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Europa vs Lynx Result & Analysis

Date: 21/03/2026
Time: 19:30
Final 3-1
Europa
Europa
Vs
47%
26%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lynx
Lynx
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Europa is expected to emerge victorious against Lynx, with a 47% chance of winning at home. The model's selection is indeed a home win, which seems likely given Europa's strong recent form, having just come off a 4-1 win against Mons Calpe. However, Lynx has been struggling, having lost their last five matches. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely score being 2 goals in total, a 24% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 12.5%. Europa has been scoring an average of 2.67 goals at home and conceding just 0.92 goals, while Lynx has been scoring 0.75 goals away and conceding 1.5 goals. The model suggests Over 1.5 goals, which has a high probability of 79.4%. Europa's home win percentage stands at 47%, with a draw percentage of 26% and an away win percentage of 27%. Other suggested picks include the over 2.5 goals and the double chance of home win or draw, both with a probability of 79.4%.

Results analysis

Europa's win extends their run, coming off a win and having a recent form line of WLDWW. The 3-1 scoreline saw the actual result align with the model's call, as the home side took the three points. The model's selection, Home win, was correct, given a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's call was also vindicated by the suggested picks, with Over 1.5 hitting at 79.4%. The model's selection of Home win was the favoured outcome, and it landed.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Europa win✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lynx win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W21W30W01L13L51W10W00D60W50WA·LYN06/12H·MAG13/12A·EUR21/12H·ST 09/01A·LIN18/01H·GLA26/01A·COL07/02H·LIN12/02H·HOU22/02A·MAN02/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.972.131.071.930.87
vs Stronger (7)0.572.000.001.671.002.25
vs Similar (3)3.000.672.001.003.500.50
vs Weaker (20)2.400.652.730.912.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lynx) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynxLynx

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L31W03L00D50W12L00D10W20WA·LIO01/12H·EUR06/12H·EUR13/12A·LIN21/12H·COL11/01A·MAN18/01H·MON25/01A·MAG06/02A·ST 21/02H·GLA08/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.831.292.501.621.25
vs Stronger (12)1.172.920.864.141.601.20
vs Similar (8)1.251.621.002.001.331.50
vs Weaker (10)2.000.702.000.402.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.0%
Under 2.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
Europa goals ↓
Lynx goals →
01234
06.7%5.7%4.1%1.7%0.5%
18.2%12%6.9%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.5%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.3%5.3%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.8%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Europa goals (down), columns = Lynx goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
Manchester 62
0.77
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Europa is 0.81 points better than Lynx in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 1.26).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Manchester 62
1.27
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Europa is 0.56 goals better than Lynx in terms of goals scored per game (1.96 vs 1.41).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Manchester 62
3.59
Europa is 0.89 goals better than Lynx in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.67).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ĩ 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
MAG (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
MAG (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Europa vs Lynx · H/A from EUR
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25ALynx Vs EUR0-2
30/08/25HEUR Vs Lynx0-2
07/02/25HEUR Vs Lynx3-0
17/08/24ALynx Vs EUR1-3
03/02/24ALynx Vs EUR0-0
06/10/23HEUR Vs Lynx1-3
24/02/23ALynx Vs EUR2-0
06/01/23HEUR Vs Lynx2-1

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/26AManchester 62 Vs EUR0-5
22/02/26HEUR Vs Hound Dogs6-0
12/02/26HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-0
07/02/26ACollege 1975 Vs EUR0-1
26/01/26HEUR Vs Glacis United5-1
18/01/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs EUR3-1
09/01/26HEUR Vs St Joseph S Fc0-1
21/12/25AEuropa Point Vs EUR0-3
13/12/25HEUR Vs Magpies2-1
06/12/25ALynx Vs EUR0-2

LynxLynx

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HLYN Vs Glacis United2-0
21/02/26ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LYN0-1
06/02/26AMagpies Vs LYN0-0
25/01/26HLYN Vs Mons Calpe1-2
18/01/26AManchester 62 Vs LYN0-5
11/01/26HLYN Vs College 19750-0
21/12/25ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs LYN3-0
13/12/25HLYN Vs Europa Point3-1
06/12/25HLYN Vs Europa0-2
01/12/25ALions Gibraltar Vs LYN0-1

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.02
HomeWLWDW2.04
AwayWWLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%64%64%
AVG goals3.183.203.16
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored2.162.202.12
Conceded1.021.001.04
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Lynx
Lynx
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.28
HomeLWDLW1.12
AwayWLWDW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%42%
AVG goals3.263.503.04
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %68%75%62%
Over 3.5 %42%46%38%
Scored1.421.291.54
Conceded1.842.211.50
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet30%17%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 10. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2772
85%
2.7
8917+72
3.9
93%
81%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.30.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2763
74%
2.3
9617+79
4.2
81%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0013.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2756
67%
2.1
5321+32
2.7
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
4Mons CalpeMons Calpe2753
63%
2.0
6335+28
3.6
93%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
5Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2743
48%
1.6
5344+9
3.6
89%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
6LynxLynx2734
37%
1.3
3845-7
3.1
70%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7MagpiesMagpies2228
36%
1.3
2532-7
2.6
68%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
8Europa PointEuropa Point2222
32%
1.0
3161-30
4.2
86%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.8
-
9Manchester 62Manchester 622217
23%
0.8
2879-51
4.9
86%
82%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.6
-
10College 1975College 19752214
14%
0.6
1545-30
2.7
68%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
11Glacis UnitedGlacis United2212
14%
0.5
1857-39
3.4
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.6
-
12Hound DogsHound Dogs228
5%
0.4
1066-56
3.5
91%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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