321262629302622313031H·ESTA·GUIH·ESTA·SANH·GUIA·SANH·AVSA·TONH·ALVA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.48.73.53.33.729.029.328.6
vs Stronger (18)9.611.48.23.12.63.428.126.829.2
vs Similar (32)8.78.49.03.83.63.929.430.628.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%33%41%52%50%54%97%100%94%
% under line62%67%59%48%50%46%3%0%6%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.89.83.44.02.826.526.027.0
vs Stronger (21)10.211.39.32.93.22.627.527.527.6
vs Similar (28)10.310.410.13.94.73.125.825.126.6
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line62%69%56%42%52%32%88%88%88%
% under line38%31%44%58%48%68%12%12%12%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Rio Ave
10.4
Nacional
10.2
Benfica
10.1
Sporting CP
9.8
Casa Pia
9.6
Academico Viseu
9.5
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estoril
9.0
Santa Clara
9.0
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
8.9
FC Porto
8.9
Arouca
8.9
Guimaraes
8.5
Maritimo
8.1
SC Braga
8.1
Moreirense
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
5.9
Maritimo
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.8
Casa Pia
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.5
Famalicao
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Guimaraes
5.2
Moreirense
5.2
FC Porto
5.2
Sporting CP
5.1
Benfica
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.0
Santa Clara
30.1
Estrela
29.9
Moreirense
29.5
Casa Pia
29.2
Guimaraes
28.9
GIL Vicente
27.9
Rio Ave
27.0
Nacional
26.9
Estoril
26.7
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
26.1
Arouca
26.0
Benfica
25.8
Academico Viseu
25.3
SC Braga
24.7
Maritimo
24.6
Alverca
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.5%
Under 3.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Estrela or Draw
73.6%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
26%
covers Estrela + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela or Nacional
70.5%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
26%
covers Estrela + Nacional
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Nacional
55.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
26%
covers Draw + Nacional
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Estrela over/under 0.5
Over
75.2%
Under
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5
Over
40.6%
Under
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5
Over
64.1%
Under
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Estrela, so a minus line means Estrela give that many goals of a start and Nacional receive them. At -1, Estrela must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Estrela win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Estrela)
Estrela -2
8.2%
Draw -2
13.6%
Nacional +2
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Estrela)
Estrela -1
21.7%
Draw -1
22.4%
Nacional +1
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Estrela)
Estrela +1
73.6%
Draw +1
16.1%
Nacional -1
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Estrela)
Estrela +2
89.7%
Draw +2
7.3%
Nacional -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D02L21W00D11D00D00D11DA·NAC04/04H·SPO11/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·MOR02/05H·FAM11/05A·SC 16/05H·SPO08/08A·ALV15/08A·NAC30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.500.500.620.88
vs Stronger (11)0.451.000.200.600.671.33
vs Similar (19)0.630.530.670.440.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D20W11D01L00D22D00D01L11DA·BEN12/04H·ALV18/04A·TON25/04H·AVS02/05A·SAN11/05H·GUI16/05A·SAN10/08H·EST16/08A·GUI23/08H·EST30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.400.470.400.87
vs Stronger (13)0.000.620.000.330.000.86
vs Similar (17)0.710.710.670.560.750.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L10W02L00D11D22D22D21WA·NAC04/04H·SPO11/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·MOR02/05H·FAM11/05A·SC 16/05H·SPO08/08A·ALV15/08A·NAC30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.200.791.000.751.38
vs Stronger (11)0.731.271.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (19)0.791.160.671.000.901.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D01L01L20W00D20W00D12LA·BEN12/04H·ALV18/04A·TON25/04H·AVS02/05A·SAN11/05H·GUI16/05A·SAN10/08H·EST16/08A·GUI23/08H·EST30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.731.070.600.470.87
vs Stronger (13)0.690.850.830.670.571.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.651.220.560.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.598.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.9%-------
Under 5.596.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.7%-------
Over 19.5 fouls94.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals91.5%-------
Under 4.590.2%-------
Home +2 handicap89.7%-------
Over 21.5 fouls87.9%-------
Over 2.5 cards85.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals83.5%-------
Away +2 handicap78.3%-------
Over 23.5 fouls77.8%-------
Under 3.577.5%-------
Under 11.5 corners76.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.2%-------
Home or Draw73.6%-------
Home +1 handicap73.6%-------
Away under 1.5 goals72.7%-------
Over 1.570.8%-------
Home or Away70.5%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Antonetti100%
Abraham Marcus67%
Ianis Stoica33%
Bénito33%
Rafa Soares0%
Luan Patrick0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Max Scholze0%
Robinho0%
Eddy Doué0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eddy Doué67%
Luan Patrick33%
Leandro Antonetti33%
Bénito33%
Rafa Soares0%
Ianis Stoica0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Max Scholze0%
Robinho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafa Soares33%
Ianis Stoica33%
Robinho33%
Eddy Doué33%
Luan Patrick0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Bénito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leandro Antonetti67%
Rafa Soares0%
Ianis Stoica0%
Luan Patrick0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Max Scholze0%
Robinho0%
Bénito0%
Eddy Doué0%
Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liziero25%
Léo Santos25%
Wesley Gasolina25%
Miguel Baeza25%
Ze Vitor25%
Pablo Messias Cardozo25%
Filipe Soares0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Matheus Dias0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filipe Soares50%
Wesley Gasolina25%
Matheus Dias25%
Ze Vitor25%
Daniel Júnior25%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
Pablo Messias Cardozo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liziero25%
Léo Santos25%
Daniel Júnior25%
Filipe Soares0%
Wesley Gasolina0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Matheus Dias0%
Ze Vitor0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
Pablo Messias Cardozo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Léo Santos25%
Liziero0%
Filipe Soares0%
Wesley Gasolina0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Matheus Dias0%
Ze Vitor0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
Pablo Messias Cardozo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Estrela and Nacional have a similar squad value (both €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Estrela and Nacional have a similar attack value (both €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Estrela's midfield is €2m less valuable than Nacional's (€3m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Estrela's defence is €3m more valuable than Nacional's (€11m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
EST wins
1
Draws
2
NAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Nacional · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ANacional Vs EST2-3
04/04/26ANacional Vs EST2-0
09/11/25HEST Vs Nacional1-1
06/04/25ANacional Vs EST0-1
10/11/24HEST Vs Nacional2-0
21/05/23HEST Vs Nacional0-1
15/01/23ANacional Vs EST0-1

