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Excelsior vs Twente Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 1-0
Excelsior
Excelsior
Vs
34%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Twente
Twente
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Excelsior win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.83
Edge
+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.86
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Twente win✗ Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied 51.4% · @ 1.82
Edge
-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W21W20W41W20W50W12L05L12L14LH·JON28/03A·MVV04/04H·FC 11/04A·FC 20/04H·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.171.790.571.691.69
vs Stronger (4)1.253.501.002.001.334.00
vs Similar (25)1.800.841.830.501.771.15
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W20W23L02L22D23L01L02L21WH·PSV24/04A·SPA04/05H·UTR11/05H·AZ 14/05A·AJA18/05H·NEC22/05A·AZ 25/05A·PEC10/08H·PSV17/08A·HEE24/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.631.861.431.501.81
vs Stronger (8)1.002.501.202.800.672.00
vs Similar (11)2.091.182.000.602.171.67
vs Weaker (11)1.731.452.500.751.291.86
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.56+0.4%
Under 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.31-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-0 ✓
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
Excelsior goals ↓
Twente goals →
01234
05.5%6.2%5.9%3.2%1.3%
15.5%12%8.8%4.8%1.9%
24.9%8.0%6.5%3.5%1.4%
32.4%3.9%3.2%1.7%0.7%
40.9%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = Twente goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Excelsior is 0.59 points worse than Twente in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Excelsior is 0.47 goals worse than Twente in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Excelsior is 0.47 goals worse than Twente in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Excelsior is 6.6 percentage points worse than Twente in terms of average possession (48% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 5.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1305756274310365184527112119713661278A·UTRH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·FC H·FC A·MVVH·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

4021122112111111112241321212H·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·FC H·FC A·MVVH·JONA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

300156178141417911816141771310812161221252826193024232028A·UTRH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·FC H·FC A·MVVH·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TwenteTwente

For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

140478642235864397345351114651310121098A·HEEH·PSVA·PECA·AZ H·NECA·AJAH·AZ H·UTRA·SPAH·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

804412143222212223228355423254A·HEEH·PSVA·PECA·AZ H·NECA·AJAH·AZ H·UTRH·PSVA·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

2901910101215149101112171089111861241429222919232717291818A·HEEH·PSVA·PECA·AZ H·NECA·AJAH·AZ H·UTRA·SPAH·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.910.23.33.13.522.122.222.0
vs Stronger (5)12.011.012.30.82.00.521.025.019.7
vs Similar (43)9.79.79.83.73.34.022.222.022.5
vs Weaker (2)12.012.012.03.01.05.021.523.020.0
% over line55%57%54%46%42%50%51%52%50%
% under line45%43%46%54%58%50%49%48%50%
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.23.73.44.021.821.122.5
vs Stronger (16)9.69.69.64.34.73.921.221.121.4
vs Similar (15)9.58.310.64.13.15.022.322.022.6
vs Weaker (19)9.99.510.22.82.23.321.820.223.1
% over line52%42%62%52%46%58%54%50%58%
% under line48%58%38%48%54%42%46%50%42%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
NEC Nijmegen
10.5
Heracles
10.5
Utrecht
10.4
Telstar
10.4
FC Volendam
10.3
Excelsior
10.0
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
Twente
9.7
PEC Zwolle
9.6
Heerenveen
9.5
NAC Breda
9.4
AZ Alkmaar
9.3
Groningen
9.2
Ajax
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.5
Ajax
4.3
Twente
4.1
Excelsior
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Utrecht
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
FC Volendam
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
Heracles
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
Telstar
3.4
Heerenveen
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
25.6
Ajax
23.4
Heracles
23.4
FC Volendam
23.0
AZ Alkmaar
22.1
Fortuna Sittard
21.9
Excelsior
21.8
PEC Zwolle
21.8
NEC Nijmegen
21.7
Twente
21.6
Heerenveen
21.5
Feyenoord
21.1
Utrecht
21.0
Groningen
21.0
NAC Breda
20.6
GO Ahead Eagles
19.4
Sparta Rotterdam
18.0
PSV Eindhoven
17.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.8%
Under 21.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W20W20W20W11D01L12L02LH·JON28/03A·MVV04/04H·FC 11/04A·FC 20/04H·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.470.860.430.750.50
vs Stronger (4)0.501.251.002.000.331.00
vs Similar (25)0.840.360.830.330.850.38
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W22D01L10W21W01L01L10WH·PSV24/04A·SPA04/05H·UTR11/05H·AZ 14/05A·AJA18/05H·NEC22/05A·AZ 25/05A·PEC10/08H·PSV17/08A·HEE24/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.671.000.640.750.69
vs Stronger (8)0.751.120.801.400.670.67
vs Similar (11)1.180.271.000.001.330.50
vs Weaker (11)0.640.731.250.500.290.86
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W10W21W00D30W01L04L00D12LH·JON28/03A·MVV04/04H·FC 11/04A·FC 20/04H·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.700.930.140.941.19
vs Stronger (4)0.752.250.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.960.481.000.170.920.77
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TwenteTwente

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W01L01L12L02L00D01L11DH·PSV24/04A·SPA04/05H·UTR11/05H·AZ 14/05A·AJA18/05H·NEC22/05A·AZ 25/05A·PEC10/08H·PSV17/08A·HEE24/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.860.790.751.12
vs Stronger (8)0.251.380.401.400.001.33
vs Similar (11)0.910.911.000.600.831.17
vs Weaker (11)1.090.731.250.251.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Naujoks29%
Miliano Jonathans22%
Irakli Yegoian16%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Szymon Włodarczyk13%
Arthur Zagre13%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Ilias Bronkhorst6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Lewis Schouten4%
Mike van Duinen3%
Casper Widell3%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Raatsie33%
Chris-Kévin Nadje29%
Arthur Zagre19%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Adam Carlén15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Rick Meissen12%
Miliano Jonathans11%
Noah Naujoks10%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Casper Widell6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Lewis Schouten4%
Jerolldino Bergraaf4%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gyan de Regt17%
Nolan Martens10%
Rick Meissen9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes9%
Emil Hansson8%
Simon Janssen8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Arthur Zagre6%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Adam Carlén4%
Noah Naujoks3%
Stijn van Gassel3%
Casper Widell3%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Naujoks26%
Irakli Yegoian19%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Jerolldino Bergraaf12%
Gyan de Regt9%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Casper Widell3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Emil Hansson0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Nolan Martens0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Twente
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristian Hlynsson33%
Daan Rots28%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel27%
Naci Ünüvar25%
Thomas Van den Belt14%
Sam Lammers14%
Mats Rots14%
Sondre Ørjasæter12%
Ramiz Zerrouki9%
Bart van Rooij8%
Max Bruns7%
Marko Pjaca7%
Daouda Weidmann5%
Ruud Nijstad4%
Robin Pröpper0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Arno Verschueren0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Przemysław Tytoń0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Taylor Booth0%
Stav Lemkin0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Naci Ünüvar25%
Robin Pröpper20%
Taylor Booth20%
Thomas Van den Belt14%
Bart van Rooij14%
Daan Rots14%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel12%
Mats Rots11%
Stav Lemkin11%
Ramiz Zerrouki9%
Max Bruns7%
Marko Pjaca7%
Sondre Ørjasæter6%
Daouda Weidmann5%
Sam Lammers4%
Arno Verschueren3%
Kristian Hlynsson3%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Przemysław Tytoń0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sondre Ørjasæter24%
Sam Lammers18%
Bart van Rooij14%
Kristian Hlynsson11%
Daan Rots11%
Mats Rots11%
Marko Pjaca7%
Arno Verschueren6%
Thomas Van den Belt6%
Daouda Weidmann5%
Ruud Nijstad4%
Stav Lemkin4%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel3%
Ramiz Zerrouki3%
Robin Pröpper0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Przemysław Tytoń0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Taylor Booth0%
Max Bruns0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sam Lammers36%
Kristian Hlynsson25%
Sondre Ørjasæter21%
Daan Rots17%
Ricky van Wolfswinkel15%
Thomas Van den Belt14%
Bart van Rooij8%
Marko Pjaca7%
Ramiz Zerrouki6%
Daouda Weidmann5%
Mathias Kjølø5%
Robin Pröpper3%
Arno Verschueren3%
Mats Rots3%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Przemysław Tytoń0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Taylor Booth0%
Max Bruns0%
Stav Lemkin0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Excelsior's squad is €70m less valuable than Twente's (€16m vs €87m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Excelsior's attack is €27m less valuable than Twente's (€7m vs €34m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Excelsior's midfield is €11m less valuable than Twente's (€3m vs €13m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Excelsior's defence is €32m less valuable than Twente's (€6m vs €39m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
EXC wins
3
Draws
3
TWE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Excelsior vs Twente · H/A from EXC
DateH/AGameScore
10/02/24HEXC Vs Twente0-3
08/12/23ATwente Vs EXC4-2
01/04/23HEXC Vs Twente0-0
31/08/22ATwente Vs EXC4-0
23/12/17HEXC Vs Twente0-0
27/10/17ATwente Vs EXC1-3
12/02/17HEXC Vs Twente1-1
06/08/16ATwente Vs EXC1-2

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/25AUtrecht Vs EXC4-1
16/08/25HEXC Vs Feyenoord1-2
09/08/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC5-0
09/05/25AJong AZ Vs EXC2-1
02/05/25HEXC Vs Jong PSV U215-0
27/04/25HEXC Vs Emmen2-0
20/04/25AFC Volendam Vs EXC1-4
11/04/25HEXC Vs FC OSS2-0
04/04/25AMVV Vs EXC1-2
28/03/25HEXC Vs Jong Utrecht3-0

TwenteTwente

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/25AHeerenveen Vs TWE1-2
17/08/25HTWE Vs PSV Eindhoven0-2
10/08/25APEC Zwolle Vs TWE1-0
25/05/25AAZ Alkmaar Vs TWE3-2
22/05/25HTWE Vs NEC Nijmegen2-2
18/05/25AAjax Vs TWE2-0
14/05/25HTWE Vs AZ Alkmaar2-3
11/05/25HTWE Vs Utrecht2-0
04/05/25ASparta Rotterdam Vs TWE0-2
24/04/25HTWE Vs PSV Eindhoven1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.86
HomeWWWWL2.38
AwayWWLLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%75%38%
AVG goals3.403.253.54
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %68%58%77%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored2.062.461.69
Conceded1.340.791.85
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet30%46%15%
Corners10.029.8710.17
Cards3.713.264.18
Twente
Twente
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.42
HomeLWLDL1.75
AwayWLLLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals3.143.003.27
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %52%38%65%
Over 3.5 %38%33%42%
Scored1.641.751.54
Conceded1.501.251.73
BTTS62%50%73%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners9.679.1710.17
Cards4.023.574.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches