This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.30
1.93
1.20
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (9)
1.67
2.00
1.80
1.40
1.50
2.75
vs Similar (15)
0.87
1.07
1.14
1.00
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (6)
2.67
0.83
4.00
1.33
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.83-3.2%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.97+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
2-2 ✓
5.2%
Eupen goals ↓
Cercle Brugge goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
9.3%
7.6%
3.7%
1.3%
1
7.3%
14%
8.9%
4.3%
1.5%
2
5.0%
7.3%
5.2%
2.5%
0.9%
3
2.0%
2.8%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = Cercle Brugge goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Eupen is 0.79 points worse than Cercle Brugge in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Eupen is 0.51 goals worse than Cercle Brugge in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Eupen is 0.86 goals worse than Cercle Brugge in terms of goals conceded per game (2.21 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 4.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cercle Brugge
For 3.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 9.0 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.2
4.2
4.5
3.8
22.8
22.8
22.8
vs Stronger (44)
10.5
10.7
10.3
3.9
4.2
3.5
22.5
22.6
22.3
vs Similar (6)
10.2
10.5
10.0
6.3
8.0
5.5
25.2
25.0
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
68%
64%
64%
72%
56%
58%
60%
56%
% under line
34%
32%
36%
36%
28%
44%
42%
40%
44%
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.3
9.1
2.3
2.0
2.7
27.5
26.3
28.7
vs Stronger (14)
10.0
11.7
8.3
1.7
1.6
1.9
26.0
23.0
29.0
vs Similar (27)
10.0
9.0
10.9
2.6
2.3
2.9
27.5
26.8
28.0
vs Weaker (9)
6.2
7.7
4.0
2.4
1.8
3.2
29.4
28.7
30.5
% over line
54%
50%
58%
32%
28%
36%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
68%
72%
64%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.7
Gent
11.0
Antwerp
11.0
KVC Westerlo
11.0
OH Leuven
10.9
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Eupen
10.4
Kortrijk
10.4
Oostende
10.3
Charleroi
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.0
Genk
10.0
Seraing
10.0
Union St. Gilloise
9.9
Anderlecht
9.4
Standard Liege
9.4
St. Truiden
9.3
Cercle Brugge
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.4
OH Leuven
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Club Brugge KV
4.7
Kortrijk
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Gent
4.5
Seraing
4.3
Oostende
4.3
Anderlecht
4.3
Eupen
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
1.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.3
Cercle Brugge
26.8
Union St. Gilloise
25.4
Kortrijk
25.2
St. Truiden
24.0
Seraing
23.6
KVC Westerlo
23.3
Gent
23.3
KV Mechelen
23.3
Oostende
22.9
Eupen
22.8
Genk
22.3
OH Leuven
22.3
Zulte Waregem
22.2
Club Brugge KV
22.2
Anderlecht
21.8
Charleroi
21.3
Antwerp
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.7%
Under 9.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.5%
Under 3.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.9%
Under 21.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.17
0.53
1.00
0.53
1.33
vs Stronger (26)
0.62
1.19
0.62
0.85
0.62
1.54
vs Similar (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.80
0.60
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.67
0.20
0.60
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.53
0.43
0.57
0.38
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.33
2.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.53
0.60
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (26)
0.58
0.96
0.54
0.62
0.62
1.31
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
1.13
0.60
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
1.44
1.33
1.60
0.80
1.25
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.53
0.71
0.43
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.50
1.33
0.67
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cercle Brugge
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayase Ueda45%
Kévin Denkey24%
Thibo Somers16%
Yann Gboho10%
Louis Torres10%
Hugo Siquet10%
Emilio Kehrer9%
Dino Hotić8%
Abu Francis6%
Boris Popović5%
Jean Marcelin5%
Leonardo Lopes3%
Christiaan Ravych3%
Charles Vanhoutte3%
Olivier Deman3%
Jesper Daland3%
Senna Miangue0%
Hannes Van Der Bruggen0%
Robbe Decostere0%
Heitor0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Warleson0%
Edgaras Utkus0%
Aske Sampers0%
Teun Wilke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leonardo Lopes33%
Edgaras Utkus33%
Charles Vanhoutte31%
Jesper Daland22%
Jean Marcelin20%
Olivier Deman19%
Abu Francis19%
Christiaan Ravych16%
Hannes Van Der Bruggen15%
Heitor14%
Senna Miangue12%
Robbe Decostere12%
Thibo Somers11%
Boris Popović10%
Hugo Siquet10%
Radosław Majecki6%
Dino Hotić5%
Kévin Denkey3%
Ayase Ueda2%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Warleson0%
Yann Gboho0%
Louis Torres0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Aske Sampers0%
Teun Wilke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yann Gboho21%
Thibo Somers19%
Kévin Denkey18%
Hannes Van Der Bruggen11%
Olivier Deman11%
Leonardo Lopes10%
Hugo Siquet10%
Abu Francis10%
Charles Vanhoutte9%
Jean Marcelin5%
Ayase Ueda5%
Jesper Daland3%
Boris Popović3%
Dino Hotić2%
Senna Miangue0%
Robbe Decostere0%
Heitor0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Warleson0%
Louis Torres0%
Edgaras Utkus0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Aske Sampers0%
Teun Wilke0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayase Ueda40%
Kévin Denkey32%
Thibo Somers16%
Abu Francis6%
Dino Hotić5%
Yann Gboho3%
Senna Miangue0%
Hannes Van Der Bruggen0%
Robbe Decostere0%
Olivier Deman0%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Heitor0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Jesper Daland0%
Warleson0%
Louis Torres0%
Boris Popović0%
Edgaras Utkus0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Hugo Siquet0%
Aske Sampers0%
Teun Wilke0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Charleroi
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United