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Excelsior vs Twente Result & Analysis

Date: 10/02/2024
Time: 17:45
Final 0-3
Excelsior
Excelsior
Vs
20%
26%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Twente
Twente
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Excelsior win✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied 16.1% · @ 5.86
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 22.5% · @ 4.21
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Twente win✓ Hit
53.6%
Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.54
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D22D24L22D24L11D13L30W11D12LH·AZ 04/11A·UTR12/11H·FEY25/11A·WAA02/12A·TWE08/12H·GO 16/12A·PSV13/01H·HEE19/01H·UTR27/01A·ALM02/02
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.701.671.331.272.07
vs Stronger (11)1.362.361.001.671.803.20
vs Similar (19)1.531.322.111.111.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D33D03L31W42W22D21W01L00D30WA·UTR05/11H·NEC11/11H·PSV25/11A·GO 03/12H·EXC08/12A·SPA17/12H·AZ 13/01A·NEC20/01A·FEY28/01H·WAA03/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.002.000.871.601.13
vs Stronger (7)1.141.711.401.400.502.50
vs Similar (13)1.620.772.000.501.291.00
vs Weaker (10)2.500.802.750.752.330.83
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.70-5.6%
Under 2.5
49.9%
@ 2.14+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3 ✓
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
Excelsior goals ↓
Twente goals →
01234
08.0%11%10%5.7%2.4%
15.5%13%9.7%5.5%2.4%
23.2%5.5%4.7%2.7%1.1%
31.0%1.8%1.5%0.9%0.4%
40.3%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = Twente goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.68
Feyenoord
2.47
NAC Breda
2.17
Twente
2.03
AZ Alkmaar
1.91
Ajax
1.65
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Utrecht
1.50
Sparta Rotterdam
1.40
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
Emmen
1.25
Fortuna Sittard
1.12
Heerenveen
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.06
Almere City FC
1.00
Excelsior
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Heracles
0.97
Waalwijk
0.85
Vitesse
0.71
FC Volendam
0.56
Dordrecht
0.50
De Graafschap
0.50
Roda
0.00
Excelsior is 1.03 points worse than Twente in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
3.26
NAC Breda
3.17
Feyenoord
2.71
Ajax
2.18
AZ Alkmaar
2.06
Twente
2.03
De Graafschap
2.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.97
ADO Den Haag
1.75
Excelsior
1.71
Heerenveen
1.56
Sparta Rotterdam
1.49
Utrecht
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
PEC Zwolle
1.32
Heracles
1.21
Waalwijk
1.12
Fortuna Sittard
1.09
FC Volendam
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Almere City FC
0.97
Vitesse
0.88
Roda
0.50
Excelsior is 0.32 goals worse than Twente in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PSV Eindhoven
0.62
Feyenoord
0.76
Twente
1.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.33
NAC Breda
1.33
Utrecht
1.36
Sparta Rotterdam
1.46
Dordrecht
1.50
Emmen
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Fortuna Sittard
1.65
Waalwijk
1.65
Almere City FC
1.74
Ajax
1.79
PEC Zwolle
1.97
Heerenveen
2.06
Excelsior
2.16
Vitesse
2.18
Heracles
2.18
De Graafschap
2.50
FC Volendam
2.59
ADO Den Haag
3.25
Roda
4.00
Excelsior is 1.10 goals worse than Twente in terms of goals conceded per game (2.16 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
65%
Feyenoord
62%
Ajax
60%
Dordrecht
59%
De Graafschap
58%
Twente
56%
AZ Alkmaar
55%
Roda
53%
Vitesse
50%
Heerenveen
50%
PEC Zwolle
49%
NAC Breda
49%
NEC Nijmegen
48%
Utrecht
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Excelsior
46%
Heracles
46%
GO Ahead Eagles
45%
Waalwijk
45%
Almere City FC
44%
ADO Den Haag
44%
Emmen
44%
Fortuna Sittard
43%
FC Volendam
41%
Excelsior is 9.9 percentage points worse than Twente in terms of average possession (46% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 2.8 · Against 7.3 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1503758652121421022252133710131114512471510A·ALMH·UTRH·HEEA·PSVH·GO A·TWEA·WAAH·FEYA·UTRH·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

