FC Bacau’s recent unbeaten run of five games, ending in a 0-0 draw against Slatina, gives the home side a modest confidence boost, yet the model still favours an away win. The Cupa României fixture sees Universitatea Craiova, who have just drawn 1-1 with Rapid, expected to edge the match with a 47% chance of victory, compared with 29% for a Bacau win and 25% for a draw. The average goal tally is 3.3, with the most probable total of three goals (22% probability). The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11% chance. Universitatea Craiova, playing away against a weaker opponent, typically scores 1.67 goals and concedes only 0.33, while Bacau’s home form shows a balanced attack and defence. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Under 7.5 (98.1% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.9% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.8% with a 7% edge), Under 6.5 (95.1% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.7% with a 10% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.4%), Home under 1.5 HT goals (91.1% with a 2% edge).
Results analysis
The win for Universitatea Craiova extends their recent run, with the away side coming off a victory and a strong form of WDLWD. The final score was 1-2, confirming the model’s pick of an away win, which it predicted with a 47% probability. The model’s selections performed remarkably well: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Under 7.5 at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Under 6.5 at 95.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.4%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 92.2%. All eight picks settled, each achieving its outcome. The model’s overall accuracy was therefore high, with every suggested selection hitting.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Bacau win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 12.6% · @ 7.22
Edge
+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.75
Marathonbet
8.40
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Betano
8.00
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.63
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
5.30
Bet365
5.25
Dafabet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Universitatea Craiova win✓ Hit
46.6%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.34
Edge
-21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Dafabet
1.36
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Bacau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.13
1.60
0.80
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.04
1.54
0.69
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.33
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.25
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Craiova
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.83
2.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.95
1.89
0.67
0.42
1.17
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
0.56
2.17
0.67
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
@ 1.15+4.6%
Under 1.5
15.3%
@ 4.62-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Unibet
5.40
Superbet
4.85
Betfair
4.80
Betano
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.3%
@ 1.53+3.4%
Under 2.5
36.7%
@ 2.28-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Under
Unibet
2.50
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.28
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
@ 2.31+1.5%
Under 3.5
58.8%
@ 1.52-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Under
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.8%
@ 1.75+12.5%
No
35.2%
@ 1.92-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
William Hil
1.80
Betfair
1.80
No
Unibet
2.16
Superbet
2.10
Betfair
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%@ 8.71+6.0%
1-2 ✓
9.2%@ 7.52+3.4%
2-1
7.1%@ 19.51+4.9%
2-2
6.6%@ 16.47+3.9%
0-2
6.5%@ 6.51-0.2%
0-1
6.1%@ 7.02-0.2%
1-3
5.7%@ 9.75+1.2%
0-0
4.8%@ 13.35+1.6%
FC Bacau goals ↓
Universitatea Craiova goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
6.1%
6.5%
4.0%
1.8%
1
4.4%
11%
9.2%
5.7%
2.6%
2
3.8%
7.1%
6.6%
4.0%
1.9%
3
1.8%
3.4%
3.1%
1.9%
0.9%
4
0.6%
1.2%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Bacau goals (down), columns = Universitatea Craiova goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arges Pitesti
2.33
Viitorul Arad
2.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.33
Gloria Bistriţa
2.29
Agricola Borcea
2.25
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.20
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Plopeni
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Farul Constanta
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Metalul Buzău
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Săcele
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Păușești
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Universitatea Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Concordia
1.80
FC Botosani
1.75
Csikszereda
1.75
Uta Arad
1.75
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Progresul Fundulea
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.50
AFC Hermannstadt
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Sânmartin
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Slatina
1.40
Rapid
1.33
FCSB
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
CSM Satu Mare
1.33
Viitorul Onesti
1.33
Gloria Băneasa
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.25
Metaloglobus
1.25
CS Dinamo București
1.17
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Minaur Baia Mare
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Voința Crevedia
0.99
CSM Targu Jiu
0.99
Bradul Putna
0.99
Berca
0.99
Cetatea Suceava
0.99
Inter Sibiu
0.99
Progresul Mogosoaia
0.99
Corona Braşov
0.99
Chiesd
0.99
Unirea Sântana
0.99
Caransebes
0.99
Unirea DMO
0.99
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
0.99
Domnesti IF
0.99
Bihorul Beiuş
0.99
Bolintin Vale
0.99
Victoria Traian
0.99
Agigea
0.99
ASA Targu Mures
0.96
Baicoi
0.67
Râmnicu Sărat
0.50
Bihor Oradea
0.50
Progresul Pecica
0.50
CS Afumati
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
U Craiova 1948
0.00
Crişul Sântandrei
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
USV Iaşi
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.00
Academica Balș
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Blejoi
0.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
0.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
0.00
Gilortul
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
0.00
FC Bacau is 0.17 points worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSM FC Vaslui
8.00
Timişul Şag
5.00
CSM Satu Mare
4.00
Ştefăneşti
4.00
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
3.75
Râmnicu Sărat
3.50
Csikszereda
3.50
Metalul Buzău
2.83
Concordia
2.80
Gloria Bistriţa
2.57
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Chindia Targoviste
2.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.33
Sporting Lieşti
2.33
Oltul Curtişoara
2.33
Săcele
2.33
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.33
Sănătatea Cluj
2.14
U Craiova 1948
2.00
USV Iaşi
2.00
Slatina
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Tunari
2.00
Rapid
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Agricola Borcea
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Gloria Băneasa
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Universitatea Craiova
1.83
Arges Pitesti
1.83
FCSB
1.67
Oţelul
1.67
Viitorul Arad
1.67
Baicoi
1.67
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Uta Arad
1.50
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
Voința Crevedia
1.41
CSM Targu Jiu
1.41
Bradul Putna
1.41
Berca
1.41
Cetatea Suceava
1.41
Inter Sibiu
1.41
Progresul Mogosoaia
1.41
Corona Braşov
1.41
Chiesd
1.41
Unirea Sântana
1.41
Caransebes
1.41
Unirea DMO
1.41
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
1.41
Domnesti IF
1.41
Bihorul Beiuş
1.41
Bolintin Vale
1.41
Victoria Traian
1.41
Agigea
1.41
ASA Targu Mures
1.37
Jiul Petroşani
1.33
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.33
Păușești
1.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
1.33
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.20
Crişul Sântandrei
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
CS Dinamo București
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
Unirea Bascov
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
LPS HD Clinceni
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Academica Balș
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Blejoi
1.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.00
Gilortul
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Stiinta Miroslava
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Bihor Oradea
0.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
FC Bacau is 0.33 goals worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.20
Farul Constanta
0.25
LPS HD Clinceni
0.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.33
Agricola Borcea
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
Uta Arad
0.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.67
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.67
Universitatea Craiova
0.67
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.67
Păușești
0.67
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.75
Csikszereda
0.75
Universitatea Cluj
0.83
CSM Adjud
1.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.00
Minerul Lupeni
1.00
Plopeni
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Bihor Oradea
1.00
Alexandria
1.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.00
Rapid
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Viitorul Arad
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Arges Pitesti
1.17
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Gloria Bistriţa
1.29
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Timişul Şag
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Chindia Targoviste
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CS Afumati
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Popești-Leordeni
1.50
CSM Satu Mare
1.67
Metalul Buzău
1.67
Săcele
1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.75
Metaloglobus
1.75
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.75
Slatina
1.80
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
CIL Blaj
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Oţelul
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.00
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Unirea Bascov
2.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
2.00
Academica Balș
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Baicoi
2.00
Păuleşti
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Voința Crevedia
2.14
CSM Targu Jiu
2.14
Bradul Putna
2.14
Berca
2.14
Cetatea Suceava
2.14
Inter Sibiu
2.14
Progresul Mogosoaia
2.14
Corona Braşov
2.14
Chiesd
2.14
Unirea Sântana
2.14
Caransebes
2.14
Unirea DMO
2.14
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
2.14
Domnesti IF
2.14
Bihorul Beiuş
2.14
Bolintin Vale
2.14
Victoria Traian
2.14
Agigea
2.14
ASA Targu Mures
2.20
Pucioasa
2.50
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.50
Cetatea
2.67
Gheorgheni
2.67
U Craiova 1948
3.00
Sporting Lieşti
3.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
3.00
Târgu Secuiesc
3.00
Blejoi
3.00
Gilortul
3.00
Tricolorul Breaza
3.00
Unirea Braniştea
3.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.00
Râmnicu Sărat
4.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
4.00
Valenii de Munte
4.00
Unirea Dej
4.00
Stiinta Miroslava
4.00
FC Voluntari
4.50
USV Iaşi
5.00
Axiopolis
5.00
Sânmartin
5.50
Filiaşi
9.00
FC Bacau is 0.83 goals worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Bacau or Draw✗ Miss
53.4%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.91
Edge
+21.6%
29%
25%
47%
covers FC Bacau + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
FC Bacau or Universitatea Craiova✓ Hit
75.4%
Avg Implied 81.5% · @ 1.13
Edge
-6.1%
29%
25%
47%
covers FC Bacau + Universitatea Craiova
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Draw or Universitatea Craiova✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied 86.7% · @ 1.06
Edge
-15.5%
29%
25%
47%
covers Draw + Universitatea Craiova
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.8%
@ 1.63+19.0%
Under
24.2%
@ 2.14-19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Under
Superbet
2.50
Unibet
2.43
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
FC Bacau over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.5%
@ 3.98+18.0%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.22-18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.25
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
FC Bacau over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 9.65+7.5%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.03-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Under
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
FC Bacau over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 18.75+0.5%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.01-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.2%
@ 1.07-3.2%
Under
15.8%
@ 7.42+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
8.20
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.70
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.0%
@ 1.42-10.3%
Under
45.0%
@ 2.68+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Under
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Unibet
2.65
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.2%
@ 2.28-12.7%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.57+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Unibet
1.55
Universitatea Craiova over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 4.39-9.6%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.18+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Bacau, so a minus line means FC Bacau give that many goals of a start and Universitatea Craiova receive them. At -1, FC Bacau must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Bacau win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Bacau)Actual: Universitatea Craiova
FC Bacau -2
4.8%
@ 29.00+1.6%
Draw -2
8.5%
@ 14.00+2.0%
Universitatea Craiova +2
86.7%
@ 1.02-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
29.00
Draw
Superbet
14.00
Away
Superbet
1.02
Handicap -1 (FC Bacau)Actual: Universitatea Craiova
FC Bacau -1
13.3%
@ 11.50+5.6%
Draw -1
15.4%
@ 7.20+3.0%
Universitatea Craiova +1
71.3%
@ 1.12-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Draw
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Away
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.10
Handicap +1 (FC Bacau)Actual: Draw
FC Bacau +1
53.4%
@ 2.90+22.7%
Draw +1
20.3%
@ 3.58-4.5%
Universitatea Craiova -1
26.3%
@ 2.00-18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
Unibet
2.63
Superbet
2.50
Draw
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.40
Away
Superbet
2.22
Unibet
2.08
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Handicap +2 (FC Bacau)Actual: FC Bacau
FC Bacau +2
73.7%
@ 1.72+22.0%
Draw +2
14.4%
@ 4.05-7.6%
Universitatea Craiova -2
11.9%
@ 3.38-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.58
Draw
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.05
Unibet
3.95
10Bet
3.90
Away
Superbet
3.90
Unibet
3.60
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.92
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Bacau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.93
0.20
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.52
0.92
0.15
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Craiova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.60
0.47
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.43
0.67
0.44
0.25
0.42
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.5%
@ 1.26-4.1%
Under 0.5
31.5%
@ 3.34+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Superbet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.18
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.5%
@ 2.20-10.0%
Under 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.56+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.20
Under
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 4.78-9.1%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.13+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.10
1xBet
4.90
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.9%
@ 2.69+3.5%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.42-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Under
Superbet
1.47
Unibet
1.46
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.35
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 9.77-1.8%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Betano
9.50
Superbet
8.80
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 37.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.4%
@ 1.46-17.0%
Under
53.6%
@ 2.52+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
1xBet
2.55
Unibet
2.50
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.45
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.8%
@ 3.22-15.1%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.31+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.30
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 8.07-8.2%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.05+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
8.40
1xBet
8.40
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Bacau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.52
0.62
0.54
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Craiova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.40
0.20
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.52
1.22
0.22
0.17
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.22
1.67
0.17
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.0%
@ 1.15-4.9%
Under 0.5
24.0%
@ 4.88+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.90
Betano
4.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.5%
@ 1.74-3.9%
Under 1.5
50.5%
@ 2.00+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Unibet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 3.28-8.8%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.30+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.3%
@ 2.32+6.3%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.55-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 7.70-0.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.06+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.60
Superbet
6.60
Under
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 17.75-3.2%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.5%
@ 1.32-13.0%
Under
42.5%
@ 3.15+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Under
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
2.95
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.6%
@ 2.45-15.3%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.50+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.43
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 5.53-11.7%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.12+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.09
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.09
-
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.11
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Unibet
1.07
BetVictor
1.03
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
88.4%
1.18
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.7%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.31
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
-
-
+15.1%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.7%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
84.2%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.9%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.30
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.50
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.43
-
-
+15.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.9%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.0%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.8%
1.63
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.64
+19.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.4%
1.13
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betano
1.16
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
71.8%
1.57
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Unibet
1.55
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
71.3%
1.06
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
-15.5%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.3%
1.12
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.10
-
-
-
-8.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Universitatea Craiova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Monday Etim40%
Steven Nsimba33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Oleksandr Romanchuk20%
Samuel Teles17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Tudor Băluță0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
David Matei0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Monday Etim40%
Oleksandr Romanchuk40%
David Matei40%
Nicușor Bancu33%
Samuel Teles33%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Alexandru Crețu25%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Anzor Mekvabishvili20%
Răzvan Sava20%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Carlos Mora0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Monday Etim20%
David Matei20%
Nicușor Bancu17%
Carlos Mora17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Matei60%
Alexandru Cicâldău40%
Monday Etim40%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Steven Nsimba17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
FC Bacau's squad is €35m less valuable than Universitatea Craiova's (€2m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
FC Bacau's attack is €13m less valuable than Universitatea Craiova's (€1m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
FC Bacau's midfield is €9m less valuable than Universitatea Craiova's (€1m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
FC Bacau's defence is €13m less valuable than Universitatea Craiova's (€1m vs €13m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Slatina
Concordia
CSM Reşiţa
Chindia Targoviste
Popești-Leordeni
Gloria Bistriţa
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Cetatea Suceava
Metaloglobus
Metalul Buzău
CS Afumati
Bihor Oradea
Ştefăneşti
Viitorul Şelimbăr
ASA Targu Mures
Dumbrăviţa
CS Dinamo București
CSM Satu Mare
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Unirea Slobozia
AFC Hermannstadt
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda