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Europa Point vs College 1975 Result & Analysis

Date: 03/03/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 4-0
Europa Point
Europa Point
Vs
46%
25%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Europa Point win✓ Hit
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
College 1975 win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Europa PointEuropa Point

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W11D01L20W20W11D01L00D10WA·COL25/11H·ST 03/12A·LYN10/12H·MAG16/12H·GLA22/12A·MAN26/01H·MON03/02A·LIN10/02H·LIO18/02A·EUR25/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.972.100.642.361.251.88
vs Stronger (22)0.732.140.552.550.911.73
vs Similar (8)1.622.001.001.672.002.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-705L14L13L07L11D23L14L02L27L11DH·EUR25/11A·MAN03/12H·MON09/12A·LIN17/12A·LIO08/01H·EUR19/01A·ST 02/02H·LYN10/02A·MAG17/02H·GLA25/02
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.203.131.273.131.133.13
vs Stronger (25)1.283.361.333.251.233.46
vs Similar (5)0.802.001.002.670.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.6%
Under 2.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
Europa Point goals ↓
College 1975 goals →
01234
05.2%4.8%4.1%1.9%0.7%
16.4%11%7.2%3.4%1.2%
26.6%9.2%6.5%3.0%1.0%
33.9%5.5%3.8%1.8%0.6%
41.7%2.4%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Europa Point goals (down), columns = College 1975 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
St Joseph S Fc
2.52
Magpies
1.84
Europa Point
1.40
Lynx
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.32
Manchester 62
1.16
Europa
1.00
Glacis United
0.80
Lions Gibraltar
0.65
College 1975
0.55
Europa Point is 0.85 points better than College 1975 in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.55).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.44
St Joseph S Fc
2.48
Magpies
2.20
Manchester 62
1.76
Mons Calpe
1.48
Lynx
1.45
Europa Point
1.28
Europa
1.25
Glacis United
1.05
College 1975
1.05
Lions Gibraltar
0.80
Europa Point is 0.23 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.05).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.60
St Joseph S Fc
0.64
Europa Point
1.24
Magpies
1.44
Lynx
1.55
Mons Calpe
1.56
Europa
1.70
Glacis United
2.35
Lions Gibraltar
2.50
Manchester 62
2.56
College 1975
3.25
Europa Point is 2.01 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 3.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Europa PointEuropa Point

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L01L10W10W01L00D00D00DA·COL25/11H·ST 03/12A·LYN10/12H·MAG16/12H·GLA22/12A·MAN26/01H·MON03/02A·LIN10/02H·LIO18/02A·EUR25/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.130.291.430.560.88
vs Stronger (22)0.361.140.271.640.450.64
vs Similar (8)0.621.120.330.670.801.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L11D02L04L01L21W03L01L15L01LH·EUR25/11A·MAN03/12H·MON09/12A·LIN17/12A·LIO08/01H·EUR19/01A·ST 02/02H·LYN10/02A·MAG17/02H·GLA25/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.500.401.330.331.67
vs Stronger (25)0.401.600.421.330.381.85
vs Similar (5)0.201.000.331.330.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Europa Point over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Europa PointEuropa Point

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W00D10W10W10W01L00D10WA·COL25/11H·ST 03/12A·LYN10/12H·MAG16/12H·GLA22/12A·MAN26/01H·MON03/02A·LIN10/02H·LIO18/02A·EUR25/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.970.360.930.691.00
vs Stronger (22)0.361.000.270.910.451.09
vs Similar (8)1.000.880.671.001.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L03L11D03L10W02L11D01L12L10WH·EUR25/11A·MAN03/12H·MON09/12A·LIN17/12A·LIO08/01H·EUR19/01A·ST 02/02H·LYN10/02A·MAG17/02H·GLA25/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.630.871.800.801.47
vs Stronger (25)0.881.760.921.920.851.62
vs Similar (5)0.601.000.671.330.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Europa Point over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Europa Point and College 1975 have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Europa Point and College 1975 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Europa Point and College 1975 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Europa Point and College 1975 have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
EP wins
2
Draws
0
C1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Europa Point vs College 1975 · H/A from EP
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/23ACollege 1975 Vs EP0-5
09/04/23ACollege 1975 Vs EP2-2
29/01/23HEP Vs College 19751-1
02/10/22ACollege 1975 Vs EP0-4

Europa PointEuropa Point

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/24AEuropa Vs EP0-1
18/02/24HEP Vs Lions Gibraltar0-0
10/02/24ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs EP1-0
03/02/24HEP Vs Mons Calpe1-1
26/01/24AManchester 62 Vs EP0-2
22/12/23HEP Vs Glacis United2-0
16/12/23HEP Vs Magpies0-1
10/12/23ALynx Vs EP1-1
03/12/23HEP Vs St Joseph S Fc1-0
25/11/23ACollege 1975 Vs EP0-5

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/24HC1 Vs Glacis United1-1
17/02/24AMagpies Vs C17-2
10/02/24HC1 Vs Lynx0-2
02/02/24ASt Joseph S Fc Vs C14-1
19/01/24HC1 Vs Europa2-3
08/01/24ALions Gibraltar Vs C11-1
17/12/23ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs C17-0
09/12/23HC1 Vs Mons Calpe1-3
03/12/23AManchester 62 Vs C14-1
25/11/23HC1 Vs Europa Point0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Europa Point
Europa Point
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW0.91
HomeWLWDD0.75
AwayWDWLW1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%19%28%
AVG goals3.413.253.56
Over 1.5 %74%69%78%
Over 2.5 %56%50%61%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored0.970.561.33
Conceded2.442.692.22
BTTS38%31%44%
Clean Sheet26%25%28%
Corners---
Cards---
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.59
HomeLLLLD0.65
AwayLLDLL0.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%18%12%
AVG goals4.094.184.00
Over 1.5 %91%94%88%
Over 2.5 %76%82%71%
Over 3.5 %62%71%53%
Scored1.121.181.06
Conceded2.973.002.94
BTTS62%59%65%
Clean Sheet6%6%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2565
84%
2.6
8615+71
4.0
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2563
80%
2.5
6216+46
3.1
84%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.50.6
-
3MagpiesMagpies2546
56%
1.8
5536+19
3.6
84%
68%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.4
-
4Europa PointEuropa Point2535
40%
1.4
3231+1
2.5
64%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
5Mons CalpeMons Calpe2533
36%
1.3
3739-2
3.0
88%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
6Manchester 62Manchester 622529
36%
1.2
4464-20
4.3
92%
76%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.6
-
7LynxLynx2027
40%
1.4
2931-2
3.0
85%
60%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8EuropaEuropa2020
30%
1.0
2534-9
3.0
65%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.21.7
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2016
25%
0.8
2147-26
3.4
80%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.4
-
10Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2013
15%
0.7
1650-34
3.3
85%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.5
-
11College 1975College 19752011
15%
0.6
2165-44
4.3
90%
75%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.2
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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