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Europa vs Mons Calpe Prediction & Stats

Date: 20/09/2026
Time: 14:30
Europa
Europa
Vs
52%
23%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Europa’s recent draw and a modest 1.62 goals per game at home suggest a cautious but potent attack, while the side’s 1.0 goal concession rate indicates a solid defence. Mons Calpe, having just lost twice in a row, still averages 2.12 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away, hinting at a more open, high-scoring affair. The model projects a 57% chance of a Europa win, 22% for a draw and 22% for a Mons Calpe victory, with the favoured outcome being a home win. The expected total of 3.6 goals points to a lively match, and the most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Europa, a 9.4% probability. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (97.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.3%), Under 6.5 (93.1%), Home +2 handicap (90.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (89.1%), Over 1.5 (87.8%), Under 5.5 (85.1%) and Away under 2.5 goals (84.9%). These picks reflect the expectation of a high-scoring, home-favoured encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Europa win
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe win
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D60W50W31W30W00D02L41W22D20WH·LIN12/02H·HOU22/02A·MAN02/03H·LYN21/03A·LIO04/04H·ST 11/04A·LIN18/04H·MON25/04H·GLA22/08A·EUR30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.832.191.001.860.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.641.141.621.001.671.33
vs Weaker (16)2.380.562.751.002.000.12
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W03L20W31W12L32W32W14L12LA·LYN25/01H·EUR09/02A·LIN22/02H·COL04/03H·LIO22/03A·LIN05/04A·LYN12/04H·ST 18/04A·EUR25/04A·ST 28/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.501.791.432.501.56
vs Stronger (7)1.292.291.332.671.252.00
vs Similar (15)2.071.732.001.432.122.00
vs Weaker (8)3.120.381.750.504.500.25
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.7%
Under 2.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.2%
Under 3.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
Europa goals ↓
Mons Calpe goals →
01234
03.8%3.3%3.0%1.4%0.5%
15.2%9.6%6.3%3.0%1.1%
26.5%9.2%6.6%3.1%1.1%
34.6%6.5%4.6%2.2%0.8%
42.4%3.4%2.5%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Europa goals (down), columns = Mons Calpe goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Europa is 0.11 points better than Mons Calpe in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 1.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Europa is 0.37 goals worse than Mons Calpe in terms of goals scored per game (1.96 vs 2.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Europa is 0.52 goals better than Mons Calpe in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Europa or Draw
75.0%
Avg Implied -
52%
23%
25%
covers Europa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Europa or Mons Calpe
77.3%
Avg Implied -
52%
23%
25%
covers Europa + Mons Calpe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mons Calpe
47.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
23%
25%
covers Draw + Mons Calpe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Europa over/under 0.5
Over
87.9%
Under
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5
Over
62.4%
Under
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5
Over
35.4%
Under
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 3.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5
Over
76.0%
Under
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Europa, so a minus line means Europa give that many goals of a start and Mons Calpe receive them. At -1, Europa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Europa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Europa)
Europa -2
15.9%
Draw -2
16.0%
Mons Calpe +2
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Europa)
Europa -1
31.9%
Draw -1
20.5%
Mons Calpe +1
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Europa)
Europa +1
75.0%
Draw +1
13.6%
Mons Calpe -1
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Europa)
Europa +2
88.6%
Draw +2
7.3%
Mons Calpe -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EuropaEuropa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W10W20W30W00D02L10W21W00DH·LIN12/02H·HOU22/02A·MAN02/03H·LYN21/03A·LIO04/04H·ST 11/04A·LIN18/04H·MON25/04H·GLA22/08A·EUR30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.250.500.570.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.640.620.500.330.83
vs Weaker (16)1.310.251.880.500.750.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W01L10W21W01L10W11D01L01LA·LYN25/01H·EUR09/02A·LIN22/02H·COL04/03H·LIO22/03A·LIN05/04A·LYN12/04H·ST 18/04A·EUR25/04A·ST 28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.670.790.641.060.69
vs Stronger (7)0.571.000.671.330.500.75
vs Similar (15)0.870.801.000.710.750.88
vs Weaker (8)1.380.120.500.002.250.25
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Europa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EuropaEuropa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W40W11D00D00D00D31W01L20WH·LIN12/02H·HOU22/02A·MAN02/03H·LYN21/03A·LIO04/04H·ST 11/04A·LIN18/04H·MON25/04H·GLA22/08A·EUR30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.400.940.501.290.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.140.501.000.501.330.50
vs Weaker (16)1.060.310.880.501.250.12
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D02L10W10W11D22D21W13L11DA·LYN25/01H·EUR09/02A·LIN22/02H·COL04/03H·LIO22/03A·LIN05/04A·LYN12/04H·ST 18/04A·EUR25/04A·ST 28/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.831.000.791.440.88
vs Stronger (7)0.711.290.671.330.751.25
vs Similar (15)1.200.931.000.711.381.12
vs Weaker (8)1.750.251.250.502.250.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Europa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.3%-------
Under 6.593.1%-------
Home +2 handicap88.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals87.9%-------
Over 1.587.7%-------
Under 5.585.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals82.6%-------
Home or Away77.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals76.0%-------
Home or Draw75.0%-------
Home +1 handicap75.0%-------
Under 4.571.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Europa and Mons Calpe have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Europa and Mons Calpe have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Europa and Mons Calpe have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Europa and Mons Calpe have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
EUR wins
0
Draws
2
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Europa vs Mons Calpe · H/A from EUR
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HEUR Vs Mons Calpe4-1
29/11/25HEUR Vs Mons Calpe1-2
22/08/25AMons Calpe Vs EUR0-1
08/12/24AMons Calpe Vs EUR1-3
01/09/24HEUR Vs Mons Calpe3-2
09/03/24HEUR Vs Mons Calpe3-1
02/12/23AMons Calpe Vs EUR1-0
27/11/22AMons Calpe Vs EUR0-2

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AEuropa Point Vs EUR0-2
22/08/26HEUR Vs Glacis United2-2
25/04/26HEUR Vs Mons Calpe4-1
18/04/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs EUR2-0
11/04/26HEUR Vs St Joseph S Fc0-0
04/04/26ALions Gibraltar Vs EUR0-3
21/03/26HEUR Vs Lynx3-1
02/03/26AManchester 62 Vs EUR0-5
22/02/26HEUR Vs Hound Dogs6-0
12/02/26HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-0

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MC2-1
25/04/26AEuropa Vs MC4-1
18/04/26HMC Vs St Joseph S Fc3-2
12/04/26ALynx Vs MC2-3
05/04/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MC2-1
22/03/26HMC Vs Lions Gibraltar3-1
04/03/26HMC Vs College 19752-0
22/02/26ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MC3-0
09/02/26HMC Vs Europa Point2-1
25/01/26ALynx Vs MC1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW2.00
HomeWWDWD2.04
AwayWWWLW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%62%62%
AVG goals3.023.122.92
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %66%65%67%
Over 3.5 %34%38%29%
Scored2.082.191.96
Conceded0.940.920.96
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.38
HomeDWWWW1.40
AwayLLWLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals3.663.244.08
Over 1.5 %94%88%100%
Over 2.5 %80%64%96%
Over 3.5 %48%40%56%
Scored1.801.562.04
Conceded1.861.682.04
BTTS58%48%68%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1EuropaEuropa24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.01.0
-
2MagpiesMagpies24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.5
-
3Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.0
-
4Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.0
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.01.0
-
6Hound DogsHound Dogs11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
7College 1975College 197521
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.5
-
8LynxLynx21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
10Europa PointEuropa Point21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
11Mons CalpeMons Calpe10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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