This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.10
1.67
1.00
1.33
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.30
0.60
1.40
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.06
2.25
1.00
1.67
1.11
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.72+1.6%
Under 2.5
43.4%
@ 2.10-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.2%
Under 3.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2 ✓
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Eupen goals ↓
Cercle Brugge goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
8.4%
8.6%
5.2%
2.3%
1
4.9%
12%
9.8%
5.9%
2.7%
2
3.4%
6.1%
5.6%
3.4%
1.5%
3
1.3%
2.3%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = Cercle Brugge goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.18
Anderlecht
2.02
Club Brugge KV
1.98
Gent
1.87
KV Mechelen
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.57
Genk
1.53
Lommel United
1.50
Antwerp
1.48
Charleroi
1.41
St. Truiden
1.30
OH Leuven
1.09
Standard Liege
1.07
KVC Westerlo
1.07
Kortrijk
1.00
RWDM
0.83
RWD Molenbeek
0.83
AS Eupen
0.78
Eupen
0.78
Eupen is 0.79 points worse than Cercle Brugge in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.39
Union St. Gilloise
2.09
Gent
2.00
Anderlecht
1.80
Antwerp
1.59
Genk
1.53
KVC Westerlo
1.52
Cercle Brugge
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.45
Standard Liege
1.25
OH Leuven
1.18
St. Truiden
1.18
RWDM
1.08
RWD Molenbeek
1.08
Charleroi
1.05
Kortrijk
0.89
AS Eupen
0.81
Eupen
0.81
Lommel United
0.50
Eupen is 0.69 goals worse than Cercle Brugge in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lommel United
0.50
Club Brugge KV
0.84
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.07
Gent
1.11
Cercle Brugge
1.11
Union St. Gilloise
1.11
Genk
1.16
KV Mechelen
1.23
Charleroi
1.30
OH Leuven
1.48
St. Truiden
1.52
Standard Liege
1.64
Kortrijk
1.74
KVC Westerlo
1.75
AS Eupen
1.83
Eupen
1.83
RWDM
2.11
RWD Molenbeek
2.11
Eupen is 0.72 goals worse than Cercle Brugge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Lommel United
63%
Antwerp
58%
St. Truiden
58%
Club Brugge KV
56%
Gent
54%
Genk
53%
Anderlecht
52%
KV Mechelen
51%
Union St. Gilloise
49%
Standard Liege
49%
Charleroi
49%
KVC Westerlo
47%
RWDM
45%
AS Eupen
44%
Cercle Brugge
44%
Kortrijk
43%
OH Leuven
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 5.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cercle Brugge
For 5.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.4
3.8
3.6
4.0
23.6
24.1
23.1
vs Stronger (46)
10.4
10.2
10.6
3.8
3.5
4.0
23.5
24.2
22.9
vs Similar (4)
10.5
12.0
9.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
24.2
22.5
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
56%
64%
56%
52%
60%
72%
76%
68%
% under line
40%
44%
36%
44%
48%
40%
28%
24%
32%
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.8
10.7
2.8
2.7
2.8
25.9
24.9
26.9
vs Stronger (17)
9.7
7.6
11.8
2.9
2.8
3.1
26.2
27.4
25.0
vs Similar (25)
10.7
11.3
10.2
2.5
2.2
2.8
25.8
23.0
28.2
vs Weaker (8)
9.8
10.0
9.5
3.1
4.0
2.2
25.6
25.0
26.5
% over line
50%
40%
60%
44%
42%
46%
87%
80%
93%
% under line
50%
60%
40%
56%
58%
54%
13%
20%
7%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.4
KV Mechelen
10.9
Kortrijk
10.7
Gent
10.6
Eupen
10.4
Genk
10.1
AS Eupen
10.1
Charleroi
10.1
Lommel United
9.9
RWDM
9.9
Cercle Brugge
9.9
Club Brugge KV
9.9
RWD Molenbeek
9.9
Union St. Gilloise
9.7
Antwerp
9.7
KVC Westerlo
9.6
Anderlecht
9.2
St. Truiden
9.1
Standard Liege
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lommel United
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Genk
4.9
Standard Liege
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Anderlecht
4.7
Club Brugge KV
4.6
OH Leuven
4.5
Antwerp
4.3
Kortrijk
4.2
Gent
4.0
St. Truiden
4.0
Eupen
3.8
KV Mechelen
3.8
RWDM
3.8
AS Eupen
3.7
RWD Molenbeek
3.6
Charleroi
3.6
KVC Westerlo
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cercle Brugge
26.5
Genk
25.7
Standard Liege
25.7
Union St. Gilloise
25.1
AS Eupen
23.7
Anderlecht
23.6
Eupen
23.6
Kortrijk
23.3
KVC Westerlo
22.2
St. Truiden
22.2
OH Leuven
22.2
Gent
22.1
RWD Molenbeek
22.1
RWDM
22.0
Lommel United
21.8
Club Brugge KV
21.5
Charleroi
21.3
KV Mechelen
20.9
Antwerp
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.6%
Under 9.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.8%
Under 3.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.1%
Under 21.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.93
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.87
vs Stronger (28)
0.29
0.96
0.36
1.00
0.21
0.93
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.60
0.00
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.59
1.00
0.38
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.20
0.60
1.13
0.40
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
0.50
1.21
0.64
1.07
0.36
1.36
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cercle Brugge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.53
1.13
0.60
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (17)
1.29
0.47
1.25
0.62
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cercle Brugge
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kévin Denkey53%
Thibo Somers23%
Alan Minda21%
Kazeem Olaigbe14%
Felipe Augusto11%
Malamine Efekele10%
Félix Lemaréchal6%
Leonardo Lopes6%
Flávio Nazinho5%
Edgaras Utkus4%
Jesper Daland3%
Senna Miangue0%
Hannes Van Der Bruggen0%
Olivier Deman0%
Warleson0%
Yann Gboho0%
Abu Francis0%
Boris Popović0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Hugo Siquet0%
Nils De Wilde0%
Jordan Varela0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Jonas Lietaert0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hannes Van Der Bruggen36%
Edgaras Utkus29%
Abu Francis22%
Kévin Denkey21%
Olivier Deman20%
Malamine Efekele20%
Leonardo Lopes18%
Flávio Nazinho18%
Félix Lemaréchal16%
Jesper Daland15%
Thibo Somers14%
Jordan Varela14%
Boris Popović14%
Hugo Siquet13%
Senna Miangue12%
Christiaan Ravych12%
Felipe Augusto11%
Nils De Wilde9%
Alan Minda8%
Kazeem Olaigbe4%
Warleson2%
Yann Gboho0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Jonas Lietaert0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Félix Lemaréchal19%
Alan Minda13%
Thibo Somers11%
Edgaras Utkus11%
Yann Gboho10%
Hugo Siquet10%
Leonardo Lopes9%
Boris Popović8%
Christiaan Ravych8%
Warleson8%
Felipe Augusto6%
Nils De Wilde5%
Kévin Denkey3%
Jesper Daland3%
Senna Miangue0%
Hannes Van Der Bruggen0%
Olivier Deman0%
Abu Francis0%
Kazeem Olaigbe0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Flávio Nazinho0%
Jordan Varela0%
Malamine Efekele0%
Jonas Lietaert0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kévin Denkey58%
Thibo Somers26%
Alan Minda8%
Félix Lemaréchal6%
Leonardo Lopes6%
Felipe Augusto6%
Yann Gboho5%
Edgaras Utkus4%
Hannes Van Der Bruggen3%
Jesper Daland3%
Senna Miangue0%
Olivier Deman0%
Warleson0%
Abu Francis0%
Boris Popović0%
Kazeem Olaigbe0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Hugo Siquet0%
Flávio Nazinho0%
Nils De Wilde0%
Jordan Varela0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Malamine Efekele0%
Jonas Lietaert0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
Antwerp
Charleroi
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
Kortrijk
RWDM
AS Eupen
Lommel United