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ANacional Vs EST2-3
15/08/26AAlverca Vs EST2-2
08/08/26HEST Vs Sporting CP2-2
16/05/26ASC Braga Vs EST2-2
11/05/26HEST Vs Famalicao0-0
02/05/26AMoreirense Vs EST3-2
26/04/26HEST Vs FC Porto1-2
19/04/26AArouca Vs EST1-0
11/04/26HEST Vs Sporting CP0-1
04/04/26ANacional Vs EST2-0

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HNAC Vs Estrela2-3
23/08/26AGuimaraes Vs NAC1-0
16/08/26HNAC Vs Estoril2-0
10/08/26ASanta Clara Vs NAC2-2
16/05/26HNAC Vs Guimaraes2-0
11/05/26ASanta Clara Vs NAC2-0
02/05/26HNAC Vs AVS1-2
25/04/26ATondela Vs NAC0-2
18/04/26HNAC Vs Alverca1-0
12/04/26ABenfica Vs NAC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDW0.88
HomeWLLDD1.00
AwayLLDDW0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%21%15%
AVG goals2.642.422.85
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.621.331.88
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners8.929.258.60
Cards5.535.465.60
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL0.98
HomeWLWWL1.12
AwayLWLDL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.622.922.35
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.141.420.88
Conceded1.481.501.46
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners10.2310.929.54
Cards5.385.924.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto412
100%
3.0
90+9
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.0
75%
1.7
33%
22.5
75%
467
2141051482.20.0
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP410
75%
2.5
125+7
4.2
100%
100%
100%
5.2
0%
4.2
50%
24.0
50%
414
146911763.01.2
62%
3AroucaArouca49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
8.5
25%
4.8
50%
19.0
25%
28
11881.80.8
50%
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara48
50%
2.0
53+2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
9.5
50%
3.8
75%
27.5
100%
27
96121.20.8
48%
5BenficaBenfica37
67%
2.3
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
8.3
33%
3.7
67%
25.3
100%
357
172771083.71.0
58%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente37
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
7.7
0%
4.3
67%
24.7
100%
29
118111.00.0
50%
7MaritimoMaritimo47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
26.2
75%
16
7361.51.2
-
8EstrelaEstrela35
33%
1.7
76+1
4.3
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
4.7
67%
23.3
67%
20
63112.32.0
47%
9SC BragaSC Braga24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
32.0
100%
165
4156681.51.0
63%
10NacionalNacional44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
50%
8.2
25%
4.2
50%
25.5
75%
20
6591.51.5
46%
11MoreirenseMoreirense34
33%
1.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
5.3
100%
28.3
67%
22
5891.02.0
50%
12GuimaraesGuimaraes43
25%
0.8
35-2
2.0
25%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
6.0
75%
26.0
75%
46
2211120.81.2
51%
13Rio AveRio Ave43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
25%
25%
8.2
25%
3.0
33%
19.8
50%
37
88210.51.8
47%
14FamalicaoFamalicao42
0%
0.5
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.2
100%
57
1620220.51.0
51%
15Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
75%
75%
50%
7.2
25%
4.5
75%
28.8
100%
16
8361.02.0
-
16AlvercaAlverca42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
8.2
50%
4.2
50%
20.8
75%
39
156181.02.0
45%
17EstorilEstoril41
0%
0.2
27-5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
10.5
50%
3.2
25%
25.5
100%
42
248100.51.8
53%
18Casa PiaCasa Pia40
0%
0.0
011-11
2.8
50%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
3.5
75%
27.0
100%
27
96120.02.8
41%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

← all matches