This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.50
1.47
1.27
1.20
1.73
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
1.40
1.00
0.50
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.05
1.68
1.30
1.50
0.78
1.89
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.00
2.33
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.4%
@ 1.78+7.1%
Under 2.5
39.6%
@ 2.03-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
5.5%
1-3 ✓
5.3%
Eupen goals ↓
Standard Liege goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
6.5%
6.5%
3.8%
1.6%
1
5.1%
12%
9.2%
5.3%
2.3%
2
4.3%
7.4%
6.4%
3.7%
1.6%
3
2.0%
3.5%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eupen goals (down), columns = Standard Liege goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.18
Anderlecht
2.02
Club Brugge KV
1.98
Gent
1.87
KV Mechelen
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.57
Genk
1.53
Lommel United
1.50
Antwerp
1.48
Charleroi
1.41
St. Truiden
1.30
OH Leuven
1.09
Standard Liege
1.07
KVC Westerlo
1.07
Kortrijk
1.00
RWDM
0.83
RWD Molenbeek
0.83
Eupen
0.78
AS Eupen
0.78
Eupen is 0.29 points worse than Standard Liege in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.39
Union St. Gilloise
2.09
Gent
2.00
Anderlecht
1.80
Antwerp
1.59
Genk
1.53
KVC Westerlo
1.52
Cercle Brugge
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.45
Standard Liege
1.25
OH Leuven
1.18
St. Truiden
1.18
RWDM
1.08
RWD Molenbeek
1.08
Charleroi
1.05
Kortrijk
0.89
Eupen
0.81
AS Eupen
0.81
Lommel United
0.50
Eupen is 0.44 goals worse than Standard Liege in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lommel United
0.50
Club Brugge KV
0.84
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.07
Gent
1.11
Cercle Brugge
1.11
Union St. Gilloise
1.11
Genk
1.16
KV Mechelen
1.23
Charleroi
1.30
OH Leuven
1.48
St. Truiden
1.52
Standard Liege
1.64
Kortrijk
1.74
KVC Westerlo
1.75
Eupen
1.83
AS Eupen
1.83
RWDM
2.11
RWD Molenbeek
2.11
Eupen is 0.20 goals worse than Standard Liege in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.64).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Lommel United
63%
Antwerp
58%
St. Truiden
58%
Club Brugge KV
56%
Gent
54%
Genk
53%
Anderlecht
52%
KV Mechelen
51%
Union St. Gilloise
49%
Standard Liege
49%
Charleroi
49%
KVC Westerlo
47%
RWDM
45%
AS Eupen
44%
Cercle Brugge
44%
Kortrijk
43%
OH Leuven
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
E
Eupen
For 3.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Standard Liege
For 5.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.0
10.9
4.2
4.2
4.1
23.1
23.0
23.2
vs Stronger (44)
10.5
10.0
11.0
3.9
3.9
3.8
22.8
23.0
22.6
vs Similar (6)
10.2
10.7
9.7
6.3
6.7
6.0
25.2
23.0
27.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
60%
68%
58%
64%
52%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
36%
40%
32%
42%
36%
48%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
8.7
12.0
1.0
1.0
0.9
24.3
25.5
22.8
vs Stronger (9)
15.0
15.0
-
0.7
1.2
0.0
21.0
21.0
-
vs Similar (30)
9.2
4.5
12.3
0.6
0.6
0.7
23.8
26.0
22.3
vs Weaker (11)
10.2
9.3
11.5
2.1
2.0
2.2
25.4
26.7
23.5
% over line
55%
50%
60%
16%
20%
12%
73%
67%
80%
% under line
45%
50%
40%
84%
80%
88%
27%
33%
20%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gent
11.4
KV Mechelen
11.4
Antwerp
11.2
OH Leuven
11.0
RWD Molenbeek
10.8
RWDM
10.8
Kortrijk
10.7
Eupen
10.5
Charleroi
10.4
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Genk
10.0
Union St. Gilloise
9.8
KVC Westerlo
9.8
Anderlecht
9.6
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Standard Liege
9.4
St. Truiden
9.4
AS Eupen
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.4
Kortrijk
5.0
OH Leuven
4.9
Antwerp
4.8
Union St. Gilloise
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.5
Anderlecht
4.5
Genk
4.5
Club Brugge KV
4.4
Gent
4.2
St. Truiden
4.2
Eupen
4.2
KV Mechelen
4.0
Charleroi
3.8
RWD Molenbeek
3.5
RWDM
3.4
AS Eupen
3.3
KVC Westerlo
2.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
RWDM
27.4
Cercle Brugge
27.3
Standard Liege
26.8
RWD Molenbeek
26.7
Union St. Gilloise
25.2
Kortrijk
24.9
AS Eupen
23.8
St. Truiden
23.8
Genk
23.4
Eupen
23.1
Anderlecht
22.9
OH Leuven
22.7
KV Mechelen
22.4
KVC Westerlo
22.4
Club Brugge KV
22.2
Gent
22.0
Antwerp
21.2
Charleroi
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.8%
Under 9.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.5%
Under 21.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.23
0.60
1.20
0.53
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
0.57
1.29
0.57
1.21
0.57
1.36
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.93
0.47
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.63
0.70
0.30
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.93
1.00
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (28)
0.68
1.04
0.79
0.86
0.57
1.21
vs Similar (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.53
0.80
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
1.05
0.60
1.20
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Standard Liege
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Yeboah36%
Wilfried Kanga31%
Hayao Kawabe19%
Denis Drăguş17%
Jonathan Panzo9%
Steven Alzate8%
Konstantinos Laifis8%
Kamal Sowah7%
William Balikwisha7%
Nathan Ngoy7%
Merveille Bokadi6%
Aiden O'Neill4%
Moussa Djenepo4%
Marlon Fossey3%
Isaac Price3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Zinho Vanheusden0%
Renaud Emond0%
Souleyman Doumbia0%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Aron Dønnum0%
Stipe Perica0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Noah Ohio0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Cihan Çanak0%
Seydou Fini0%
Hakim Sahabo0%
Sacha Banse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aron Dønnum40%
Nathan Ngoy40%
Zinho Vanheusden32%
Isaac Hayden30%
Kelvin Yeboah21%
Souleyman Doumbia18%
Aiden O'Neill17%
Denis Drăguş17%
Romaine Mundle17%
Wilfried Kanga14%
Lucas Noubi14%
Steven Alzate12%
Konstantinos Laifis12%
Hakim Sahabo11%
Moussa Djenepo11%
Jonathan Panzo9%
Hayao Kawabe8%
Isaac Price8%
Gilles Dewaele8%
William Balikwisha7%
Noah Ohio7%
Cihan Çanak3%
Marlon Fossey3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Renaud Emond0%
Kamal Sowah0%
Stipe Perica0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Seydou Fini0%
Sacha Banse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hayao Kawabe25%
Matthieu Epolo25%
Aron Dønnum20%
Steven Alzate17%
Kelvin Yeboah14%
Wilfried Kanga8%
William Balikwisha7%
Cihan Çanak7%
Marlon Fossey7%
Merveille Bokadi6%
Isaac Price5%
Gilles Dewaele4%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Zinho Vanheusden0%
Moussa Djenepo0%
Renaud Emond0%
Souleyman Doumbia0%
Aiden O'Neill0%
Kamal Sowah0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Denis Drăguş0%
Stipe Perica0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Noah Ohio0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Nathan Ngoy0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Seydou Fini0%
Hakim Sahabo0%
Sacha Banse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kelvin Yeboah43%
Wilfried Kanga31%
Kamal Sowah11%
Isaac Price8%
William Balikwisha7%
Hayao Kawabe3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Zinho Vanheusden0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Moussa Djenepo0%
Renaud Emond0%
Souleyman Doumbia0%
Aiden O'Neill0%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Steven Alzate0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Aron Dønnum0%
Denis Drăguş0%
Stipe Perica0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Noah Ohio0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Nathan Ngoy0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Cihan Çanak0%
Seydou Fini0%
Hakim Sahabo0%
Sacha Banse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Charleroi
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
Kortrijk
RWDM
AS Eupen
Lommel United