This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.10
2.00
0.93
1.12
1.25
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
1.48
1.16
1.82
0.91
1.21
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.6%
Under 1.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.2%
@ 1.56-26.8%
Under 2.5
66.8%
@ 2.34+26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.6%
No
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
FC Cartagena goals ↓
Mirandes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
13%
8.2%
3.1%
0.9%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
5.5%
6.1%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
3
1.7%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Cartagena goals (down), columns = Mirandes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
1.88
Elche
1.83
Oviedo
1.78
Mirandes
1.78
Racing Santander
1.64
Almeria
1.59
Granada CF
1.55
Huesca
1.52
Eibar
1.38
Albacete
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Malaga
1.26
Castellón
1.26
Deportivo La Coruna
1.26
Zaragoza
1.21
Eldense
1.07
Tenerife
0.86
Racing Ferrol
0.71
FC Cartagena
0.55
FC Cartagena is 1.23 points worse than Mirandes in terms of average points per game (0.55 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.68
Levante
1.64
Racing Santander
1.57
Castellón
1.55
Granada CF
1.55
Mirandes
1.48
Elche
1.40
Cordoba
1.40
Huesca
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.36
Albacete
1.36
Zaragoza
1.33
Deportivo La Coruna
1.33
Oviedo
1.33
Cadiz
1.31
Eibar
1.05
Eldense
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Burgos
0.98
Tenerife
0.83
FC Cartagena
0.79
Racing Ferrol
0.52
FC Cartagena is 0.69 goals worse than Mirandes in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 1.48).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Elche
0.81
Eibar
0.98
Levante
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Malaga
1.10
Burgos
1.14
Huesca
1.17
Cadiz
1.26
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.29
Granada CF
1.29
Tenerife
1.31
Racing Santander
1.32
Almeria
1.32
Albacete
1.36
Castellón
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Eldense
1.50
Cordoba
1.50
Racing Ferrol
1.52
FC Cartagena
1.86
FC Cartagena is 0.86 goals worse than Mirandes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Elche
62%
Castellón
57%
Cordoba
56%
Deportivo La Coruna
54%
Almeria
53%
Malaga
52%
Racing Santander
52%
Oviedo
52%
Granada CF
51%
Zaragoza
51%
Eibar
50%
Sporting Gijon
50%
Levante
49%
Burgos
49%
Tenerife
48%
Cadiz
48%
Racing Ferrol
48%
Eldense
46%
Mirandes
45%
Huesca
44%
Albacete
43%
FC Cartagena
40%
FC Cartagena is 5.5 percentage points worse than Mirandes in terms of average possession (40% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Cartagena
For 2.6 · Against 6.7 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mirandes
For 4.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 15.4 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.1
8.2
3.8
3.8
3.8
23.8
24.5
23.1
vs Stronger (32)
8.7
9.9
7.7
4.2
4.1
4.2
24.6
26.0
23.4
vs Similar (17)
8.6
7.9
9.4
3.2
3.2
3.2
22.2
22.1
22.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
36%
35%
38%
52%
50%
54%
68%
70%
67%
% under line
64%
65%
62%
48%
50%
46%
32%
30%
33%
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.0
9.8
5.3
5.5
5.2
27.0
26.8
27.2
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
7.0
12.3
6.8
7.0
6.7
28.4
30.0
27.3
vs Similar (41)
8.8
8.2
9.4
5.1
5.3
4.9
27.1
26.5
27.7
vs Weaker (4)
8.2
7.0
9.5
5.8
6.0
5.5
24.5
27.0
22.0
% over line
39%
24%
54%
86%
84%
88%
80%
84%
75%
% under line
61%
76%
46%
14%
16%
12%
20%
16%
25%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
10.7
Racing Santander
10.0
Albacete
9.7
Malaga
9.7
Cordoba
9.7
Castellón
9.6
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.6
Levante
9.6
Eldense
9.5
Almeria
9.4
Sporting Gijon
9.3
Huesca
9.3
Eibar
9.3
Tenerife
9.1
Racing Ferrol
9.0
Oviedo
8.9
Elche
8.8
Burgos
8.8
Mirandes
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.6
Cadiz
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.3
Zaragoza
6.1
Malaga
5.6
Mirandes
5.5
Cadiz
5.4
Elche
5.4
Burgos
5.3
Cordoba
5.3
Almeria
5.1
Granada CF
5.1
Sporting Gijon
5.0
Huesca
5.0
Tenerife
4.9
Eibar
4.8
Oviedo
4.8
Eldense
4.7
Albacete
4.6
Racing Ferrol
4.3
Levante
4.3
Castellón
4.3
Deportivo La Coruna
4.2
FC Cartagena
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
28.7
Cadiz
28.5
Malaga
28.5
Cordoba
28.3
Elche
28.1
Tenerife
27.8
Zaragoza
27.4
Oviedo
27.2
Mirandes
27.0
Almeria
26.6
Granada CF
26.4
Racing Ferrol
26.1
Eldense
25.0
Castellón
24.7
Eibar
24.7
Burgos
24.5
Levante
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.8
Deportivo La Coruna
23.8
FC Cartagena
23.6
Huesca
23.5
Albacete
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.5%
Under 3.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
80.3%
