Exeter vs Walsall Result & Analysis

Exeter are tipped to win, with a 43% chance of taking the match home, 31% for a draw and 27% for a Walsall victory. The model predicts an average of 2.3 goals, most likely a 2-goal total with a 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% chance. Exeter, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.45 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. Walsall, on the road, averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded to such opposition. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 94.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 87.1%, Under 4.5 cards at 86.7%, Over 8.5 corners at 81.2% (miss), Under 3.5 at 80.7% (miss), Under 23.5 fouls at 76.2%, Under 3.5 cards at 72.0% and Over 9.5 corners at 71.5% (miss). Exeter’s recent draw against Barnet and Walsall’s unbeaten streak in five games suggest a tightly contested encounter.

The draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Exeter, was tipped for a home win with a 43% chance. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished 2-2, a result that extended Exeter’s recent draw and Walsall’s unbeaten run. The model’s other selections largely held: Under 5.5 cards hit at 94.6%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 87.1%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 86.7%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 76.2%, and Under 3.5 cards hit at 72.0%. However, Over 8.5 corners missed at 81.2%, Under 3.5 missed at 80.7%, and Over 9.5 corners missed at 71.5%. The match was a tight affair, with both sides scoring twice.