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FC Edinburgh vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 01/04/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
FE
FC Edinburgh
Vs
40%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Edinburgh win✗ Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.54
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.28
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.55
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L12L01L33D30W21W02L00D13LH·DUN07/01A·ALL14/01H·FAL28/01A·QUE04/02A·MON18/02H·CLY25/02A·KEL04/03H·ALL11/03A·DUN18/03H·QUE24/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.471.601.531.931.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.701.631.461.771.931.50
vs Weaker (3)2.330.002.500.002.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L10W33D02L33D01L20W21W13LA·PET02/01A·FAL07/01H·QUE14/01H·KEL28/01A·DUN04/02H·FC 18/02A·ALL25/02H·CLY04/03A·KEL18/03H·DUN25/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.471.871.271.001.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.331.561.851.380.861.71
vs Weaker (3)2.330.672.000.503.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.76-0.3%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.98+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
FC Edinburgh goals ↓
Montrose goals →
01234
07.4%6.9%5.2%2.3%0.7%
18.0%13%7.8%3.4%1.1%
26.8%8.8%5.8%2.5%0.8%
33.3%4.4%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Edinburgh goals (down), columns = Montrose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.25
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.67
Alloa
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.50
FC Edinburgh
1.42
Montrose
1.33
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Clyde
0.67
Peterhead
0.44
FC Edinburgh is 0.08 points better than Montrose in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.28
Falkirk
1.94
Dunfermline
1.75
FC Edinburgh
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.64
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.08
Clyde
0.97
Peterhead
0.53
FC Edinburgh is 0.28 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.58
Falkirk
1.08
Alloa
1.31
Airdrie United
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.50
Montrose
1.53
FC Edinburgh
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.64
Clyde
1.89
Peterhead
2.33
FC Edinburgh and Montrose are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.53).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FE
FC Edinburgh

For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1403684557793573533536912101412128686H·QUEA·DUNH·ALLA·KELH·CLYA·MONA·QUEH·FALA·ALLH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

704111121152314214213274403H·QUEA·DUNH·ALLA·KELH·CLYA·MONA·QUEH·FALA·ALLH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 18.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

33010106910681178181510741451111920151619153317181620H·QUEA·DUNH·ALLA·KELH·CLYA·MONA·QUEH·FALA·ALLH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

For 7.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

18036116151101758103528647191716111218810108H·DUNA·KELH·CLYA·ALLH·FC A·DUNH·KELH·QUEA·FALA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80233233122521121134535563733278H·DUNA·KELH·CLYA·ALLH·FC A·DUNH·KELH·QUEA·FALA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

37012712141714911151811118187131720131519263120332226203728H·DUNA·KELH·CLYA·ALLH·FC A·DUNH·KELH·QUEA·FALA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FE
FC Edinburgh

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (30)9.89.89.83.42.74.018.918.119.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)9.79.69.93.42.64.218.817.919.6
vs Weaker (3)10.311.09.02.73.51.019.719.021.0
% over line50%47%53%43%33%53%27%13%40%
% under line50%53%47%57%67%47%73%87%60%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.410.13.93.84.023.523.923.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)10.210.210.33.73.44.023.323.523.1
vs Weaker (8)10.411.59.25.16.53.824.525.823.2
% over line54%54%54%56%54%58%66%73%58%
% under line46%46%46%44%46%42%34%27%42%
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Falkirk
10.5
Airdrie United
10.3
Montrose
10.3
Dunfermline
10.2
Queen of Sth
10.2
Kelty Hearts
10.1
Clyde
10.0
Alloa
9.9
Peterhead
9.8
FC Edinburgh
9.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.3
Peterhead
4.3
Clyde
4.0
Montrose
3.9
Kelty Hearts
3.7
Dunfermline
3.7
FC Edinburgh
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.3
Alloa
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.5
Peterhead
23.2
Clyde
22.1
Falkirk
21.8
Kelty Hearts
21.5
Dunfermline
20.9
Queen of Sth
20.0
FC Edinburgh
18.9
Airdrie United
18.6
Alloa
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.9%
Under 9.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.7%
Under 3.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
38.8%
Under 21.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FE
FC Edinburgh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D21W10W10W01L00D00DH·DUN07/01A·ALL14/01H·FAL28/01A·QUE04/02A·MON18/02H·CLY25/02A·KEL04/03H·ALL11/03A·DUN18/03H·QUE24/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.470.600.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.630.380.690.790.57
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D21W01L12L00D20W01L02LA·PET02/01A·FAL07/01H·QUE14/01H·KEL28/01A·DUN04/02H·FC 18/02A·ALL25/02H·CLY04/03A·KEL18/03H·DUN25/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.800.530.200.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.670.690.620.210.71
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FE
FC Edinburgh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W12L01L12L20W11D01L00D13LH·DUN07/01A·ALL14/01H·FAL28/01A·QUE04/02A·MON18/02H·CLY25/02A·KEL04/03H·ALL11/03A·DUN18/03H·QUE24/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.901.130.931.130.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.111.001.081.081.140.93
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W12L01L21W01L00D20W11DA·PET02/01A·FAL07/01H·QUE14/01H·KEL28/01A·DUN04/02H·FC 18/02A·ALL25/02H·CLY04/03A·KEL18/03H·DUN25/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.871.070.730.801.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.890.891.150.770.641.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.670.500.503.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls87.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards86.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards73.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners72.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
KH (4)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
KH (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
FE wins
2
Draws
0
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Edinburgh vs Montrose · H/A from FE
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/23AMontrose Vs FE3-3
17/12/22HFE Vs Montrose2-2
01/10/22AMontrose Vs FE1-2

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/03/23HFE Vs Queen of Sth1-3
18/03/23ADunfermline Vs FE0-0
11/03/23HFE Vs Alloa0-2
04/03/23AKelty Hearts Vs FE1-2
25/02/23HFE Vs Clyde3-0
18/02/23AMontrose Vs FE3-3
04/02/23AQueen of Sth Vs FE1-0
28/01/23HFE Vs Falkirk1-2
14/01/23AAlloa Vs FE2-1
07/01/23HFE Vs Dunfermline0-1

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/03/23HMON Vs Dunfermline1-3
18/03/23AKelty Hearts Vs MON1-2
04/03/23HMON Vs Clyde2-0
25/02/23AAlloa Vs MON1-0
18/02/23HMON Vs FC Edinburgh3-3
04/02/23ADunfermline Vs MON2-0
28/01/23HMON Vs Kelty Hearts3-3
14/01/23HMON Vs Queen of Sth1-0
07/01/23AFalkirk Vs MON2-1
02/01/23APeterhead Vs MON0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FE
FC Edinburgh
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.53
HomeLLWLL1.47
AwayLLDWD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%47%47%
AVG goals3.233.133.33
Over 1.5 %87%93%80%
Over 2.5 %60%67%53%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored1.771.601.93
Conceded1.471.531.40
BTTS43%33%53%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners9.809.809.80
Cards3.372.734.00
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.50
HomeWDDWL1.69
AwayDLLLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.662.812.50
Over 1.5 %76%85%67%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.401.651.12
Conceded1.261.151.38
BTTS54%65%42%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners10.2610.3810.12
Cards3.903.853.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3681
64%
2.2
6321+42
2.3
78%
33%
19%
10.6
47%
3.8
44%
19.6
36%
4
2021.80.6
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3667
53%
1.9
7039+31
3.0
83%
61%
44%
10.1
61%
3.9
64%
21.9
56%
6
2131.91.1
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3660
47%
1.7
8251+31
3.7
86%
58%
53%
10.4
56%
3.2
36%
18.0
19%
0
0002.31.4
-
4
A
Alloa		3657
47%
1.6
5647+9
2.9
78%
50%
33%
9.7
53%
2.8
39%
18.0
22%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
QO
Queen of Sth		3654
44%
1.5
5959+0
3.3
83%
64%
44%
9.9
53%
3.7
50%
20.0
39%
0
0001.61.6
-
6
FE
FC Edinburgh		3651
42%
1.4
6055+5
3.2
86%
61%
33%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.2
31%
0
0001.71.5
-
7MontroseMontrose3648
36%
1.3
5055-5
2.9
81%
64%
33%
10.3
56%
4.1
64%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3640
28%
1.1
3954-15
2.6
75%
58%
19%
10.7
67%
3.6
44%
22.6
53%
1
1001.11.5
-
9ClydeClyde3624
14%
0.7
3568-33
2.9
81%
58%
31%
10.5
53%
3.7
44%
21.2
47%
0
0001.01.9
-
10PeterheadPeterhead3616
8%
0.4
1984-65
2.9
86%
53%
33%
9.9
56%
4.1
58%
22.1
61%
0
0000.52.3
-
Scotland: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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