Under 21.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.53
0.60
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
1.05
0.60
0.80
0.45
1.27
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.33
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.50
0.43
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.48
0.45
0.36
0.64
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.93
0.13
0.47
0.47
1.40
vs Stronger (21)
0.43
1.05
0.20
0.60
0.64
1.45
vs Similar (9)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.20
0.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.50
0.50
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.68
1.36
0.55
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Millán32%
Luis Muñoz18%
Daniel Luna18%
Nacho Martínez14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Gaston Valles11%
Pocho Román10%
Cedric Teguia9%
Andy Rodríguez8%
José Machín8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Jairo Izquierdo5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Sergio Guerrero3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Julián Delmás0%
Dani Escriche0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Jesús Hernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Hernández60%
Damián Musto50%
Nacho Martínez36%
Sergio Guerrero32%
José Machín31%
Martín Aguirregabiria28%
Andrija Vukčević26%
Dani Escriche22%
Jorge Moreno20%
Pocho Román19%
Pedro Alcalá19%
Luis Muñoz18%
Assane Ndiaye Dione12%
Salim El Jebari12%
Daniel Luna12%
Andy Rodríguez11%
Kiko Olivas10%
Nikola Šipčić9%
Jairo Izquierdo9%
Julián Delmás7%
Alfredo Ortuño5%
Pablo Cuñat5%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Gaston Valles4%
Hugo González0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Álex Millán0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez21%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Luis Muñoz9%
Dani Escriche8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Daniel Luna6%
Óscar Clemente6%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Andy Rodríguez3%
José Machín0%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Álex Millán0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Pocho Román0%
Gaston Valles0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Teguia14%
Gaston Valles11%
Álex Millán11%
Luis Muñoz9%
José Machín8%
Dani Escriche5%
Hugo González5%
Andy Rodríguez3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Martín Aguirregabiria0%
Nacho Martínez0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Daniel Luna0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Pocho Román0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Mirandes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquin Panichelli41%
Urko Izeta27%
Alberto Reina Campos15%
Joel Roca14%
Pablo Tomeo9%
Alex Calvo8%
Hugo Rincon Lumbreras7%
Adrián Butzke7%
Jon Gorrotxategi7%
Santiago Homenchenko5%
Mathis Lachuer5%
Iker Benito4%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Julio Alonso0%
Raúl Fernández0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Victor Parada0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Ander Martín0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Unai Eguíluz0%
Aboubacar Bassinga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Gutierrez Martinez32%
Alberto Rodríguez24%
Mathis Lachuer21%
Unai Eguíluz21%
Victor Parada21%
Hugo Rincon Lumbreras20%
Julio Alonso15%
Sergio Postigo14%
Pablo Tomeo14%
Joaquin Panichelli14%
Joel Roca10%
Raúl Fernández9%
Alberto Reina Campos9%
Iker Benito8%
Alex Calvo8%
Urko Izeta7%
Adrián Butzke7%
Jon Gorrotxategi7%
Santiago Homenchenko5%
Ander Martín0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Aboubacar Bassinga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iker Benito16%
Joaquin Panichelli14%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez13%
Carlo Adriano García12%
Hugo Rincon Lumbreras11%
Alberto Reina Campos9%
Sergio Postigo7%
Joel Roca7%
Urko Izeta7%
Adrián Butzke7%
Mathis Lachuer5%
Jon Gorrotxategi4%
Ander Martín4%
Victor Parada3%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Julio Alonso0%
Raúl Fernández0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Santiago Homenchenko0%
Unai Eguíluz0%
Alex Calvo0%
Aboubacar Bassinga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joaquin Panichelli39%
Urko Izeta23%
Iker Benito8%
Joel Roca7%
Hugo Rincon Lumbreras7%
Mathis Lachuer5%
Pablo Tomeo2%
Alberto Reina Campos2%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Julio Alonso0%
Raúl Fernández0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Victor Parada0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Juan Gutierrez Martinez0%
Ander Martín0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Jon Gorrotxategi0%
Santiago Homenchenko0%
Unai Eguíluz0%
Alex Calvo0%
Aboubacar Bassinga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →