This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.43
1.19
1.25
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.71
1.00
1.50
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.11
1.50
1.00
1.67
1.22
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
2.50
0.00
2.00
1.50
3.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.79+1.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 2.02-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1 ✓
8.3%
0-1
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
Eupen goals ↓
St. Truiden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
7.1%
6.0%
2.9%
1.0%
1
7.0%
13%
8.4%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.8%
8.3%
6.0%
2.9%
1.0%
3
2.7%
3.9%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = St. Truiden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
Eupen is 0.56 points worse than St. Truiden in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
Eupen is 0.15 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
Eupen is 0.62 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 4.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 8.6 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.5
10.9
4.4
4.0
4.7
25.1
25.2
25.0
vs Stronger (44)
10.2
9.4
11.0
4.5
4.2
4.7
25.2
25.4
25.0
vs Similar (6)
10.0
9.8
10.5
3.5
2.8
5.0
24.5
24.5
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
50%
65%
62%
50%
73%
80%
79%
81%
% under line
42%
50%
35%
38%
50%
27%
20%
21%
19%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
10.1
8.4
4.4
4.7
4.1
26.3
25.9
26.8
vs Stronger (12)
9.1
10.0
8.2
3.5
4.7
2.3
26.1
27.3
24.8
vs Similar (29)
9.2
10.0
8.4
4.3
4.1
4.6
26.5
25.7
27.4
vs Weaker (9)
9.6
10.5
8.8
5.8
7.0
4.8
26.1
24.5
27.4
% over line
44%
48%
40%
56%
60%
52%
78%
80%
76%
% under line
56%
52%
60%
44%
40%
48%
22%
20%
24%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
10.8
Oostende
10.6
Charleroi
10.3
Eupen
10.2
OH Leuven
10.1
Antwerp
10.0
Standard Liege
9.8
KV Mechelen
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.7
Kortrijk
9.7
Zulte Waregem
9.5
Genk
9.4
Gent
9.3
St. Truiden
9.2
Club Brugge KV
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
Anderlecht
8.9
Seraing
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Seraing
5.7
Union St. Gilloise
5.0
OH Leuven
4.7
St. Truiden
4.4
Eupen
4.4
Cercle Brugge
4.3
Antwerp
4.3
Standard Liege
4.1
Genk
4.0
Beerschot VA
3.9
Anderlecht
3.9
Charleroi
3.9
Club Brugge KV
3.8
Kortrijk
3.8
Oostende
3.6
KV Mechelen
3.6
Gent
3.6
Zulte Waregem
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Seraing
29.3
Standard Liege
28.1
Kortrijk
27.6
Anderlecht
27.0
St. Truiden
26.3
Genk
26.3
Cercle Brugge
25.7
Club Brugge KV
25.5
KV Mechelen
25.4
Beerschot VA
25.2
Zulte Waregem
25.1
OH Leuven
25.1
Eupen
25.1
Gent
25.0
Charleroi
24.9
Oostende
24.8
Antwerp
24.0
Union St. Gilloise
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.4%
Under 9.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.6%
Under 3.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (26)
0.69
0.73
0.77
0.85
0.62
0.62
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.69
0.56
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.50
1.25
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.47
0.90
0.20
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.00
0.73
0.93
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (26)
0.77
1.04
0.77
0.92
0.77
1.15
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.50
0.69
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.63
0.60
0.80
0.89
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
St. Truiden · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Matsuzawa33%
Ryan Merlen25%
I. Sebaoui25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Ishiwatari75%
J. Pupe33%
A. Sissako25%
L. Kokubo25%
Ryan Merlen25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
V. Musliu0%
T. Hata0%
I. Sebaoui0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
Beerschot VA