This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.03
1.75
0.94
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.45
0.95
1.60
0.90
1.30
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.70
1.20
2.00
1.00
1.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.4%
@ 2.59+8.0%
Under 2.5
55.6%
@ 1.48-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
FC Cartagena goals ↓
Almeria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
10%
7.7%
3.4%
1.1%
1
8.3%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.4%
7.2%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Cartagena goals (down), columns = Almeria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
FC Cartagena is 0.50 points worse than Almeria in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.93).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
FC Cartagena is 0.12 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
FC Cartagena is 0.52 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Cartagena
For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 15.3 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
For 5.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
8.5
9.0
8.0
5.9
6.2
5.5
32.0
32.6
31.3
vs Stronger (24)
8.2
9.0
7.3
5.7
6.0
5.4
31.8
32.4
31.1
vs Similar (18)
8.9
9.1
8.8
6.1
6.6
5.7
32.2
32.9
31.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
29%
29%
29%
93%
90%
95%
95%
100%
90%
% under line
71%
71%
71%
7%
10%
5%
5%
0%
10%
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.2
9.7
5.7
5.2
6.2
29.7
29.2
30.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
9.1
8.9
9.3
5.6
5.5
5.7
29.2
29.4
28.9
vs Weaker (18)
10.0
9.8
10.2
5.9
4.7
7.1
30.7
28.9
32.6
% over line
54%
50%
58%
74%
73%
75%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
26%
27%
25%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Almeria
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Tenerife
9.0
Lugo
8.9
Zaragoza
8.9
Valladolid
8.9
Fuenlabrada
8.9
Mirandes
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.5
Girona
8.5
Ponferradina
8.4
Huesca
8.2
Oviedo
8.0
Leganes
8.0
Alcorcon
8.0
Sporting Gijon
7.9
Malaga
7.8
Las Palmas
7.6
Ibiza
7.0
Amorebieta
5.0
Burgos
5.0
Real Sociedad II
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.0
FC Cartagena
5.9
Almeria
5.7
Oviedo
5.5
Tenerife
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Girona
5.4
Malaga
5.2
Lugo
5.2
Leganes
5.1
Amorebieta
5.0
Valladolid
5.0
Ponferradina
4.8
Alcorcon
4.8
Zaragoza
4.6
Mirandes
4.5
Sporting Gijon
4.0
Real Sociedad II
4.0
Ibiza
4.0
Huesca
3.8
Eibar
3.6
Burgos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
32.2
Amorebieta
32.0
FC Cartagena
32.0
Las Palmas
31.8
Leganes
30.7
Girona
30.7
Malaga
30.6
Tenerife
30.4
Almeria
29.7
Oviedo
28.8
Alcorcon
28.8
Huesca
28.5
Valladolid
28.2
Real Sociedad II
28.0
Ponferradina
28.0
Zaragoza
27.9
Mirandes
27.6
Lugo
27.3
Ibiza
27.0
Sporting Gijon
25.5
Eibar
24.1
Burgos
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.2%
Under 9.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.1%
Under 3.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.4%
Under 21.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.53
0.47
0.27
0.13
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.35
0.40
0.20
0.29
0.57
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.77
0.60
0.40
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.27
0.81
0.19
0.57
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.25
0.50
0.10
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.30
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.73
0.93
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (17)
0.76
0.65
1.00
1.00
0.43
0.14
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.92
0.20
0.80
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.94
0.75
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.70
1.10
0.80
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.90
0.67
0.67
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Cartagena · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Millán32%
Luis Muñoz18%
Daniel Luna18%
Nacho Martínez14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Gaston Valles11%
Pocho Román10%
Cedric Teguia9%
Andy Rodríguez8%
José Machín8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Jairo Izquierdo5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Sergio Guerrero3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Julián Delmás0%
Dani Escriche0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Jesús Hernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Hernández60%
Damián Musto50%
Nacho Martínez36%
Sergio Guerrero32%
José Machín31%
Martín Aguirregabiria28%
Andrija Vukčević26%
Dani Escriche22%
Jorge Moreno20%
Pocho Román19%
Pedro Alcalá19%
Luis Muñoz18%
Assane Ndiaye Dione12%
Salim El Jebari12%
Daniel Luna12%
Andy Rodríguez11%
Kiko Olivas10%
Nikola Šipčić9%
Jairo Izquierdo9%
Julián Delmás7%
Alfredo Ortuño5%
Pablo Cuñat5%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Gaston Valles4%
Hugo González0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Álex Millán0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez21%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Luis Muñoz9%
Dani Escriche8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Daniel Luna6%
Óscar Clemente6%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Andy Rodríguez3%
José Machín0%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Álex Millán0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Pocho Román0%
Gaston Valles0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Teguia14%
Gaston Valles11%
Álex Millán11%
Luis Muñoz9%
José Machín8%
Dani Escriche5%
Hugo González5%
Andy Rodríguez3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Martín Aguirregabiria0%
Nacho Martínez0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Daniel Luna0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Pocho Román0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →