The model favours a home win, with FC Andorra’s 43% chance of triumph, a 30% draw probability and a 27% chance of Eibar taking the points. The expected total is 2.4 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.2% probability. FC Andorra, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, while Eibar, on the road, averages 0.93 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (96.7% with a 4% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2% with a 4% edge). FC Andorra is coming off a 2-4 loss to Celta de Vigo II, while Eibar arrives after a 1-0 win over Valladolid.
Results analysis
The upset was clear: the pre-match favourite, FC Andorra, fell short as Eibar secured a 0-1 away win, extending their two-game winning run. The model had picked a home win with a 43% probability, but this call was wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away triumph. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.3%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.7%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.2%. The model’s predictions largely proved accurate, except for the home win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Andorra win✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied 44.6% · @ 2.09
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.15
Dafabet
2.14
10Bet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.28
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.44
BetVictor
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Eibar win✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.46
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.80
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.64
Bet365
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Andorra
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.33
1.87
1.20
1.73
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
6.00
2.00
6.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.66
1.31
1.57
1.14
1.73
1.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.73
1.69
0.94
0.93
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.33
0.73
1.69
0.94
0.93
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.29-3.2%
Under 1.5
30.4%
@ 3.43+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.54
Marathonbet
3.54
Betano
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.0%
@ 1.94-6.7%
Under 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.85+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.08
Unibet
1.96
SBO
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Under
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.89
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.3%
@ 3.32-6.9%
Under 3.5
78.7%
@ 1.31+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.69
Unibet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
@ 1.73-5.3%
No
51.6%
@ 2.00+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.88
Betfair
1.75
Unibet
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
No
1xBet
2.09
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 5.85+6.7%
1-0
11.5%@ 6.92+5.2%
0-0
10.7%@ 9.44+6.1%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.82+3.1%
2-0
8.6%@ 9.36+4.0%
0-1 ✓
8.2%@ 9.49+3.6%
1-2
6.5%@ 10.58+2.4%
0-2
4.8%@ 16.53+2.1%
FC Andorra goals ↓
Eibar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.2%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.5%
2.2%
0.5%
2
8.6%
8.7%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.9%
3.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Andorra goals (down), columns = Eibar goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
FC Andorra is 0.21 points worse than Eibar in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
FC Andorra is 0.24 goals better than Eibar in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
FC Andorra is 0.33 goals worse than Eibar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
FC Andorra is 12.1 percentage points better than Eibar in terms of average possession (61% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Andorra
For 3.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
For 3.8 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Andorra
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.4
9.7
5.2
5.5
4.9
28.0
27.3
28.8
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
8.0
18.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
28.5
29.0
28.0
vs Similar (45)
8.9
8.4
9.3
5.4
5.5
5.3
28.2
27.4
28.9
vs Weaker (3)
9.0
9.0
-
1.7
5.0
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
% over line
43%
35%
52%
84%
83%
85%
83%
78%
87%
% under line
57%
65%
48%
16%
17%
15%
17%
22%
13%
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.9
9.9
5.1
5.5
4.6
25.7
26.8
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.4
8.9
9.9
5.2
5.5
4.8
25.7
26.8
24.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
35%
59%
76%
88%
62%
77%
77%
77%
% under line
54%
65%
41%
24%
12%
38%
23%
23%
23%
This opponent (FC Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.8
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Burgos
8.4
Las Palmas
8.1
Celta de Vigo II
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
6.5
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Leganes
5.0
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.4
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
32.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.7
Valladolid
28.3
Castellón
28.3
FC Andorra
27.8
AD Ceuta FC
27.8
Las Palmas
27.6
Sabadell
27.6
Tenerife
27.1
Granada CF
27.0
Almeria
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Eibar
25.7
Cadiz
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.8%
@ 2.12-1.9%
Under 9.5
58.2%
@ 1.64+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
78.6%
Under 3.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
79.8%
Under 21.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Andorra or Draw✗ Miss
73.4%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.5%
43%
30%
27%
covers FC Andorra + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
FC Andorra or Eibar✓ Hit
70.0%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.9%
43%
30%
27%
covers FC Andorra + Eibar
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Draw or Eibar✓ Hit
56.6%
Avg Implied 55.2% · @ 1.70
Edge
+1.4%
43%
30%
27%
covers Draw + Eibar
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
SBO
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Bet365
1.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Andorra over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.2%
@ 1.22-2.2%
Under
25.8%
@ 3.93+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.14
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betano
4.00
FC Andorra over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.2%
@ 2.10-5.3%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.68+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.24
Unibet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
BetVictor
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
FC Andorra over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.44-5.4%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.17+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
FC Andorra over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 10.49-4.1%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.70
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Eibar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
@ 1.40-3.0%
Under
36.5%
@ 2.77+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Under
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
Betano
2.82
Pinnacle
2.82
Eibar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
@ 2.97-4.6%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.36+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.33
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
2.91
Betfair
2.88
Under
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Eibar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 7.61-4.1%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.06+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.10
Marathonbet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Eibar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 20.17-2.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Andorra, so a minus line means FC Andorra give that many goals of a start and Eibar receive them. At -1, FC Andorra must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Andorra win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Andorra)Actual: Eibar
FC Andorra -2
7.7%
@ 8.80-2.5%
Draw -2
13.3%
@ 5.97-1.7%
Eibar +2
79.0%
@ 1.20+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.40
Draw
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Handicap -1 (FC Andorra)Actual: Eibar
FC Andorra -1
21.0%
@ 3.89-2.0%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 3.72-1.6%
Eibar +1
56.6%
@ 1.69+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Away
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Handicap +1 (FC Andorra)Actual: Draw
FC Andorra +1
73.4%
@ 1.28+3.2%
Draw +1
16.4%
@ 5.00-1.6%
Eibar -1
10.3%
@ 7.59-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Handicap +2 (FC Andorra)Actual: FC Andorra
FC Andorra +2
89.7%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Draw +2
7.4%
@ 11.00-1.0%
Eibar -2
2.9%
@ 22.00-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Andorra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.53
0.67
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.62
0.52
0.43
0.57
0.80
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.81
0.50
0.50
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.37
0.81
0.50
0.50
0.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.1%
@ 1.40+1.3%
Under 0.5
31.9%
@ 2.81-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Under
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.81
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.7%
@ 2.80-1.6%
Under 1.5
68.3%
@ 1.40+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.08
Superbet
3.05
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 7.19-3.2%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
8.00
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Andorra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.1%
@ 1.91-4.5%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.81+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.93
Unibet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
FC Andorra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 5.61-5.0%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.11+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
FC Andorra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 16.08-3.5%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Eibar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.5%
@ 2.38-2.6%
Under
63.5%
@ 1.53+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.31
Under
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Eibar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 8.26-1.7%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Eibar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 35.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
35.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Andorra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.77
1.33
0.53
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.03
0.79
1.14
0.57
0.93
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.88
0.44
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.37
0.88
0.44
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.7%
@ 1.23-0.0%
Under 0.5
24.3%
@ 3.84+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
3.95
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 2.11-1.7%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.68+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.17
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Betano
2.05
Under
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 4.49-4.2%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.18+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.30
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Andorra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.3%
@ 1.63-3.4%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.14+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Superbet
2.00
FC Andorra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 4.00-6.2%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.21+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.50
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.17
FC Andorra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 10.58-4.1%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Eibar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.1%
@ 1.96-1.3%
Under
53.9%
@ 1.76+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.68
Eibar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 5.86-3.0%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.10+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Eibar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 17.42-2.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.9%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.07
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.11
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.5%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.17
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.9%
1.22
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.17
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
79.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.7%
1.31
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.7%
1.23
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.18
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.2%
1.22
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-2.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
73.4%
1.28
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
+0.5%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
73.4%
1.28
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
73.3%
1.36
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.1%
1.38
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.33
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.0%
1.30
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.31
-1.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Andorra
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Carrique33%
Jordi Cano33%
Alex Calvo33%
Hugo López33%
Pau López0%
Marti Vila0%
Diego Alende0%
Sergio Molina0%
Marc Domenech0%
Marc Bombardo0%
Hugo Solozábal0%
Efe Akman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Solozábal67%
Marti Vila33%
Diego Alende33%
Marc Domenech33%
Efe Akman33%
Pau López0%
Thomas Carrique0%
Sergio Molina0%
Jordi Cano0%
Marc Bombardo0%
Alex Calvo0%
Hugo López0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Carrique33%
Jordi Cano33%
Hugo Solozábal33%
Alex Calvo33%
Efe Akman33%
Pau López0%
Marti Vila0%
Diego Alende0%
Sergio Molina0%
Marc Domenech0%
Marc Bombardo0%
Hugo López0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hugo López67%
Jordi Cano33%
Alex Calvo33%
Efe Akman33%
Pau López0%
Marti Vila0%
Thomas Carrique0%
Diego Alende0%
Sergio Molina0%
Marc Domenech0%
Marc Bombardo0%
Hugo Solozábal0%
Eibar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
FC Andorra and Eibar have a similar squad value (both €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
FC Andorra's attack is €2m less valuable than Eibar's (€6m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
FC Andorra and Eibar have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
FC Andorra's defence is €2m more valuable than Eibar's (€7m vs €5m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC