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FA Šiauliai II vs Šilas Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 2-3
FA Šiauliai II
FA Šiauliai II
Vs
35%
28%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FA Šiauliai II win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šilas win✓ Hit
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L15L31W11D01L13L00D01L21W01LA·BE107/09A·BFA18/09H·PAN03/10A·MIN09/10H·ŠIL14/10A·NEP21/10H·ŽAL25/10H·NEV30/10H·TRA07/11H·DAI12/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.890.861.571.292.21
vs Stronger (16)1.061.881.001.501.122.25
vs Similar (8)0.882.000.501.501.252.50
vs Weaker (4)1.501.751.002.002.001.50
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L21W32W20W03L10W10W14L01L11DA·BAB03/09H·ATM08/09A·BAN16/09H·ŽAL30/09A·PAN08/10A·FA 14/10H·NEV21/10A·DAI28/10H·GAR05/11A·BE112/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.371.930.871.471.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.382.001.750.751.003.25
vs Weaker (22)1.821.142.000.911.641.36
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
FA Šiauliai II goals ↓
Šilas goals →
01234
07.5%7.6%6.2%2.9%1.0%
17.4%13%8.4%4.0%1.4%
25.8%8.2%5.8%2.7%0.9%
32.6%3.7%2.6%1.2%0.4%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FA Šiauliai II goals (down), columns = Šilas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
FA Šiauliai II is 0.42 points worse than Šilas in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
FA Šiauliai II is 0.39 goals better than Šilas in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
FA Šiauliai II is 0.33 goals worse than Šilas in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L10W00D00D02L00D01L20W00DA·BE107/09A·BFA18/09H·PAN03/10A·MIN09/10H·ŠIL14/10A·NEP21/10H·ŽAL25/10H·NEV30/10H·TRA07/11H·DAI12/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.390.790.430.570.361.00
vs Stronger (16)0.440.690.500.380.381.00
vs Similar (8)0.381.000.250.750.501.25
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.501.000.000.50
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D20W10W00D00D00D13L00D01LA·BAB03/09H·ATM08/09A·BAN16/09H·ŽAL30/09A·PAN08/10A·FA 14/10H·NEV21/10A·DAI28/10H·GAR05/11A·BE112/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.560.920.310.500.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.291.000.670.330.001.50
vs Weaker (20)0.850.401.000.300.700.50
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L21W11D01L11D00D00D01L01LA·BE107/09A·BFA18/09H·PAN03/10A·MIN09/10H·ŠIL14/10A·NEP21/10H·ŽAL25/10H·NEV30/10H·TRA07/11H·DAI12/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.681.110.431.000.931.21
vs Stronger (16)0.621.190.501.120.751.25
vs Similar (8)0.501.000.250.750.751.25
vs Weaker (4)1.251.000.501.002.001.00
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L21W12L10W03L10W10W01L01L10WA·BAB03/09H·ATM08/09A·BAN16/09H·ŽAL30/09A·PAN08/10A·FA 14/10H·NEV21/10A·DAI28/10H·GAR05/11A·BE112/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.891.080.620.931.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.861.140.670.331.001.75
vs Weaker (20)1.050.801.200.700.900.90
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
FŠI wins
0
Draws
2
ŠIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FA Šiauliai II vs Šilas · H/A from FŠI
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/22HFŠI Vs Šilas0-1
10/06/22AŠilas Vs FŠI5-0

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22HFŠI Vs Dainava0-1
07/11/22HFŠI Vs Trakai II2-1
30/10/22HFŠI Vs Nevėžis0-1
25/10/22HFŠI Vs Žalgiris II0-0
21/10/22ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs FŠI3-1
14/10/22HFŠI Vs Šilas0-1
09/10/22AMinija Vs FŠI1-1
03/10/22HFŠI Vs Panevėžys II3-1
18/09/22ABFA Vs FŠI5-1
07/09/22ABe1 NFA Vs FŠI2-0

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22ABe1 NFA Vs ŠIL1-1
05/11/22HŠIL Vs Garliava0-1
28/10/22ADainava Vs ŠIL4-1
21/10/22HŠIL Vs Nevėžis1-0
14/10/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs ŠIL0-1
08/10/22APanevėžys II Vs ŠIL3-0
30/09/22HŠIL Vs Žalgiris II2-0
16/09/22ABanga II Vs ŠIL2-3
08/09/22HŠIL Vs Atmosfera2-1
03/09/22ABabrungas Vs ŠIL4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FA Šiauliai II
FA Šiauliai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.04
HomeLDLWL0.93
AwayWLLDL1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%36%
AVG goals2.962.433.50
Over 1.5 %82%71%93%
Over 2.5 %61%57%64%
Over 3.5 %29%14%43%
Scored1.070.861.29
Conceded1.891.572.21
BTTS50%43%57%
Clean Sheet7%7%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.77
HomeWWWWL2.13
AwayWLWLD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%67%40%
AVG goals3.072.803.33
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %57%47%67%
Over 3.5 %37%27%47%
Scored1.701.931.47
Conceded1.370.871.87
BTTS53%40%67%
Clean Sheet33%47%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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