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Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Analysis

Date: 19/02/2023
Time: 19:00
Final 0-3
Excelsior
Excelsior
Vs
31%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match between Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win percentages are 31% and 37% respectively, while the draw sits at 31%. The expected total goals is 2.3, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% chance. Excelsior, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. NEC Nijmegen, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.75 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 91.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 87.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 81.1%, Under 3.5 at 80.8% (hit), Under 23.5 fouls at 76.8% and Under 11.5 corners at 73.5%. Both teams are coming off a win, which adds to the uncertainty of the outcome.

Results analysis

The win extends Excelsior’s run, but NEC Nijmegen’s away form, with a 3-1 triumph over PEC Zwolle, proved decisive. The final score was 0-3, an away win that matched the model’s pick and its 37% probability. The model’s selection was correct. The suggested pick, Under 3.5 goals, carried an 80.8% probability and hit, as the match produced only three goals. The model had forecast a 2-goal total with a 28% chance, yet the game exceeded that expectation. Overall, the favoured outcome and the key selection both materialised, confirming the model’s accuracy in this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Excelsior win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.12
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.57
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen win✓ Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied 43.1% · @ 2.20
Edge
-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L01L15L10W01L20W01L14L00D05LA·GO 29/10H·HEE05/11A·FEY13/11H·GRO08/01A·SPA14/01H·FC 20/01A·UTR25/01H·AJA29/01H·WAA04/02A·AZ 10/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.331.291.571.003.00
vs Stronger (12)1.083.581.602.800.714.14
vs Similar (18)1.171.501.110.891.222.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L10W61W11D00D31W02L11D01L00DA·PSV30/10A·CAM04/11H·WAA13/11H·AJA08/01A·VIT15/01H·EMM21/01A·FEY25/01H·SPA28/01A·GO 05/02H·CAM11/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.171.191.000.931.36
vs Stronger (7)0.711.710.671.000.752.25
vs Similar (13)0.691.230.861.140.501.33
vs Weaker (10)1.800.701.830.831.750.50
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.3%
@ 1.69-16.8%
Under 2.5
60.7%
@ 2.16+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
Excelsior goals ↓
NEC Nijmegen goals →
01234
012%11%7.4%2.9%0.9%
19.9%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
26.0%7.1%4.2%1.7%0.5%
32.1%2.5%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = NEC Nijmegen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Feyenoord
2.41
PSV Eindhoven
2.21
Ajax
2.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.97
Twente
1.95
Almere City FC
1.83
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Willem II
1.50
NAC Breda
1.50
Heerenveen
1.28
VVV Venlo
1.25
Waalwijk
1.21
Vitesse
1.18
GO Ahead Eagles
1.18
NEC Nijmegen
1.15
FC Volendam
1.06
Fortuna Sittard
1.06
Excelsior
0.94
Emmen
0.89
Cambuur
0.56
Groningen
0.51
MVV
0.00
Excelsior is 0.21 points worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.62
Ajax
2.54
Feyenoord
2.38
Willem II
2.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.00
Twente
1.95
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
NAC Breda
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.50
Waalwijk
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.35
Almere City FC
1.33
Vitesse
1.32
Heerenveen
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.24
FC Volendam
1.24
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
FC Eindhoven
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Groningen
0.94
Excelsior
0.94
Cambuur
0.76
MVV
0.50
Excelsior is 0.29 goals worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Twente
0.76
Almere City FC
0.83
Feyenoord
0.88
FC Eindhoven
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.08
Ajax
1.14
PSV Eindhoven
1.18
NAC Breda
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.32
Utrecht
1.44
Vitesse
1.47
VVV Venlo
1.50
Heerenveen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.65
Fortuna Sittard
1.82
Emmen
1.84
Waalwijk
1.88
Willem II
2.00
Cambuur
2.03
FC Volendam
2.09
Excelsior
2.09
Groningen
2.23
MVV
2.50
Excelsior is 0.76 goals worse than NEC Nijmegen in terms of goals conceded per game (2.09 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 5.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

17029649432176659796111110135812141617H·AZ A·HERA·DENH·WILA·AJAA·GROH·NACA·HEEH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.7 · Against 0.8 · Total 1.4

