This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.17
2.14
0.79
1.50
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
2.04
1.13
2.50
0.70
1.69
1.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-1 ✓
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
FC Copenhagen goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
4.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
1
9.1%
12%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.9%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
6.0%
6.2%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Copenhagen goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
FC Copenhagen is 0.72 points better than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
FC Copenhagen is 0.22 goals better than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
FC Copenhagen is 0.41 goals better than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
FC Copenhagen is 1.6 percentage points better than Aarhus in terms of average possession (53% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Copenhagen
For 4.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.3 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 5.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Copenhagen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.5
9.5
4.0
4.5
3.5
22.4
20.9
24.0
vs Stronger (2)
4.0
1.0
7.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
15.5
15.0
16.0
vs Similar (15)
8.7
8.2
9.3
5.5
6.4
4.4
23.2
22.5
24.0
vs Weaker (33)
9.4
9.1
9.7
3.4
3.6
3.2
22.4
20.4
24.6
% over line
39%
33%
45%
54%
64%
44%
48%
33%
64%
% under line
61%
67%
55%
46%
36%
56%
52%
67%
36%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.7
3.8
4.6
3.1
23.1
24.6
21.6
vs Stronger (11)
10.0
10.3
9.6
4.2
5.0
3.2
22.6
25.5
19.2
vs Similar (36)
9.3
9.5
9.2
3.4
4.1
2.9
22.8
24.0
21.7
vs Weaker (3)
12.7
10.5
17.0
7.0
7.5
6.0
28.0
26.5
31.0
% over line
46%
43%
48%
52%
62%
42%
57%
70%
43%
% under line
54%
57%
52%
48%
38%
58%
43%
30%
57%
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Midtjylland
11.3
Viborg
11.3
Vejle
11.2
Lyngby
10.4
Randers FC
10.3
Brondby
10.2
Aalborg
9.9
Sonderjyske
9.9
FC Nordsjaelland
9.5
Aarhus
9.5
FC Copenhagen
8.9
Silkeborg
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
4.4
Aarhus
4.2
Sonderjyske
4.0
Lyngby
4.0
Viborg
3.9
Randers FC
3.7
Brondby
3.7
Vejle
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
FC Midtjylland
3.5
Aalborg
3.4
Silkeborg
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
23.8
Aarhus
23.3
Randers FC
22.6
Viborg
22.3
Sonderjyske
22.3
Vejle
22.2
FC Copenhagen
21.9
FC Midtjylland
21.7
Aalborg
21.1
FC Nordsjaelland
20.6
Brondby
20.2
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.2%
Under 21.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.57
0.36
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.70
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.33
0.75
0.25
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.93
0.43
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.65
1.10
0.50
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.00
0.79
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.80
1.20
0.80
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (18)
0.89
0.72
0.88
0.62
0.90
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.57
1.21
0.36
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.17
0.48
1.40
0.20
1.00
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Copenhagen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Orri Steinn Óskarsson50%
Jordan Larsson29%
Kevin Diks28%
Mohamed Elyounoussi24%
Oliver Højer20%
Amin Chiakha19%
Viktor Claesson15%
Thomas Delaney15%
Victor Froholdt13%
Andreas Cornelius12%
Gabriel Pereira11%
Robert8%
Rodrigo Huescas7%
Magnus Mattsson6%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos6%
Elias Achouri6%
Rasmus Falk Jensen5%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili3%
Lukas Lerager3%
Birger Meling0%
Denis Vavro0%
German Onugkha0%
Marcos López0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Diant Ramaj0%
Nathan Trott0%
Theo Sander0%
Roony Bardghji0%
William Clem0%
Munashe Garananga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pantelis Hatzidiakos27%
Thomas Delaney26%
Elias Achouri24%
Rodrigo Huescas23%
Marcos López21%
Andreas Cornelius20%
Diant Ramaj19%
Denis Vavro18%
Kevin Diks18%
Jordan Larsson18%
German Onugkha17%
Gabriel Pereira16%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili13%
Amin Chiakha12%
Lukas Lerager11%
Birger Meling11%
Mohamed Elyounoussi10%
William Clem9%
Victor Froholdt9%
Orri Steinn Óskarsson8%
Munashe Garananga7%
Rasmus Falk Jensen5%
Magnus Mattsson4%
Robert4%
Viktor Claesson3%
Christian Sørensen0%
Nathan Trott0%
Theo Sander0%
Roony Bardghji0%
Oliver Højer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcos López29%
Mohamed Elyounoussi19%
Andreas Cornelius16%
Elias Achouri15%
Viktor Claesson13%
Kevin Diks10%
Thomas Delaney9%
Orri Steinn Óskarsson8%
Robert8%
Jordan Larsson7%
Rodrigo Huescas7%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos6%
Lukas Lerager6%
Rasmus Falk Jensen5%
William Clem5%
Victor Froholdt4%
Magnus Mattsson4%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili3%
Gabriel Pereira3%
Birger Meling0%
Denis Vavro0%
German Onugkha0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Diant Ramaj0%
Nathan Trott0%
Theo Sander0%
Roony Bardghji0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Amin Chiakha0%
Oliver Højer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Orri Steinn Óskarsson42%
German Onugkha33%
Mohamed Elyounoussi31%
Denis Vavro27%
Andreas Cornelius20%
Jordan Larsson14%
Viktor Claesson10%
Magnus Mattsson9%
Amin Chiakha8%
Elias Achouri6%
Thomas Delaney6%
Marcos López4%
Robert4%
Kevin Diks3%
Victor Froholdt2%
Birger Meling0%
Rasmus Falk Jensen0%
Lukas Lerager0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Diant Ramaj0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Nathan Trott0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
Rodrigo Huescas0%
Theo Sander0%
Roony Bardghji0%
William Clem0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Oliver Højer0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen47%
Tobias Bech27%
Mikael Anderson20%
Mads Emil Madsen16%
Gift Links8%
Frederik Tingager7%
Youssouph Badji7%
Felix Beijmo6%
Tobias Mølgaard6%
Kristian Arnstad4%
Henrik Dalsgaard4%
Nicolai Poulsen4%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Eric Kahl0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Tobias Bach0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristian Arnstad25%
Nicolai Poulsen21%
Jacob Andersen19%
Tobias Bech17%
Mikael Anderson17%
Eric Kahl16%
Mads Emil Madsen13%
Tobias Mølgaard12%
Felix Beijmo10%
Frederik Brandhof9%
Gift Links8%
Henrik Dalsgaard8%
Max Power7%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Tobias Bach6%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikael Anderson20%
Youssouph Badji13%
Mads Emil Madsen10%
Felix Beijmo10%
Gift Links8%
Eric Kahl8%
Nicolai Poulsen7%
Tobias Bech7%
Jacob Andersen6%
Tobias Bach6%
Kristian Arnstad4%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Anderson33%
Patrick Mortensen31%
Tobias Bech20%
Gift Links8%
Frederik Tingager3%
Mads Emil Madsen3%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Kristian Arnstad0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Tobias Bach0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FC Copenhagen's squad is €38m more valuable than Aarhus's (€73m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FC Copenhagen's attack is €3m more valuable than Aarhus's (€17m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
FC Copenhagen's midfield is €3m more valuable than Aarhus's (€17m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FC Copenhagen's defence is €31m more valuable than Aarhus's (€39m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →