This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.63
1.20
1.00
1.13
2.27
vs Stronger (9)
1.44
2.11
1.25
1.75
1.60
2.40
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.41
1.12
0.62
1.00
2.11
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.50
1.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.98+5.6%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.81-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.1%
Under 3.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Eupen goals ↓
St. Truiden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
7.3%
6.1%
2.9%
1.0%
1
7.2%
13%
8.4%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.8%
8.3%
5.9%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.7%
3.8%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = St. Truiden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.18
Anderlecht
2.02
Club Brugge KV
1.98
Gent
1.87
KV Mechelen
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.57
Genk
1.53
Lommel United
1.50
Antwerp
1.48
Charleroi
1.41
St. Truiden
1.30
OH Leuven
1.09
Standard Liege
1.07
KVC Westerlo
1.07
Kortrijk
1.00
RWDM
0.83
RWD Molenbeek
0.83
AS Eupen
0.78
Eupen
0.78
Eupen is 0.52 points worse than St. Truiden in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.39
Union St. Gilloise
2.09
Gent
2.00
Anderlecht
1.80
Antwerp
1.59
Genk
1.53
KVC Westerlo
1.52
Cercle Brugge
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.45
Standard Liege
1.25
OH Leuven
1.18
St. Truiden
1.18
RWDM
1.08
RWD Molenbeek
1.08
Charleroi
1.05
Kortrijk
0.89
AS Eupen
0.81
Eupen
0.81
Lommel United
0.50
Eupen is 0.38 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lommel United
0.50
Club Brugge KV
0.84
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.07
Gent
1.11
Cercle Brugge
1.11
Union St. Gilloise
1.11
Genk
1.16
KV Mechelen
1.23
Charleroi
1.30
OH Leuven
1.48
St. Truiden
1.52
Standard Liege
1.64
Kortrijk
1.74
KVC Westerlo
1.75
AS Eupen
1.83
Eupen
1.83
RWDM
2.11
RWD Molenbeek
2.11
Eupen is 0.31 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Lommel United
63%
Antwerp
58%
St. Truiden
58%
Club Brugge KV
56%
Gent
54%
Genk
53%
Anderlecht
52%
KV Mechelen
51%
Union St. Gilloise
49%
Standard Liege
49%
Charleroi
49%
KVC Westerlo
47%
RWDM
45%
AS Eupen
44%
Cercle Brugge
44%
Kortrijk
43%
OH Leuven
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 4.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
For 5.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.1
10.8
3.8
3.6
4.0
23.5
23.8
23.2
vs Stronger (46)
10.4
10.0
10.9
3.8
3.6
4.0
23.4
23.9
23.0
vs Similar (4)
10.5
12.0
9.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
24.2
22.5
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
52%
68%
54%
52%
56%
72%
76%
68%
% under line
40%
48%
32%
46%
48%
44%
28%
24%
32%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.6
9.4
2.3
2.0
2.5
21.2
20.6
21.8
vs Stronger (14)
8.8
9.2
8.4
3.5
3.7
3.3
20.7
21.0
20.4
vs Similar (27)
10.1
9.8
10.4
1.8
1.4
2.2
21.6
20.2
22.9
vs Weaker (9)
6.0
5.5
7.0
1.7
1.3
2.3
20.7
21.0
20.0
% over line
36%
35%
38%
30%
19%
42%
48%
47%
50%
% under line
64%
65%
62%
70%
81%
58%
52%
53%
50%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.3
Kortrijk
10.9
KV Mechelen
10.8
Gent
10.6
Eupen
10.4
Charleroi
10.1
AS Eupen
10.1
Lommel United
10.1
Genk
10.0
Antwerp
10.0
RWDM
9.9
RWD Molenbeek
9.9
Club Brugge KV
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.8
Union St. Gilloise
9.8
Anderlecht
9.4
KVC Westerlo
9.4
St. Truiden
9.2
Standard Liege
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lommel United
5.0
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Genk
4.8
Anderlecht
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Standard Liege
4.6
OH Leuven
4.5
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Antwerp
4.2
Kortrijk
4.1
St. Truiden
4.1
Gent
4.0
Eupen
3.8
RWDM
3.8
AS Eupen
3.7
KV Mechelen
3.7
RWD Molenbeek
3.7
Charleroi
3.6
KVC Westerlo
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cercle Brugge
25.9
Standard Liege
25.7
Genk
25.7
Union St. Gilloise
24.8
Anderlecht
24.3
AS Eupen
23.9
Eupen
23.5
Kortrijk
23.2
Lommel United
22.4
St. Truiden
22.2
OH Leuven
22.2
RWD Molenbeek
22.1
KVC Westerlo
22.1
RWDM
22.0
Gent
21.9
Club Brugge KV
21.7
Charleroi
21.7
KV Mechelen
20.5
Antwerp
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.2%
Under 9.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.5%
Under 3.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.4%
Under 21.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.97
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.93
vs Stronger (28)
0.29
1.00
0.36
1.00
0.21
1.00
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.47
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.40
0.40
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.47
0.62
0.12
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.23
0.60
1.20
0.40
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
0.50
1.25
0.64
1.14
0.36
1.36
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.13
0.73
0.67
0.47
1.60
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.44
1.25
0.75
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.94
0.50
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.25
0.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
St. Truiden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Koita30%
Adriano Bertaccini23%
Ryotaro Ito17%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam15%
Ryoya Ogawa14%
Jarne Steuckers14%
Daiki Hashioka11%
Eric Bocat5%
Fatih Kaya5%
Joel Chima Fujita4%
Joselpho Barnes3%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper2%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Frederic Ananou0%
Jo Coppens0%
Rihito Yamamoto0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Matte Smets0%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wolke Janssens29%
Daiki Hashioka22%
Rein Van Helden19%
Bruno Godeau19%
Aboubakary Koita16%
Frederic Ananou16%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper15%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam15%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael12%
Eric Bocat11%
Fatih Kaya10%
Joselpho Barnes10%
Joel Chima Fujita8%
Adriano Bertaccini8%
Olivier Dumont6%
Rihito Yamamoto3%
Jarne Steuckers3%
Matte Smets2%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Jo Coppens0%
Ryoya Ogawa0%
Ryotaro Ito0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryoya Ogawa29%
Jarne Steuckers17%
Ryotaro Ito11%
Daiki Hashioka11%
Eric Bocat11%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper10%
Aboubakary Koita8%
Joel Chima Fujita8%
Adriano Bertaccini8%
Frederic Ananou5%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam4%
Joselpho Barnes3%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Fatih Kaya0%
Jo Coppens0%
Rihito Yamamoto0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Matte Smets0%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aboubakary Koita49%
Adriano Bertaccini23%
Ryotaro Ito14%
Daiki Hashioka11%
Jarne Steuckers9%
Fatih Kaya8%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam7%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper5%
Eric Bocat3%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Frederic Ananou0%
Jo Coppens0%
Ryoya Ogawa0%
Rihito Yamamoto0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Joselpho Barnes0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Matte Smets0%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Charleroi
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
Kortrijk
RWDM
AS Eupen
Lommel United