🟨 Cards

5011113222210150022H·AZ A·HERA·DENH·WILA·AJAA·GROH·NACA·HEEH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.3 · Total 18.8

⚠️ Fouls

2908711736109129141511128881115189192129231619H·AZ A·HERA·DENH·WILA·AJAA·GROH·NACA·HEEH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

180112352210482636421081157121289618H·FORA·PSVH·GO A·UTRH·AJAH·TWEA·CAMH·SPAA·GRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

5014223212211114504332325H·FORA·PSVH·GO A·UTRH·AJAH·TWEA·CAMH·SPAA·GRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

30010209591713131491610121271368301426262326242014H·FORA·PSVH·GO A·UTRH·AJAH·TWEA·CAMH·SPAA·GRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.911.712.01.51.21.720.419.121.7
vs Stronger (19)12.211.413.21.61.81.517.916.619.5
vs Similar (31)11.711.911.51.40.91.821.520.422.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line76%73%79%18%8%28%38%33%43%
% under line24%27%21%82%92%72%62%67%57%
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.99.31.81.72.021.922.721.1
vs Stronger (12)11.012.09.71.11.30.819.120.817.0
vs Similar (21)10.810.411.22.01.32.721.221.121.3
vs Weaker (17)8.610.86.82.22.32.025.127.223.4
% over line48%67%29%24%19%29%52%53%50%
% under line52%33%71%76%81%71%48%47%50%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.2
Almere City FC
10.7
Cambuur
10.6
Heerenveen
10.3
Utrecht
10.2
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
VVV Venlo
10.0
PSV Eindhoven
9.9
Ajax
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
NAC Breda
9.8
Willem II
9.6
Waalwijk
9.6
Emmen
9.6
Fortuna Sittard
9.6
MVV
9.5
Sparta Rotterdam
9.2
Vitesse
9.1
FC Eindhoven
9.1
GO Ahead Eagles
9.1
AZ Alkmaar
8.9
Groningen
8.8
Twente
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Almere City FC
4.2
FC Eindhoven
4.1
Twente
3.8
Vitesse
3.7
MVV
3.6
Feyenoord
3.5
NEC Nijmegen
3.4
NAC Breda
3.3
VVV Venlo
3.3
Emmen
3.3
Willem II
3.3
Cambuur
3.2
PSV Eindhoven
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
Groningen
3.1
AZ Alkmaar
3.1
Excelsior
2.9
Fortuna Sittard
2.9
GO Ahead Eagles
2.9
Ajax
2.8
Sparta Rotterdam
2.7
Waalwijk
2.7
Heerenveen
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Eindhoven
24.2
Almere City FC
24.0
Vitesse
23.1
Twente
22.5
VVV Venlo
22.5
Emmen
22.4
Groningen
22.3
NAC Breda
22.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
Utrecht
21.4
Excelsior
21.2
Fortuna Sittard
21.2
Waalwijk
20.6
Cambuur
20.6
MVV
20.1
Feyenoord
20.1
Ajax
19.8
AZ Alkmaar
19.5
PSV Eindhoven
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
19.0
Willem II
18.9
GO Ahead Eagles
18.8
Heerenveen
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
38.1%
Under 21.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D12L00D00D10W01L12L00D05LA·GO 29/10H·HEE05/11A·FEY13/11H·GRO08/01A·SPA14/01H·FC 20/01A·UTR25/01H·AJA29/01H·WAA04/02A·AZ 10/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.070.570.710.561.38
vs Stronger (12)0.501.920.801.400.292.29
vs Similar (18)0.610.500.440.330.780.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D01L00D21W02L00D01L00DA·PSV30/10A·CAM04/11H·WAA13/11H·AJA08/01A·VIT15/01H·EMM21/01A·FEY25/01H·SPA28/01A·GO 05/02H·CAM11/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.310.440.500.86
vs Stronger (7)0.141.000.330.670.001.25
vs Similar (13)0.310.540.140.290.500.83
vs Weaker (10)0.700.500.500.501.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L10W01L10W00D02L00D00DA·GO 29/10H·HEE05/11A·FEY13/11H·GRO08/01A·SPA14/01H·FC 20/01A·UTR25/01H·AJA29/01H·WAA04/02A·AZ 10/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.270.710.860.441.62
vs Stronger (12)0.581.670.801.400.431.86
vs Similar (18)0.561.000.670.560.441.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D50W10W00D10W00D11D00D00DA·PSV30/10A·CAM04/11H·WAA13/11H·AJA08/01A·VIT15/01H·EMM21/01A·FEY25/01H·SPA28/01A·GO 05/02H·CAM11/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.880.560.430.50
vs Stronger (7)0.570.710.330.330.751.00
vs Similar (13)0.380.690.710.860.000.50
vs Weaker (10)1.100.201.330.330.750.00
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards91.4%--------
Under 25.5 fouls87.5%--------
Under 4.5 cards81.1%--------
Under 3.580.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.8%--------
Under 11.5 corners73.5%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kik Pierie14%
Lazaros Lamprou14%
Kenzo Goudmijn12%
Nikolas Agrafiotis12%
Marouan Azarkan11%
Redouan El Yaakoubi9%
Julian Baas9%
Couhaib Driouech9%
Siebe Horemans9%
Serano Seymor5%
Reda Kharchouch3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yassin Ayoub20%
Jacky Donkor17%
Joshua Eijgenraam15%
Couhaib Driouech15%
Marouan Azarkan15%
Adrian Fein14%
Mike van Duinen14%
Nathan Markelo14%
Redouan El Yaakoubi12%
Julian Baas12%
Siebe Horemans12%
Nikolas Agrafiotis12%
Arthur Zagre11%
Reda Kharchouch10%
Noah Naujoks10%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Peer Koopmeiners5%
Serano Seymor5%
Sven Nieuwpoort4%
Lazaros Lamprou4%
Kik Pierie0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marouan Azarkan26%
Julian Baas15%
Kik Pierie14%
Couhaib Driouech9%
Lazaros Lamprou7%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Reda Kharchouch3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Siebe Horemans3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Couhaib Driouech12%
Lazaros Lamprou11%
Reda Kharchouch10%
Noah Naujoks10%
Mike van Duinen7%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Kik Pierie0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Marouan Azarkan0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Julian Baas0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
NEC Nijmegen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Landry Dimata27%
Magnus Mattsson16%
Oussama Tannane16%
Pedro Marques14%
Iván Márquez10%
Elayis Tavsan9%
Ibrahim Cissoko8%
Mikkel Duelund7%
Anthony Musaba7%
Souffian El Karouani6%
Jordy Bruijn5%
Philippe Sandler5%
Lasse Schøne3%
Dirk Proper3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Joris Kramer0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oussama Tannane28%
Ilias Bronkhorst25%
Souffian El Karouani24%
Calvin Verdonk24%
Andri Fannar Baldursson18%
Iván Márquez16%
Philippe Sandler14%
Lasse Schøne12%
Dirk Proper9%
Bart van Rooij9%
Pedro Marques7%
Mikkel Duelund7%
Elayis Tavsan6%
Jordy Bruijn5%
Joris Kramer5%
Magnus Mattsson4%
Landry Dimata3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oussama Tannane36%
Pedro Marques10%
Philippe Sandler10%
Joris Kramer10%
Magnus Mattsson8%
Landry Dimata7%
Mikkel Duelund7%
Elayis Tavsan6%
Calvin Verdonk6%
Jordy Bruijn5%
Iván Márquez3%
Lasse Schøne3%
Dirk Proper3%
Souffian El Karouani3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oussama Tannane36%
Landry Dimata20%
Elayis Tavsan12%
Iván Márquez6%
Magnus Mattsson4%
Ibrahim Cissoko4%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Lasse Schøne0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Pedro Marques0%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Joris Kramer0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Jordy Bruijn0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Souffian El Karouani0%
Dirk Proper0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Excelsior's squad is €37m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€16m vs €54m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
Excelsior's attack is €15m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€7m vs €22m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Excelsior's midfield is €3m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€3m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Excelsior's defence is €19m less valuable than NEC Nijmegen's (€6m vs €26m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
EXC wins
2
Draws
1
NN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen · H/A from EXC
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC1-1
22/04/17ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC0-1
18/12/16HEXC Vs NEC Nijmegen2-2
26/02/16HEXC Vs NEC Nijmegen2-0
12/08/15ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC1-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/02/23AAZ Alkmaar Vs EXC5-0
04/02/23HEXC Vs Waalwijk0-0
29/01/23HEXC Vs Ajax1-4
25/01/23AUtrecht Vs EXC1-0
20/01/23HEXC Vs FC Volendam2-0
14/01/23ASparta Rotterdam Vs EXC1-0
08/01/23HEXC Vs Groningen1-0
13/11/22AFeyenoord Vs EXC5-1
05/11/22HEXC Vs Heerenveen0-1
29/10/22AGO Ahead Eagles Vs EXC3-1

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/23HNN Vs Cambuur0-0
05/02/23AGO Ahead Eagles Vs NN1-0
28/01/23HNN Vs Sparta Rotterdam1-1
25/01/23AFeyenoord Vs NN2-0
21/01/23HNN Vs Emmen3-1
15/01/23AVitesse Vs NN0-0
08/01/23HNN Vs Ajax1-1
13/11/22HNN Vs Waalwijk6-1
04/11/22ACambuur Vs NN0-1
30/10/22APSV Eindhoven Vs NN3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL0.96
HomeLWWLD1.48
AwayLLLLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%44%12%
AVG goals3.523.283.76
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %42%32%52%
Scored1.181.440.92
Conceded2.341.842.84
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners11.8611.7312.00
Cards2.522.073.00
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.08
HomeWDWDD0.92
AwayLWDLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%15%33%
AVG goals2.522.422.62
Over 1.5 %68%69%67%
Over 2.5 %38%35%42%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored1.161.121.21
Conceded1.361.311.42
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet24%19%29%
Corners10.1410.939.29
Cards3.142.873.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FeyenoordFeyenoord3482
74%
2.4
8130+51
3.3
85%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
229
9343932.40.9
-
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3475
68%
2.2
8940+49
3.8
76%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
280
106601152.61.2
-
3TwenteTwente3874
55%
1.9
7429+45
2.7
82%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
87
3413391.90.8
-
4AjaxAjax3572
60%
2.1
8940+49
3.7
86%
71%
60%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
17.0
0%
173
9515632.51.1
-
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3467
59%
2.0
6835+33
3.0
82%
62%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
136
6121542.01.0
-
6Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3863
47%
1.7
6341+22
2.7
71%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
28
142121.71.1
-
7UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5752+5
3.0
75%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
61
3314151.61.4
-
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3646
33%
1.3
4556-11
2.8
75%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
50
246201.21.6
-
9WaalwijkWaalwijk3441
32%
1.2
5064-14
3.4
76%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3131.51.9
-
10VitesseVitesse3440
29%
1.2
4550-5
2.8
76%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4121.31.5
-
11GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3440
29%
1.2
4656-10
3.0
85%
50%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
9481.41.6
-
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3439
24%
1.1
4245-3
2.6
71%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
54
225261.21.3
-
13Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3436
29%
1.1
3962-23
3.0
85%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
6471.11.8
-
14FC VolendamFC Volendam3436
29%
1.1
4271-29
3.3
94%
68%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.22.1
-
15EmmenEmmen3834
21%
0.9
3870-32
2.8
82%
55%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1211.01.8
-
16ExcelsiorExcelsior3432
26%
0.9
3271-39
3.0
71%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7360.92.1
-
17CambuurCambuur3419
15%
0.6
2669-43
2.8
71%
62%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
3180.82.0
-
18GroningenGroningen3518
11%
0.5
3378-45
3.2
74%
60%
40%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
17.0
0%
32
126140.92.2
-
19Almere City FCAlmere City FC611
50%
1.8
85+3
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.30.8
-
20NAC BredaNAC Breda46
50%
1.5
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.2
-
21VVV VenloVVV Venlo45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.51.5
-
22Willem IIWillem II23
50%
1.5
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4452.02.0
-
23FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
24MVVMVV20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.52.5
-
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches