This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.10
1.79
1.07
1.06
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.43
0.95
1.82
0.82
1.00
1.10
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
1.44
1.67
2.00
1.17
1.17
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.0%
@ 2.25-2.9%
Under 2.5
61.0%
@ 1.62+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-0 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
FC Cartagena goals ↓
Sporting Gijon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.2%
4.0%
1.3%
1
8.5%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
4.6%
6.0%
4.0%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.4%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Cartagena goals (down), columns = Sporting Gijon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
FC Cartagena is 0.29 points worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
FC Cartagena is 0.28 goals worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
FC Cartagena is 0.24 goals worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 0.98).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
FC Cartagena is 9.5 percentage points worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of average possession (44% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Cartagena
For 4.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
For 5.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.4
8.7
1.9
1.8
1.9
25.9
27.4
24.6
vs Stronger (26)
9.8
10.0
9.0
2.1
2.5
1.5
27.1
27.2
27.0
vs Similar (24)
9.2
11.5
8.6
1.6
0.6
2.3
24.8
28.0
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
75%
44%
26%
21%
31%
88%
88%
89%
% under line
41%
25%
56%
74%
79%
69%
12%
12%
11%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.2
10.8
1.7
1.5
1.8
24.3
24.2
24.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
10.7
10.7
10.7
1.8
1.5
2.2
24.4
24.9
23.8
vs Weaker (11)
10.0
7.0
11.0
1.1
1.5
0.9
24.0
20.0
25.3
% over line
59%
50%
67%
22%
21%
23%
71%
75%
67%
% under line
41%
50%
33%
78%
79%
77%
29%
25%
33%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Huesca
10.2
Espanyol
10.2
Sporting Gijon
10.1
Valladolid
9.9
Mirandes
9.9
Levante
9.7
Elche
9.6
Amorebieta
9.5
Villarreal II
9.5
Burgos
9.5
Zaragoza
9.2
Racing Santander
9.1
Eldense
9.1
Eibar
9.1
FC Cartagena
9.0
Oviedo
8.9
Alcorcon
8.9
Tenerife
8.8
Leganes
8.6
Albacete
8.3
Racing Ferrol
8.2
FC Andorra
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
5.9
Racing Santander
5.7
Levante
5.5
Huesca
5.5
Tenerife
5.3
Elche
5.2
Zaragoza
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.1
Oviedo
5.1
Leganes
5.1
Mirandes
5.0
FC Cartagena
5.0
Valladolid
5.0
Villarreal II
4.9
Albacete
4.9
Eibar
4.8
Alcorcon
4.6
Burgos
4.5
FC Andorra
4.4
Amorebieta
4.3
Eldense
3.9
Racing Ferrol
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.4
Leganes
29.1
Albacete
28.1
Elche
27.5
Oviedo
27.4
FC Cartagena
27.4
Huesca
27.3
Tenerife
27.2
Valladolid
27.1
Eldense
26.8
Espanyol
26.7
Zaragoza
26.4
Alcorcon
26.2
Levante
25.9
Villarreal II
25.9
Amorebieta
25.7
Racing Ferrol
25.1
FC Andorra
24.9
Mirandes
24.8
Eibar
24.7
Burgos
24.3
Sporting Gijon
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.0%
Under 3.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.9%
Under 21.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.50
0.86
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
1.13
0.67
1.22
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.33
0.20
0.20
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.93
0.43
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.43
1.00
0.45
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.29
0.86
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
0.73
0.11
0.89
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.80
0.90
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.86
0.64
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.52
0.82
0.36
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Darío Poveda17%
Juan Carlos12%
Ivan Ayllon12%
Jose Fontán11%
Andy Rodríguez10%
Luis Muñoz9%
Juan Narváez6%
Jairo Izquierdo6%
Isak Jansson6%
Arnau Solà6%
Kiko Olivas5%
Tomás Alarcón3%
Ivan Calero3%
Hector Hevel0%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Mikel Rico0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Marc Martínez0%
Lautaro De León0%
Arnau Ortiz0%
Jonathan Carmona0%
Diego Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomás Alarcón37%
Damián Musto25%
Jose Fontán24%
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Pedro Alcalá22%
Ivan Calero22%
Gonzalo Verdú21%
Hector Hevel20%
Luis Muñoz18%
Isak Jansson17%
Raúl Lizoain16%
Marc Martínez14%
Andy Rodríguez14%
Arnau Ortiz14%
Mikel Rico13%
Úmaro Embaló12%
Juan Carlos12%
Arnau Solà11%
Juan Narváez6%
Darío Poveda6%
Jonathan Carmona6%
Kiko Olivas5%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
David Ferreiro0%
Lautaro De León0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ivan Ayllon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hector Hevel13%
Jairo Izquierdo11%
David Ferreiro11%
Ivan Calero11%
Alfredo Ortuño8%
Arnau Ortiz7%
Úmaro Embaló6%
Luis Muñoz6%
Darío Poveda6%
Isak Jansson6%
Jonathan Carmona6%
Andy Rodríguez5%
Juan Carlos4%
Tomás Alarcón3%
Juan Narváez0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Mikel Rico0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Marc Martínez0%
Arnau Solà0%
Lautaro De León0%
Jose Fontán0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ivan Ayllon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hector Hevel13%
Alfredo Ortuño12%
Juan Carlos12%
Ivan Ayllon12%
Juan Narváez6%
Luis Muñoz6%
Tomás Alarcón6%
Isak Jansson6%
Mikel Rico3%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gonzalo Verdú0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Ivan Calero0%
Darío Poveda0%
Marc Martínez0%
Andy Rodríguez0%
Arnau Solà0%
Lautaro De León0%
Jose Fontán0%
Arnau Ortiz0%
Jonathan Carmona0%
Diego Moreno0%
Sporting Gijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Víctor Campuzano29%
Juan Otero22%
Gaspar Campos21%
Dani Queipo12%
Uroš Đurđević11%
Ignacio Méndez10%
José Ángel10%
Mario González10%
Pablo Insua6%
Carlos Izquierdoz4%
Alexandru Paşcanu4%
Guille Rosas3%
Roque Mesa3%
Haissem Hassan2%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Francisco Villalba0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Róber Pier0%
Cristian Rivera0%
Pablo García0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Diego Sanchez0%
Alejandro Lozano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carlos Izquierdoz35%
Cristian Rivera30%
Uroš Đurđević26%
Pablo Insua25%
Ignacio Martín24%
Ignacio Méndez22%
Roque Mesa22%
José Ángel20%
Alexandru Paşcanu19%
Gaspar Campos19%
Jonathan Varane17%
Róber Pier17%
Diego Sanchez17%
Alejandro Lozano17%
Francisco Villalba15%
Haissem Hassan12%
Juan Otero12%
Dani Queipo12%
Mario González10%
Guille Rosas10%
Pablo García5%
Víctor Campuzano5%
Rubén Yáñez2%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Francisco Villalba15%
José Ángel15%
Ignacio Martín12%
Haissem Hassan10%
Guille Rosas10%
Juan Otero8%
Róber Pier7%
Cristian Rivera7%
Uroš Đurđević5%
Pablo García5%
Mario González5%
Víctor Campuzano5%
Gaspar Campos5%
Alexandru Paşcanu4%
Roque Mesa3%
Pablo Insua3%
Carlos Izquierdoz0%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Dani Queipo0%
Diego Sanchez0%
Alejandro Lozano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero35%
Mario González15%
Gaspar Campos12%
Uroš Đurđević11%
Haissem Hassan5%
José Ángel2%
Roque Mesa0%
Carlos Izquierdoz0%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Francisco Villalba0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Víctor Campuzano0%
Róber Pier0%
Cristian Rivera0%
Pablo Insua0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Dani Queipo0%
Diego Sanchez0%
Alejandro Lozano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →