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Europa Point vs Lincoln Red Imps FC Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2023
Time: 17:30
Final 1-2
Europa Point
Europa Point
Vs
7%
12%
81%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Europa Point win✗ Miss
6.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
12.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC win✓ Hit
81.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Europa PointEuropa Point

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L11D02L00D14L22D04L15L13L13LA·MON22/01H·COL29/01A·MAN04/02A·LIO25/02H·MON05/03A·COL09/04H·MAN15/04H·MAN16/09A·GLA29/09A·MON07/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.713.620.334.331.003.08
vs Stronger (15)0.404.070.294.860.503.38
vs Similar (6)1.502.500.502.502.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W30W12L12L04L02L13L32W01L31WA·GLA08/04A·ST 14/04H·EUR22/04H·QAR11/07A·QAR19/07A·BAL10/08H·BAL17/08H·LYN24/09A·ST 28/09H·GLA04/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.601.072.881.062.231.08
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.002.000.004.00
vs Similar (12)1.171.081.201.201.141.00
vs Weaker (16)3.940.813.820.914.200.60
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%2%06%114%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.3%
Under 1.5
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.3%
Under 2.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
1-2 ✓
7.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-4
6.6%
1-1
5.2%
0-5
4.7%
Europa Point goals ↓
Lincoln Red Imps FC goals →
01234
02.1%4.7%8.3%8.9%7.2%
11.0%5.2%7.6%8.2%6.6%
20.7%2.2%3.5%3.8%3.0%
30.2%0.7%1.1%1.1%0.9%
40.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Europa Point goals (down), columns = Lincoln Red Imps FC goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
St Joseph S Fc
2.52
Magpies
1.84
Europa Point
1.40
Lynx
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.32
Manchester 62
1.16
Europa
1.00
Glacis United
0.80
Lions Gibraltar
0.65
College 1975
0.55
Europa Point is 1.20 points worse than Lincoln Red Imps FC in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 2.60).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.44
St Joseph S Fc
2.48
Magpies
2.20
Manchester 62
1.76
Mons Calpe
1.48
Lynx
1.45
Europa Point
1.28
Europa
1.25
Glacis United
1.05
College 1975
1.05
Lions Gibraltar
0.80
Europa Point is 2.16 goals worse than Lincoln Red Imps FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 3.44).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.60
St Joseph S Fc
0.64
Europa Point
1.24
Magpies
1.44
Lynx
1.55
Mons Calpe
1.56
Europa
1.70
Glacis United
2.35
Lions Gibraltar
2.50
Manchester 62
2.56
College 1975
3.25
Europa Point is 0.64 goals worse than Lincoln Red Imps FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.60).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Europa PointEuropa Point

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D13L11D03L03L12L11DA·MON22/01H·COL29/01A·MAN04/02A·LIO25/02H·MON05/03A·COL09/04H·MAN15/04H·MAN16/09A·GLA29/09A·MON07/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.900.112.330.421.58
vs Stronger (15)0.272.130.142.710.381.62
vs Similar (6)0.331.330.001.000.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D01L10W02L00D00D30W00D10WA·GLA08/04A·ST 14/04H·EUR22/04H·QAR11/07A·QAR19/07A·BAL10/08H·BAL17/08H·LYN24/09A·ST 28/09H·GLA04/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.401.530.410.850.38
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.250.250.200.400.290.14
vs Weaker (16)2.060.442.180.451.800.40
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Europa Point over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Europa PointEuropa Point

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D02L00D01L11D01L12L01L02LA·MON22/01H·COL29/01A·MAN04/02A·LIO25/02H·MON05/03A·COL09/04H·MAN15/04H·MAN16/09A·GLA29/09A·MON07/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.710.222.000.581.50
vs Stronger (15)0.131.930.142.140.121.75
vs Similar (6)1.171.170.501.501.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln Red Imps FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W11D02L02L02L13L02L01L21WA·GLA08/04A·ST 14/04H·EUR22/04H·QAR11/07A·QAR19/07A·BAL10/08H·BAL17/08H·LYN24/09A·ST 28/09H·GLA04/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.671.350.651.380.69
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.920.831.000.800.860.86
vs Weaker (16)1.880.381.640.452.400.20
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa Point) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Europa Point over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa Point over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln Red Imps FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.3%-------✓ Hit
Away win81.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.3%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Lincoln Red Imps FC · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kike GÃģmez33%
Christian Rutjens25%
Nicholas Pozo20%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ayman El Ghobashy67%
Mandi60%
Graeme Torrilla50%
Jaylan Hankins40%
Joe33%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo33%
Tjay De Barr17%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Toni Kolega0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe33%
Toni Kolega17%
Tjay De Barr17%
Bernardo Lopes17%
Juanje ArgÞez17%
Mandi0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Nano0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Toni0%
Kike GÃģmez0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nano20%
Kike GÃģmez17%
Boubacar Sidik Dabo17%
Mandi0%
Toni Kolega0%
Ayman El Ghobashy0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Christian Rutjens0%
Bernardo Lopes0%
Jaylan Hankins0%
Jesus Toscano Serrano0%
Rafael MuÃąoz0%
Juanje ArgÞez0%
Toni0%
Victor VillacaÃąas Morales0%
Graeme Torrilla0%
Joe0%
Nicholas Pozo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Europa Point's squad is €1m less valuable than Lincoln Red Imps FC's (€1m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Europa Point and Lincoln Red Imps FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Europa Point and Lincoln Red Imps FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Europa Point and Lincoln Red Imps FC have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
EP wins
0
Draws
1
LRI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Europa Point vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · H/A from EP
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs EP10-0

Europa PointEuropa Point

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23AMons Calpe Vs EP3-1
29/09/23AGlacis United Vs EP3-1
16/09/23HEP Vs Manchester 621-5
15/04/23HEP Vs Manchester 620-4
09/04/23ACollege 1975 Vs EP2-2
05/03/23HEP Vs Mons Calpe1-4
25/02/23ALions Gibraltar Vs EP0-0
04/02/23AManchester 62 Vs EP2-0
29/01/23HEP Vs College 19751-1
22/01/23AMons Calpe Vs EP2-1

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/23HLRI Vs Glacis United3-1
28/09/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LRI1-0
24/09/23HLRI Vs Lynx3-2
17/08/23HLRI Vs Ballkani1-3
10/08/23ABallkani Vs LRI2-0
19/07/23AQarabag Vs LRI4-0
11/07/23HLRI Vs Qarabag1-2
22/04/23HLRI Vs Europa1-2
14/04/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LRI0-3
08/04/23AGlacis United Vs LRI0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Europa Point
Europa Point
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.33
HomeLDLLL0.11
AwayLDDLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %5%0%8%
AVG goals4.334.674.08
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %76%78%75%
Over 3.5 %71%78%67%
Scored0.710.331.00
Conceded3.624.333.08
BTTS43%33%50%
Clean Sheet10%0%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.97
HomeLLLWW2.12
AwayWWLLL1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%71%57%
AVG goals3.653.943.29
Over 1.5 %87%88%86%
Over 2.5 %74%82%64%
Over 3.5 %52%59%43%
Scored2.522.882.07
Conceded1.131.061.21
BTTS45%59%29%
Clean Sheet35%35%36%
Corners9.007.2511.33
Cards3.004.001.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2565
84%
2.6
8615+71
4.0
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2563
80%
2.5
6216+46
3.1
84%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.50.6
-
3MagpiesMagpies2546
56%
1.8
5536+19
3.6
84%
68%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.4
-
4Europa PointEuropa Point2535
40%
1.4
3231+1
2.5
64%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
5Mons CalpeMons Calpe2533
36%
1.3
3739-2
3.0
88%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
6Manchester 62Manchester 622529
36%
1.2
4464-20
4.3
92%
76%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.6
-
7LynxLynx2027
40%
1.4
2931-2
3.0
85%
60%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8EuropaEuropa2020
30%
1.0
2534-9
3.0
65%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.21.7
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2016
25%
0.8
2147-26
3.4
80%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.4
-
10Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2013
15%
0.7
1650-34
3.3
85%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.5
-
11College 1975College 19752011
15%
0.6
2165-44
4.3
90%
75%
60%
-
0%
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0001.13.2
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Gibraltar: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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