This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.10
1.53
1.47
1.27
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.64
1.14
0.75
1.38
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
2.06
1.06
2.43
1.57
1.78
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.70-4.5%
Under 2.5
49.1%
@ 2.11+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
0-2
11.4%
0-1 ✓
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.6%
Eupen goals ↓
Anderlecht goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
11%
11%
7.0%
3.3%
1
4.6%
12%
9.8%
6.0%
2.8%
2
2.4%
4.5%
4.2%
2.6%
1.2%
3
0.7%
1.3%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = Anderlecht goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Eupen is 0.74 points worse than Anderlecht in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Eupen is 0.39 goals worse than Anderlecht in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Eupen is 1.02 goals worse than Anderlecht in terms of goals conceded per game (2.21 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 4.4 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anderlecht
For 6.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.7
10.6
4.1
4.4
3.7
22.5
22.5
22.5
vs Stronger (43)
10.7
10.7
10.7
3.8
4.1
3.4
22.2
22.5
22.0
vs Similar (7)
10.3
10.7
10.0
6.0
6.7
5.5
24.3
23.0
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
68%
64%
60%
68%
52%
56%
60%
52%
% under line
34%
32%
36%
40%
32%
48%
44%
40%
48%
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.9
9.6
1.7
1.7
1.6
24.1
24.4
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
11.0
11.6
10.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
27.2
29.6
25.2
vs Weaker (30)
8.2
8.2
8.2
0.8
0.9
0.7
19.8
19.2
20.7
% over line
40%
40%
40%
26%
24%
28%
63%
70%
56%
% under line
60%
60%
60%
74%
76%
72%
37%
30%
44%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gent
11.6
KV Mechelen
11.6
Antwerp
11.1
KVC Westerlo
11.0
OH Leuven
10.9
Eupen
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Kortrijk
10.4
Oostende
10.3
Charleroi
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.0
Genk
10.0
Seraing
10.0
Anderlecht
9.7
Union St. Gilloise
9.7
Standard Liege
9.4
Cercle Brugge
9.4
St. Truiden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.4
OH Leuven
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Club Brugge KV
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Gent
4.4
Oostende
4.3
Anderlecht
4.2
Seraing
4.1
St. Truiden
4.1
Eupen
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
1.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.3
Cercle Brugge
26.6
Union St. Gilloise
25.5
Kortrijk
25.2
St. Truiden
23.9
KVC Westerlo
23.3
Seraing
23.3
KV Mechelen
23.1
Oostende
22.9
Eupen
22.5
Gent
22.4
Genk
22.3
OH Leuven
22.3
Zulte Waregem
22.2
Club Brugge KV
22.2
Anderlecht
22.1
Charleroi
21.3
Antwerp
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.5%
Under 21.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.67
1.07
0.53
1.27
vs Stronger (26)
0.65
1.19
0.69
0.92
0.62
1.46
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.37
0.73
0.40
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.14
0.36
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.88
0.38
1.29
0.57
0.56
0.22
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.73
0.73
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (26)
0.62
0.88
0.54
0.62
0.69
1.15
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.00
2.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anderlecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.80
1.07
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.79
0.50
1.12
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.19
0.69
1.14
1.00
1.22
0.44
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Anderlecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Islam Slimani44%
Fábio Silva30%
Anders Dreyer25%
Anouar Ait El Hadj25%
Benito Raman16%
Julien Duranville11%
Sebastiano Esposito11%
Michael Murillo10%
Lior Refaelov10%
Mario Stroeykens8%
Majeed Ashimeru8%
Yari Verschaeren8%
Jan Vertonghen6%
Hannes Delcroix5%
Francis Amuzu4%
Amadou Diawara3%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad2%
Adrien Trebel0%
Kristoffer Olsson0%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
Marco Kana0%
Killian Sardella0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Moussa N'Diaye0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Noah Sadiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristoffer Olsson40%
Islam Slimani25%
Adrien Trebel25%
Michael Murillo22%
Fábio Silva22%
Amadou Diawara22%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad20%
Ishaq Abdulrazak20%
Nilson Angulo20%
Killian Sardella19%
Hannes Delcroix14%
Wesley Hoedt14%
Marco Kana13%
Majeed Ashimeru13%
Lior Refaelov12%
Noah Sadiki12%
Francis Amuzu11%
Mario Stroeykens11%
Zeno Debast11%
Julien Duranville11%
Jan Vertonghen9%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge8%
Yari Verschaeren8%
Anders Dreyer5%
Moussa N'Diaye5%
Benito Raman3%
Sebastiano Esposito0%
Anouar Ait El Hadj0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kristoffer Olsson20%
Francis Amuzu18%
Adrien Trebel17%
Anders Dreyer15%
Yari Verschaeren10%
Michael Murillo10%
Killian Sardella10%
Moussa N'Diaye9%
Majeed Ashimeru8%
Lior Refaelov8%
Fábio Silva7%
Benito Raman6%
Islam Slimani6%
Noah Sadiki6%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Amadou Diawara3%
Mario Stroeykens3%
Jan Vertonghen0%
Sebastiano Esposito0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge0%
Anouar Ait El Hadj0%
Marco Kana0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Julien Duranville0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Silva41%
Islam Slimani31%
Anders Dreyer15%
Yari Verschaeren13%
Sebastiano Esposito11%
Benito Raman10%
Francis Amuzu9%
Mario Stroeykens8%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Lior Refaelov2%
Jan Vertonghen0%
Amadou Diawara0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Adrien Trebel0%
Kristoffer Olsson0%
Michael Murillo0%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge0%
Majeed Ashimeru0%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad0%
Anouar Ait El Hadj0%
Marco Kana0%
Killian Sardella0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Moussa N'Diaye0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Noah Sadiki0%
Julien Duranville0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United