This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.43
1.25
1.12
1.86
1.79
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
2.14
1.00
1.40
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (16)
1.56
1.38
1.14
1.00
1.89
1.67
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
0.86
1.75
1.00
2.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.9%
@ 1.68+13.7%
Under 2.5
30.1%
@ 2.15-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.7%
No
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
Eupen goals ↓
Charleroi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
3.9%
4.2%
2.5%
1.1%
1
4.1%
9.7%
7.8%
4.6%
2.0%
2
4.6%
8.1%
7.2%
4.2%
1.9%
3
2.8%
5.0%
4.4%
2.6%
1.1%
4
1.3%
2.3%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = Charleroi goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
Eupen is 0.65 points worse than Charleroi in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
Eupen is 0.53 goals worse than Charleroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
Eupen is 0.44 goals worse than Charleroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 5.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
For 4.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.1
11.2
4.6
4.4
4.7
23.1
23.3
22.9
vs Stronger (44)
10.8
10.3
11.3
4.6
4.5
4.7
23.4
23.9
23.0
vs Similar (6)
9.7
8.7
10.7
4.2
3.7
4.7
20.8
19.0
22.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
52%
64%
64%
60%
68%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
36%
40%
32%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.3
9.9
3.9
3.6
4.2
22.5
21.9
23.2
vs Stronger (10)
11.2
12.0
10.0
3.1
2.5
4.0
19.6
18.0
22.0
vs Similar (29)
10.6
10.9
10.3
4.4
4.3
4.5
23.7
23.1
24.3
vs Weaker (11)
10.1
11.6
8.8
3.2
3.0
3.3
22.1
23.0
21.3
% over line
62%
68%
56%
50%
40%
60%
62%
52%
72%
% under line
38%
32%
44%
50%
60%
40%
38%
48%
28%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
10.9
Antwerp
10.9
Eupen
10.7
Oostende
10.6
OH Leuven
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
KV Mechelen
10.5
Union St. Gilloise
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Club Brugge KV
10.1
Cercle Brugge
9.8
Genk
9.6
St. Truiden
9.5
Standard Liege
9.5
Seraing
9.3
Anderlecht
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
5.1
Antwerp
4.9
Standard Liege
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Seraing
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Eupen
4.6
Beerschot VA
4.5
Kortrijk
4.5
St. Truiden
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.2
Oostende
4.2
Gent
4.1
Genk
4.0
Anderlecht
3.9
Charleroi
3.9
KV Mechelen
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
28.0
Kortrijk
26.4
Cercle Brugge
25.8
St. Truiden
25.5
Gent
25.0
Beerschot VA
24.9
Union St. Gilloise
24.9
Genk
24.7
KV Mechelen
24.5
Seraing
24.4
Anderlecht
24.3
OH Leuven
24.2
Zulte Waregem
23.9
Club Brugge KV
23.8
Oostende
23.6
Eupen
23.1
Charleroi
22.5
Antwerp
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.3%
Under 9.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.8%
Under 3.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.8%
Under 21.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.67
0.73
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (26)
0.77
0.81
0.75
0.92
0.79
0.71
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.19
0.56
1.00
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.14
0.00
0.60
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
0.29
0.43
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.67
0.87
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.81
0.81
0.67
0.75
0.93
0.86
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
1.06
0.56
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.80
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.81
0.86
0.57
0.89
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.43
1.50
0.25
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Charleroi · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof50%
Aurélien Scheidler33%
Aiham Ousou33%
Cheick Keita33%
Antoine Colassin25%
Freddy Mbemba25%
Amine Boukamir25%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aiham Ousou33%
Antoine Bernier25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Pflücke25%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof25%
Antoine Colassin25%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Adama Bojang25%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Pflücke75%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
Beerschot VA