70312125211112321224327225322A·ALMH·HEEH·GO A·TWEH·FEYA·UTRH·AZ A·FC H·PECA·VIT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 6.4 · Total 14.9

⚠️ Fouls

260161035127337795459711611926819614149161720A·ALMH·UTRH·HEEA·PSVH·GO A·TWEA·WAAH·FEYA·UTRH·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TwenteTwente

For 6.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

1709395653143102443413325129118171287167H·WAAA·FEYA·NECH·AZ A·SPAH·EXCA·GO H·PSVH·NECA·UTR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

8011232132512213531125471448H·WAAA·FEYA·NECH·AZ A·SPAH·EXCA·GO H·PSVH·NECA·UTR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 10.4 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

2506126811710137115917881291610818141823181425202518H·WAAA·FEYA·NECH·AZ A·SPAH·EXCA·GO H·PSVH·NECA·UTR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.010.81.21.11.316.616.616.5
vs Stronger (20)11.811.012.50.90.71.213.614.512.8
vs Similar (30)8.77.79.71.41.31.418.518.019.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%40%60%14%12%16%15%10%20%
% under line50%60%40%86%88%84%85%90%80%
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.19.82.32.62.024.023.624.4
vs Stronger (12)8.38.48.02.63.21.224.325.222.0
vs Similar (19)11.712.211.22.11.82.323.925.222.8
vs Weaker (19)9.610.09.32.32.92.023.920.026.5
% over line50%54%46%38%44%32%65%69%62%
% under line50%46%54%62%56%68%35%31%38%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Volendam
11.3
Excelsior
11.3
Heerenveen
11.0
Heracles
10.8
Utrecht
10.6
NEC Nijmegen
10.5
Roda
10.4
De Graafschap
10.1
PSV Eindhoven
10.0
Sparta Rotterdam
10.0
ADO Den Haag
10.0
Ajax
10.0
Emmen
10.0
Dordrecht
9.9
Waalwijk
9.9
Almere City FC
9.7
Fortuna Sittard
9.7
Feyenoord
9.7
GO Ahead Eagles
9.6
Vitesse
9.6
PEC Zwolle
9.5
NAC Breda
9.4
Twente
9.3
AZ Alkmaar
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Twente
4.1
Almere City FC
4.1
Dordrecht
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
PSV Eindhoven
3.8
Roda
3.8
Heracles
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Vitesse
3.7
ADO Den Haag
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.5
NEC Nijmegen
3.4
Ajax
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.3
Fortuna Sittard
3.3
Emmen
3.2
FC Volendam
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1
De Graafschap
3.1
Utrecht
3.1
Excelsior
3.0
GO Ahead Eagles
3.0
Waalwijk
3.0
Heerenveen
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Almere City FC
24.4
Dordrecht
23.7
Twente
23.4
ADO Den Haag
23.0
Roda
22.8
Heracles
22.7
Emmen
22.2
Vitesse
22.1
NAC Breda
21.7
Utrecht
21.3
Feyenoord
21.0
Fortuna Sittard
21.0
AZ Alkmaar
21.0
NEC Nijmegen
21.0
PSV Eindhoven
20.1
Ajax
20.1
PEC Zwolle
20.0
Waalwijk
20.0
De Graafschap
19.5
GO Ahead Eagles
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
18.9
Excelsior
18.8
FC Volendam
17.8
Heerenveen
17.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
31.6%
Under 21.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D01L21W00D02L20W00D11DH·AZ 04/11A·UTR12/11H·FEY25/11A·WAA02/12A·TWE08/12H·GO 16/12A·PSV13/01H·HEE19/01H·UTR27/01A·ALM02/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.670.200.530.73
vs Stronger (11)0.450.820.330.500.601.20
vs Similar (19)0.680.260.890.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L20W12L10W11D00D00D10WA·UTR05/11H·NEC11/11H·PSV25/11A·GO 03/12H·EXC08/12A·SPA17/12H·AZ 13/01A·NEC20/01A·FEY28/01H·WAA03/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.330.870.400.670.27
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.800.600.500.50
vs Similar (13)0.620.230.830.000.430.43
vs Weaker (10)1.000.301.000.751.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D13L21W03L11D11D10W11D01LH·AZ 04/11A·UTR12/11H·FEY25/11A·WAA02/12A·TWE08/12H·GO 16/12A·PSV13/01H·HEE19/01H·UTR27/01A·ALM02/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.231.001.130.731.33
vs Stronger (11)0.911.550.671.171.202.00
vs Similar (19)0.841.051.221.110.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D23L02L11D30W12L10W01L00D20WA·UTR05/11H·NEC11/11H·PSV25/11A·GO 03/12H·EXC08/12A·SPA17/12H·AZ 13/01A·NEC20/01A·FEY28/01H·WAA03/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.671.130.470.930.87
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.600.800.002.00
vs Similar (13)1.000.541.170.500.860.57
vs Weaker (10)1.500.501.750.001.330.83
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls90.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards87.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott41%
Lance Duijvestijn35%
Nikolas Agrafiotis28%
Couhaib Driouech23%
Kik Pierie20%
Lazaros Lamprou19%
Oscar Uddenäs13%
Julian Baas11%
Richie Omorowa8%
Siebe Horemans8%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Sven Nieuwpoort4%
Cisse Sandra3%
Arthur Zagre3%
Casper Widell3%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Serano Seymor0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Siem de Moes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Siem de Moes33%
Arthur Zagre23%
Julian Baas22%
Ian Smeulers17%
Couhaib Driouech13%
Siebe Horemans13%
Mike van Duinen12%
Lazaros Lamprou12%
Serano Seymor11%
Kian Fitz-Jim10%
Kenzo Goudmijn9%
Sven Nieuwpoort9%
Mimeirhel Benita8%
Troy Parrott7%
Redouan El Yaakoubi7%
Cisse Sandra7%
Lance Duijvestijn6%
Oscar Uddenäs4%
Richie Omorowa4%
Noah Naujoks4%
Casper Widell3%
Kik Pierie0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lazaros Lamprou25%
Couhaib Driouech23%
Lance Duijvestijn18%
Troy Parrott17%
Arthur Zagre16%
Kenzo Goudmijn14%
Nikolas Agrafiotis11%
Siebe Horemans11%
Kian Fitz-Jim10%
Redouan El Yaakoubi10%
Richie Omorowa8%
Cisse Sandra7%
Julian Baas5%
Noah Naujoks4%
Mimeirhel Benita4%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes3%
Mike van Duinen0%
Kik Pierie0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Casper Widell0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Serano Seymor0%
Siem de Moes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Troy Parrott28%
Lazaros Lamprou19%
Couhaib Driouech10%
Lance Duijvestijn6%
Nikolas Agrafiotis6%
Redouan El Yaakoubi3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Kik Pierie0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Casper Widell0%
Julian Baas0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Serano Seymor0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Siem de Moes0%
Twente
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sem Steijn39%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel34%
Manfred Ugalde29%
Myron Boadu27%
Daan Rots23%
Naci Ünüvar16%
Younes Taha14%
Joshua Brenet11%
Gijs Besselink8%
Robin Pröpper8%
Michel Vlap6%
Youri Regeer5%
Alfons Sampsted3%
Michal Sadílek3%
Mathias Kjølø3%
Carel Eiting0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Mitchell Van Bergen0%
Gijs Smal0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Mees Hilgers0%
Max Bruns0%
Mats Rots0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mees Hilgers21%
Robin Pröpper21%
Michal Sadílek19%
Manfred Ugalde17%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel13%
Mathias Kjølø11%
Gijs Smal11%
Daan Rots10%
Myron Boadu9%
Younes Taha9%
Michel Vlap9%
Carel Eiting9%
Youri Regeer8%
Naci Ünüvar8%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck6%
Joshua Brenet5%
Lars Unnerstall5%
Alfons Sampsted3%
Sem Steijn3%
Mitchell Van Bergen0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Max Bruns0%
Mats Rots0%
Gijs Besselink0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manfred Ugalde29%
Daan Rots26%
Michel Vlap18%
Anass Salah-Eddine17%
Joshua Brenet16%
Carel Eiting13%
Naci Ünüvar12%
Gijs Smal11%
Michal Sadílek8%
Sem Steijn8%
Alfons Sampsted7%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel5%
Mitchell Van Bergen5%
Younes Taha5%
Mathias Kjølø3%
Youri Regeer3%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Myron Boadu0%
Robin Pröpper0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Mees Hilgers0%
Max Bruns0%
Mats Rots0%
Gijs Besselink0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manfred Ugalde42%
Sem Steijn34%
Myron Boadu27%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel18%
Michel Vlap18%
Mitchell Van Bergen10%
Joshua Brenet5%
Daan Rots5%
Younes Taha5%
Naci Ünüvar4%
Michal Sadílek0%
Carel Eiting0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Robin Pröpper0%
Gijs Smal0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Youri Regeer0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Mees Hilgers0%
Max Bruns0%
Mats Rots0%
Gijs Besselink0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
Excelsior's squad is €70m less valuable than Twente's (€16m vs €87m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
EMM (6)
€1m
Excelsior's attack is €27m less valuable than Twente's (€7m vs €34m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
Excelsior's midfield is €11m less valuable than Twente's (€3m vs €13m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
Excelsior's defence is €32m less valuable than Twente's (€6m vs €39m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
EXC wins
3
Draws
3
TWE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Excelsior vs Twente · H/A from EXC
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/23ATwente Vs EXC4-2
01/04/23HEXC Vs Twente0-0
31/08/22ATwente Vs EXC4-0
23/12/17HEXC Vs Twente0-0
27/10/17ATwente Vs EXC1-3
12/02/17HEXC Vs Twente1-1
06/08/16ATwente Vs EXC1-2
20/04/16ATwente Vs EXC2-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/02/24AAlmere City FC Vs EXC2-1
27/01/24HEXC Vs Utrecht1-1
19/01/24HEXC Vs Heerenveen3-0
13/01/24APSV Eindhoven Vs EXC3-1
16/12/23HEXC Vs GO Ahead Eagles1-1
08/12/23ATwente Vs EXC4-2
02/12/23AWaalwijk Vs EXC2-2
25/11/23HEXC Vs Feyenoord2-4
12/11/23AUtrecht Vs EXC2-2
04/11/23HEXC Vs AZ Alkmaar1-1

TwenteTwente

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24HTWE Vs Waalwijk3-0
28/01/24AFeyenoord Vs TWE0-0
20/01/24ANEC Nijmegen Vs TWE1-0
13/01/24HTWE Vs AZ Alkmaar2-1
17/12/23ASparta Rotterdam Vs TWE2-2
08/12/23HTWE Vs Excelsior4-2
03/12/23AGO Ahead Eagles Vs TWE1-3
25/11/23HTWE Vs PSV Eindhoven0-3
11/11/23HTWE Vs NEC Nijmegen3-3
05/11/23AUtrecht Vs TWE1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL0.94
HomeDLDWD1.40
AwayDDLLL0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%36%8%
AVG goals3.142.763.52
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %42%28%56%
Scored1.181.361.00
Conceded1.961.402.52
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners9.909.0010.80
Cards3.753.384.12
Twente
Twente
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.94
HomeDLWWW2.44
AwayDWDLD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%76%36%
AVG goals2.883.162.60
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.922.281.56
Conceded0.960.881.04
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners9.9610.089.85
Cards4.384.923.85

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3491
85%
2.7
11121+90
3.9
94%
71%
62%
10.3
65%
3.0
35%
17.6
24%
280
106601153.30.6
65%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3484
76%
2.5
9226+66
3.5
79%
71%
56%
10.6
65%
3.3
38%
19.7
41%
229
9343932.70.8
62%
3TwenteTwente3469
62%
2.0
6936+33
3.1
76%
68%
32%
10.2
59%
3.7
53%
21.3
41%
87
3413392.01.1
56%
4AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3465
56%
1.9
7039+31
3.2
91%
68%
38%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.9
50%
136
6121542.11.1
55%
5AjaxAjax3456
44%
1.6
7461+13
4.0
97%
82%
68%
9.6
56%
3.3
39%
19.0
29%
173
9515632.21.8
60%
6UtrechtUtrecht3654
39%
1.5
5349+4
2.8
75%
42%
33%
10.8
67%
3.5
33%
20.9
47%
61
3314151.51.4
48%
7NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3553
40%
1.5
6953+16
3.5
94%
71%
46%
10.9
63%
3.8
55%
20.0
37%
54
225262.01.5
48%
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3650
36%
1.4
5048+2
2.7
83%
50%
28%
10.8
64%
3.0
34%
19.3
31%
22
9481.41.3
45%
9Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3549
40%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
86%
57%
34%
11.1
60%
3.1
38%
18.4
26%
28
142121.51.5
47%
10ExcelsiorExcelsior3838
24%
1.0
6582-17
3.9
95%
82%
55%
10.0
50%
3.8
45%
17.0
13%
16
7361.72.2
46%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3438
26%
1.1
3756-19
2.7
71%
56%
41%
9.7
53%
3.7
55%
20.7
41%
17
6471.11.6
43%
12HeerenveenHeerenveen3437
29%
1.1
5370-17
3.6
97%
71%
47%
10.8
62%
2.8
28%
19.4
29%
50
246201.62.1
50%
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3436
26%
1.1
4567-22
3.3
91%
65%
44%
10.3
65%
3.7
53%
19.4
35%
21
84101.32.0
49%
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC3434
21%
1.0
3359-26
2.7
76%
50%
32%
10.2
74%
3.9
50%
24.0
68%
10
5231.01.7
44%
15HeraclesHeracles3433
26%
1.0
4174-33
3.4
88%
71%
53%
11.9
79%
3.6
53%
21.1
44%
8
4131.22.2
46%
16WaalwijkWaalwijk3429
21%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
76%
53%
35%
11.0
65%
3.1
32%
19.9
41%
8
3131.11.6
45%
17VitesseVitesse3424
18%
0.7
3074-44
3.1
82%
59%
44%
11.2
62%
3.6
47%
21.8
50%
7
4120.92.2
50%
18FC VolendamFC Volendam3419
12%
0.6
3488-54
3.6
85%
68%
53%
11.3
68%
3.4
41%
17.2
18%
6
2131.02.6
41%
19NAC BredaNAC Breda613
67%
2.2
198+11
4.5
100%
83%
67%
9.5
50%
4.0
67%
19.8
33%
10
4243.21.3
49%
20EmmenEmmen45
25%
1.2
46-2
2.5
75%
50%
25%
10.5
50%
3.8
50%
22.0
50%
5
1211.01.5
44%
21ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag44
25%
1.0
713-6
5.0
100%
100%
75%
11.8
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
25%
13
7151.83.2
44%
22De GraafschapDe Graafschap21
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
14.5
100%
4.0
50%
20.0
0%
6
2222.02.5
58%
23DordrechtDordrecht21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
4.0
50%
22.0
50%
6
2221.01.5
59%
24RodaRoda20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
11.5
50%
4.0
100%
19.5
50%
8
4220.54.0
53%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches