Făleşti vs Olimp Comrat Result & Analysis

Date: 10/11/2023

Time: 11:00

Final 0-1

Făleşti

47%

28%

25%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Olimp Comrat

Moldova: Liga 1

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Făleşti win✗ Miss

46.7%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

28.0%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Olimp Comrat win✓ Hit

25.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Făleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.40	2.70	1.20	2.60	1.60	2.80
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	2.25	1.00	1.50	0.50	3.00
vs Similar (20)	1.40	2.90	1.00	3.00	1.80	2.80
vs Weaker (6)	1.83	2.33	2.00	2.00	1.67	2.67
Clean sheet %	17% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp Comrat

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.19	2.07	1.23	1.77	1.14	2.36
vs Stronger (5)	0.80	4.00	1.00	2.00	0.67	5.33
vs Similar (21)	1.14	1.71	1.27	1.73	1.00	1.70
vs Weaker (1)	4.00	0.00	-	-	4.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	11% (-11pp vs league)

This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

74.5%

Under 1.5

25.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

48.2%

Under 2.5

51.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

26.5%

Under 3.5

73.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

52.7%

47.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.4%

1-0

10.1%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

8.7%

0-0

8.6%

0-1 ✓

6.7%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

5.0%

Făleşti goals ↓

	Olimp Comrat goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	6.7%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10%	13%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.3%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.4%	4.8%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.8%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Făleşti goals (down), columns = Olimp Comrat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Saxan

2.33

Sheriff II

2.32

Victoria Bardar

2.27

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

2.20

FCM Ungheni

1.57

Olimp Comrat

1.45

Speranis Nisporeni

1.45

Speranța Drochia

1.40

Iskra

1.36

Văsieni

1.33

Făleşti

1.23

Real Succes

0.36

Dinamo-Auto

0.05

Făleşti is 0.23 points worse than Olimp Comrat in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Victoria Bardar

3.07

Sheriff II

3.00

Saxan

2.93

Văsieni

2.53

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

2.20

FCM Ungheni

1.71

Olimp Comrat

1.64

Speranis Nisporeni

1.64

Făleşti

1.59

Iskra

1.55

Real Succes

1.14

Speranța Drochia

0.93

Dinamo-Auto

0.27

Făleşti is 0.05 goals worse than Olimp Comrat in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.64).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sheriff II

0.68

Saxan

0.93

Speranța Drochia

1.00

Victoria Bardar

1.13

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.20

Olimp Comrat

1.45

Speranis Nisporeni

1.55

Iskra

1.91

Văsieni

2.00

FCM Ungheni

2.14

Făleşti

2.23

Real Succes

2.77

Dinamo-Auto

3.77

Făleşti is 0.77 goals worse than Olimp Comrat in terms of goals conceded per game (2.23 vs 1.45).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Făleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.2

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.22	1.56	0.25	1.50	0.20	1.60
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (7)	0.29	1.43	0.33	1.67	0.25	1.25
vs Weaker (2)	0.00	2.00	0.00	1.00	0.00	3.00
Clean sheet %	33% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp Comrat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

no recent games

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Făleşti over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Olimp Comrat over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Olimp Comrat over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Olimp Comrat over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Făleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.0

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

3.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.78	3.22	0.50	3.00	1.00	3.40
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (7)	0.86	3.29	0.33	3.33	1.25	3.25
vs Weaker (2)	0.50	3.00	1.00	2.00	0.00	4.00
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp Comrat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

no recent games

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Făleşti over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Olimp Comrat over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Olimp Comrat over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Olimp Comrat over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	74.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 3.5	73.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

FĂL wins

Draws

OC wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Făleşti vs Olimp Comrat · H/A from FĂL

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/09/23	A	Olimp Comrat Vs FĂL	2-3
18/08/23	H	FĂL Vs Olimp Comrat	2-1

Făleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/11/23	H	FĂL Vs Speranis Nisporeni	0-0
28/10/23	A	Saxan Vs FĂL	2-0
20/10/23	H	FĂL Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport	1-2
07/10/23	A	Real Succes Vs FĂL	0-3
29/09/23	A	Olimp Comrat Vs FĂL	2-3
22/09/23	A	Speranis Nisporeni Vs FĂL	0-1
16/09/23	H	FĂL Vs Saxan	1-2
01/09/23	A	Gagauziya-Oguzsport Vs FĂL	3-0
26/08/23	H	FĂL Vs Real Succes	1-0
18/08/23	H	FĂL Vs Olimp Comrat	2-1

Olimp Comrat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/11/23	H	OC Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport	0-2
28/10/23	A	Speranis Nisporeni Vs OC	2-0
21/10/23	H	OC Vs Real Succes	3-1
07/10/23	A	Saxan Vs OC	1-1
29/09/23	H	OC Vs Făleşti	2-3
22/09/23	A	Gagauziya-Oguzsport Vs OC	0-0
15/09/23	H	OC Vs Speranis Nisporeni	2-2
02/09/23	A	Real Succes Vs OC	1-1
25/08/23	H	OC Vs Saxan	1-1
18/08/23	A	Făleşti Vs OC	2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Făleşti

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLLD	1.13
Home	WWLLD	0.93
Away	LWWWL	1.31

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	27%	44%
AVG goals	4.10	3.80	4.38
Over 1.5 %	90%	87%	94%
Over 2.5 %	81%	80%	81%
Over 3.5 %	58%	47%	69%
Scored	1.45	1.20	1.69
Conceded	2.65	2.60	2.69
BTTS	71%	80%	62%
Clean Sheet	16%	13%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Olimp Comrat

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDWLL	0.78
Home	DDLWL	0.92
Away	LDDDL	0.64

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	23%	7%
AVG goals	3.26	3.00	3.50
Over 1.5 %	93%	92%	93%
Over 2.5 %	63%	62%	64%
Over 3.5 %	41%	38%	43%
Scored	1.19	1.23	1.14
Conceded	2.07	1.77	2.36
BTTS	70%	69%	71%
Clean Sheet	11%	8%	14%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sheriff II	22	51	73%	2.3	66	15	+51	3.7	73%	59%	45%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.0	0.7	-
2	Saxan	15	35	67%	2.3	44	14	+30	3.9	87%	60%	47%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.9	0.9	-
3	Victoria Bardar	15	34	73%	2.3	46	17	+29	4.2	80%	67%	47%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.1	1.1	-
4	Gagauziya-Oguzsport	15	33	67%	2.2	33	18	+15	3.4	87%	73%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.2	-
5	Olimp Comrat	22	32	41%	1.5	36	32	+4	3.1	91%	68%	36%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.5	-
6	Speranis Nisporeni	22	32	41%	1.5	36	34	+2	3.2	73%	68%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.5	-
7	Iskra	22	30	41%	1.4	34	42	-8	3.5	82%	68%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.9	-
8	Făleşti	22	27	36%	1.2	35	49	-14	3.8	77%	73%	36%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.2	-
9	Speranța Drochia	15	21	40%	1.4	14	15	-1	1.9	53%	47%	13%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.0	-
10	Văsieni	15	20	40%	1.3	38	30	+8	4.5	87%	80%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.5	2.0	-
11	FCM Ungheni	7	11	43%	1.6	12	15	-3	3.9	100%	100%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.7	2.1	-
12	Real Succes	22	8	9%	0.4	25	61	-36	3.9	95%	91%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	2.8	-
13	Dinamo-Auto	22	1	0%	0.0	6	83	-77	4.0	91%	91%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	3.8	-

Moldova: Liga 1 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

← all matches

Făleşti vs Olimp Comrat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Făleşti

Olimp Comrat

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Făleşti

Olimp Comrat

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Făleşti

Olimp Comrat

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Făleşti

Olimp Comrat

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature