Farul Constanta vs CFR 1907 Cluj Result & Analysis

The contest between Farul Constanta and CFR 1907 Cluj is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probability of a home victory sits at 32%, a draw at 27%, and an away triumph at 41%. The average number of goals expected is 2.9, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.8% probability, reflecting the evenly matched offensive and defensive stats: Farul averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.92 conceded at home against similar opposition, while CFR 1907 averages 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded away to similar teams. Suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 88.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.5%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 78.4% (miss). The model’s pick, an away win, remains the most likely outcome.

The pre-match favourite, CFR 1907 Cluj, was expected to win with a 41% chance, but the match finished 5-1 in favour of Farul Constanta, a home win that left the model’s prediction wrong. Farul, coming off a draw in their last five, extended their recent form with a dominant victory, while CFR, on a two-game winning run, faltered. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 88.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.0%, and Under 11.5 corners at 78.5%. Only Over 21.5 fouls, at 78.4%, missed. The final score of 5-1 confirmed a decisive home triumph.