This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.73
1.36
0.50
1.38
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (19)
1.32
0.63
1.29
0.43
1.33
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
0.44
1.67
0.33
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Famalicao) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.8%
Under 3.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
Famalicao goals ↓
Santa Clara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.2%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.2%
8.7%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.2%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Famalicao goals (down), columns = Santa Clara goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Anadia
2.33
GIL Vicente
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Farense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Moura
2.00
Operário
2.00
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
Arouca
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
AVS
1.50
FC Porto
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Amora
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
Régua
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
Vieira
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estrela
0.50
União de Coimbra
0.50
Tondela
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Trofense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Coimbrões
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Monção
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Velense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
Famalicao is 0.83 points worse than Santa Clara in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Arouca
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Amarante
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Alcains
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
Farense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Leça
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Moura
1.67
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Academica
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Velense
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Operário
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Estrela
0.50
Amora
0.50
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estoril
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Joane
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Portel
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Famalicao and Santa Clara are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Academica
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Brito
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Guimaraes
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Torreense
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Louletano
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Moura
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Portel
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Farense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Velense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Amora
2.50
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Coimbrões
3.00
Paredes
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Vizela
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
Famalicao is 0.17 goals worse than Santa Clara in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Famalicao
For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 16.5 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Santa Clara
For 4.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Famalicao
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.8
8.7
5.4
5.7
5.1
31.0
30.0
32.2
vs Stronger (11)
9.4
9.7
9.0
5.8
5.4
6.5
27.3
23.8
32.5
vs Similar (18)
10.2
10.8
9.7
5.8
6.8
5.1
31.1
31.4
30.9
vs Weaker (21)
9.6
11.6
7.6
4.9
5.1
4.6
33.1
32.8
33.3
% over line
44%
57%
32%
80%
80%
80%
91%
83%
100%
% under line
56%
43%
68%
20%
20%
20%
9%
17%
0%
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.1
8.4
5.6
6.0
5.2
28.4
29.6
27.2
vs Stronger (4)
5.0
4.0
6.0
2.8
7.0
1.3
26.0
31.0
21.0
vs Similar (28)
8.8
9.1
8.6
6.2
6.7
5.7
27.9
29.6
26.2
vs Weaker (18)
7.6
6.9
8.4
5.4
5.0
5.9
29.6
29.6
29.7
% over line
30%
40%
20%
70%
76%
64%
82%
85%
80%
% under line
70%
60%
80%
30%
24%
36%
18%
15%
20%
This opponent (Famalicao) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.7
Nacional
11.5
Guimaraes
11.5
Feirense
11.2
Oliveirense
11.1
Tondela
10.9
AVS
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Portimonense
10.8
Estrela
10.7
Rio Ave
10.7
Benfica
10.6
Estoril
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Torreense
10.5
Penafiel
10.4
União de Leiria
10.3
Academico Viseu
10.2
Chaves
10.2
FC Porto
10.2
Arouca
10.0
Mafra
10.0
SC Braga
9.9
Casa Pia
9.9
Famalicao
9.9
Vizela
9.8
Leixoes
9.8
Pacos Ferreira
9.7
Maritimo
9.5
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Boavista
9.3
Moreirense
9.3
Sporting CP
8.9
GIL Vicente
8.8
Santa Clara
8.6
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
FC Porto
6.3
Santa Clara
6.3
Famalicao
6.1
Boavista
6.0
Guimaraes
5.9
Chaves
5.8
Maritimo
5.8
Felgueiras 1932
5.7
Arouca
5.6
Oliveirense
5.5
Estoril
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Rio Ave
5.4
AVS
5.4
Penafiel
5.4
Leixoes
5.3
Portimonense
5.3
Pacos Ferreira
5.2
Nacional
5.2
União de Leiria
5.2
Vizela
5.1
SC Braga
5.0
Tondela
5.0
Torreense
5.0
Estrela
4.9
Moreirense
4.9
Vilaverdense
4.8
Farense
4.7
Benfica
4.7
Feirense
4.7
Sporting CP
4.7
GIL Vicente
4.7
Academico Viseu
4.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
Casa Pia
4.4
Mafra
4.4
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Alverca
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
30.8
Pacos Ferreira
29.6
Rio Ave
29.3
Santa Clara
29.1
Vilaverdense
28.5
Leixoes
28.3
SC Covilha
28.2
Moreirense
28.0
Boavista
27.9
FC Porto
27.8
Nacional
27.6
Guimaraes
27.2
Chaves
27.2
Maritimo
27.1
Farense
26.9
Casa Pia
26.7
AVS
26.6
Oliveirense
26.6
Vizela
26.4
GIL Vicente
26.4
Arouca
26.3
Estoril
26.2
Estrela
26.1
Portimonense
25.9
Tondela
25.7
Penafiel
25.6
Torreense
25.1
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Feirense
24.8
União de Leiria
24.5
SC Braga
24.3
Mafra
24.2
Sporting CP
24.0
Academico Viseu
23.6
Benfica
22.0
Alverca
12.9
Felgueiras 1932
11.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.9%
Under 9.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.5%
Under 3.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.1%
Under 21.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Famalicao or Draw✗ Miss
75.2%
Avg Implied -
45%
30%
25%
covers Famalicao + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Famalicao or Santa Clara✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied -
45%
30%
25%
covers Famalicao + Santa Clara
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Santa Clara✓ Hit
55.0%
Avg Implied -
45%
30%
25%
covers Draw + Santa Clara
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Famalicao over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.1%
Under
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Famalicao over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.1%
Under
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Famalicao over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.5%
Under
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Famalicao over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.9%
Under
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Famalicao, so a minus line means Famalicao give that many goals of a start and Santa Clara receive them. At -1, Famalicao must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Famalicao win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Famalicao)Actual: Santa Clara
Famalicao -2
8.0%
Draw -2
13.8%
Santa Clara +2
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Famalicao)Actual: Santa Clara
Famalicao -1
21.9%
Draw -1
23.1%
Santa Clara +1
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Famalicao)Actual: Draw
Famalicao +1
75.2%
Draw +1
15.7%
Santa Clara -1
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Famalicao)Actual: Famalicao
Famalicao +2
90.9%
Draw +2
6.7%
Santa Clara -2
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Famalicao
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.53
0.27
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.33
0.20
0.20
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.55
0.67
0.33
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
0.85
0.31
0.71
0.29
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.71
0.43
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.22
1.17
0.17
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Famalicao) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Famalicao over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Famalicao over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Famalicao over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Famalicao
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.55
0.33
0.33
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.46
0.43
0.71
1.00
0.17
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.27
0.64
0.07
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.21
0.86
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.22
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Famalicao) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Famalicao over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Famalicao over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Famalicao over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Famalicao
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorriso28%
Óscar Aranda27%
Simon Elisor20%
Yassir Zabiri20%
Václav Sejk19%
Pedro Bondo17%
Gil Dias13%
Mario González12%
Gustavo Sá12%
Zaydou Youssouf12%
Justin De Haas7%
Mathias De Amorim4%
Mirko Topić3%
Ivan Zlobin0%
Leonardo Realpe0%
Enea Mihaj0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Rafa Soares0%
Rochinha0%
Francisco Moura0%
Riccieli0%
Rodrigo Pinheiro0%
Calegari0%
Lazar Carević0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Otso Liimatta0%
Samuel Lobato0%
Afonso Rodrigues0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Otar Mamageishvili50%
Enea Mihaj28%
Zaydou Youssouf24%
Gil Dias23%
Gustavo Sá21%
Leonardo Realpe20%
Otso Liimatta20%
Rafa Soares19%
Rochinha18%
Justin De Haas17%
Rodrigo Pinheiro17%
Pedro Bondo17%
Mathias De Amorim17%
Óscar Aranda15%
Tom Van De Looi15%
Ivan Zlobin13%
Simon Elisor13%
Riccieli12%
Mirko Topić9%
Samuel Lobato8%
Calegari6%
Lazar Carević6%
Sorriso3%
Francisco Moura0%
Mario González0%
Václav Sejk0%
Afonso Rodrigues0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Francisco Moura25%
Gustavo Sá18%
Pedro Bondo17%
Sorriso14%
Mario González12%
Óscar Aranda9%
Rafa Soares8%
Tom Van De Looi7%
Rodrigo Pinheiro7%
Gil Dias7%
Václav Sejk6%
Calegari6%
Mathias De Amorim4%
Enea Mihaj3%
Ivan Zlobin0%
Zaydou Youssouf0%
Leonardo Realpe0%
Justin De Haas0%
Rochinha0%
Mirko Topić0%
Riccieli0%
Lazar Carević0%
Simon Elisor0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Otso Liimatta0%
Samuel Lobato0%
Afonso Rodrigues0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sorriso14%
Gil Dias13%
Simon Elisor13%
Óscar Aranda12%
Václav Sejk6%
Gustavo Sá6%
Ivan Zlobin0%
Zaydou Youssouf0%
Leonardo Realpe0%
Enea Mihaj0%
Justin De Haas0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Rafa Soares0%
Rochinha0%
Francisco Moura0%
Mirko Topić0%
Mario González0%
Riccieli0%
Rodrigo Pinheiro0%
Calegari0%
Lazar Carević0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Pedro Bondo0%
Otso Liimatta0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Samuel Lobato0%
Afonso Rodrigues0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Santa Clara
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vinícius Lopes24%
Ricardinho21%
Gabriel Silva18%
Wendel Silva17%
João Costa12%
Allison Safira12%
Sidney Lima9%
Serginho7%
Diogo Calila3%
Matheus Araújo3%
Matheusinho0%
Gabriel Batista0%
Frederico Venâncio0%
Luís Rocha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Lucas Soares0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Adriano Firmino0%
Matheus Pereira0%
Daniel Borges0%
Gustavo Klismahn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Allison Safira47%
Matheus Pereira41%
Luís Rocha34%
Sidney Lima31%
Diogo Calila29%
Guilherme Ramos29%
Lucas Soares26%
Pedro Ferreira24%
Adriano Firmino24%
Vinícius Lopes24%
Frederico Venâncio19%
Ricardinho17%
Wendel Silva17%
Serginho17%
Matheus Araújo15%
Bruno Almeida12%
Gabriel Batista11%
Matheusinho11%
Gustavo Klismahn11%
Daniel Borges6%
Gabriel Silva6%
João Costa4%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustavo Klismahn17%
Matheus Pereira14%
Pedro Ferreira12%
Allison Safira12%
Diogo Calila6%
Adriano Firmino6%
Gabriel Silva6%
Serginho3%
Lucas Soares3%
Sidney Lima3%
Vinícius Lopes3%
Matheus Araújo3%
Matheusinho0%
Gabriel Batista0%
Frederico Venâncio0%
Luís Rocha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Wendel Silva0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Ricardinho0%
Daniel Borges0%
João Costa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Silva26%
Wendel Silva17%
Vinícius Lopes12%
João Costa8%
Allison Safira6%
Ricardinho3%
Serginho3%
Sidney Lima3%
Pedro Ferreira3%
Adriano Firmino3%
Matheusinho0%
Gabriel Batista0%
Frederico Venâncio0%
Diogo Calila0%
Luís Rocha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Lucas Soares0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Matheus Pereira0%
Daniel Borges0%
Matheus Araújo0%
Gustavo Klismahn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
Famalicao's squad is €30m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€57m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Famalicao's attack is €7m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€16m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Famalicao's midfield is €14m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€20m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Famalicao's defence is €9m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€22m vs €12m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Sporting CP
Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Arouca
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Nacional
AVS
Estrela
Farense
Boavista
Vizela