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Europa vs St Joseph S Fc Result & Analysis

Date: 09/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Europa
Europa
Vs
34%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
St Joseph S Fc
St Joseph S Fc
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Europa win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc win✗ Miss
38.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W30W01L21W42W02L00D02L02L10WH·COL03/12A·LIO10/12H·LIN13/12H·LYN06/01H·GLA20/01A·ST 28/01H·MAG03/02H·LIN11/02A·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.210.842.090.912.380.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.000.501.001.501.00
vs Weaker (9)3.670.674.000.803.250.50
Clean sheet %42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D41W20W13L20W01L11D32W10WA·GLA10/12H·MON16/12A·COL21/12A·GLA07/01H·MAG21/01H·EUR28/01A·LIN05/02A·LYN15/02H·GLA26/02A·MAG04/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.711.431.441.781.921.17
vs Stronger (2)0.005.500.004.000.007.00
vs Similar (7)1.140.571.330.671.000.50
vs Weaker (12)2.331.251.802.002.710.71
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
Europa goals ↓
St Joseph S Fc goals →
01234
07.9%8.1%6.5%3.0%1.1%
17.5%13%8.5%4.0%1.4%
25.7%8.0%5.6%2.6%0.9%
32.5%3.5%2.4%1.1%0.4%
40.8%1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Europa goals (down), columns = St Joseph S Fc goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
Europa
2.20
Magpies
1.85
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.61
Manchester 62
1.56
St Joseph S Fc
1.50
Lions Gibraltar
1.06
Glacis United
0.65
College 1975
0.50
Europa Point
0.39
Europa is 0.70 points better than St Joseph S Fc in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.40
Europa
2.40
Magpies
1.95
Manchester 62
1.89
St Joseph S Fc
1.75
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.56
Lions Gibraltar
1.39
College 1975
1.06
Glacis United
0.95
Europa Point
0.67
Europa is 0.65 goals better than St Joseph S Fc in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.75).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.70
Europa
0.75
Magpies
0.90
St Joseph S Fc
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.39
Lynx
1.45
Manchester 62
1.67
Lions Gibraltar
2.06
Glacis United
2.45
College 1975
2.83
Europa Point
3.61
Europa is 0.60 goals better than St Joseph S Fc in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 1.35).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EuropaEuropa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W00D20W11D01L00D01L02L00DH·COL03/12A·LIO10/12H·LIN13/12H·LYN06/01H·GLA20/01A·ST 28/01H·MAG03/02H·LIN11/02A·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.950.421.000.450.880.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.200.500.000.670.500.25
vs Weaker (9)1.780.332.200.201.250.50
Clean sheet %68% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L20W10W02L10W00D11D21W10WA·GLA10/12H·MON16/12A·COL21/12A·GLA07/01H·MAG21/01H·EUR28/01A·LIN05/02A·LYN15/02H·GLA26/02A·MAG04/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.950.710.781.001.080.50
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.003.000.004.00
vs Similar (7)0.710.140.670.330.750.00
vs Weaker (12)1.250.581.001.001.430.29
Clean sheet %62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Europa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EuropaEuropa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W01L01L31W01L00D01L00D10WH·COL03/12A·LIO10/12H·LIN13/12H·LYN06/01H·GLA20/01A·ST 28/01H·MAG03/02H·LIN11/02A·LYN24/02A·GLA05/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.260.421.090.451.500.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.500.500.331.000.75
vs Weaker (9)1.890.331.800.602.000.00
Clean sheet %58% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W21W10W11D10W01L00D11D00DA·GLA10/12H·MON16/12A·COL21/12A·GLA07/01H·MAG21/01H·EUR28/01A·LIN05/02A·LYN15/02H·GLA26/02A·MAG04/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.710.670.780.830.67
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (7)0.430.430.670.330.250.50
vs Weaker (12)1.080.670.801.001.290.43
Clean sheet %48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Europa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Europa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Europa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Europa and St Joseph S Fc have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Europa and St Joseph S Fc have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Europa and St Joseph S Fc have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Europa and St Joseph S Fc have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
EUR wins
0
Draws
1
SJS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Europa vs St Joseph S Fc · H/A from EUR
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs EUR2-0
15/10/22HEUR Vs St Joseph S Fc1-0

EuropaEuropa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/23AGlacis United Vs EUR0-1
24/02/23ALynx Vs EUR2-0
11/02/23HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-2
03/02/23HEUR Vs Magpies0-0
28/01/23ASt Joseph S Fc Vs EUR2-0
20/01/23HEUR Vs Glacis United4-2
06/01/23HEUR Vs Lynx2-1
13/12/22HEUR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-1
10/12/22ALions Gibraltar Vs EUR0-3
03/12/22HEUR Vs College 19755-0

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23AMagpies Vs SJS0-1
26/02/23HSJS Vs Glacis United3-2
15/02/23ALynx Vs SJS1-1
05/02/23ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs SJS1-0
28/01/23HSJS Vs Europa2-0
21/01/23HSJS Vs Magpies1-3
07/01/23AGlacis United Vs SJS0-2
21/12/22ACollege 1975 Vs SJS1-4
16/12/22HSJS Vs Mons Calpe2-2
10/12/22AGlacis United Vs SJS2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Europa
Europa
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.84
HomeLWWDL1.82
AwayWWLLW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%55%62%
AVG goals3.053.003.12
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %47%55%38%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored2.212.092.38
Conceded0.840.910.75
BTTS32%45%12%
Clean Sheet42%36%50%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards6.006.00-
St Joseph S Fc
St Joseph S Fc
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.62
HomeWDLWW1.33
AwayWWLDW1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%33%58%
AVG goals3.143.223.08
Over 1.5 %76%89%67%
Over 2.5 %62%78%50%
Over 3.5 %43%56%33%
Scored1.711.441.92
Conceded1.431.781.17
BTTS48%67%33%
Clean Sheet33%22%42%
Corners10.5012.009.00
Cards3.505.002.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2052
85%
2.6
6814+54
4.1
90%
85%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.7
-
2EuropaEuropa2044
70%
2.2
4815+33
3.1
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.40.8
-
3MagpiesMagpies2037
55%
1.9
3918+21
2.9
75%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.9
-
4LynxLynx2033
50%
1.6
3329+4
3.1
85%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2030
45%
1.5
3527+8
3.1
85%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.4
-
6Mons CalpeMons Calpe1829
50%
1.6
2825+3
2.9
83%
61%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
7Manchester 62Manchester 621828
50%
1.6
3430+4
3.6
89%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
8Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar1819
28%
1.1
2537-12
3.4
78%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.1
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2013
20%
0.7
1949-30
3.4
75%
60%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.5
-
10College 1975College 1975189
11%
0.5
1951-32
3.9
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.8
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point187
6%
0.4
1265-53
4.3
83%
72%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.6
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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