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FC Edinburgh vs Peterhead Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
FE
FC Edinburgh
Vs
40%
26%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Edinburgh win✓ Hit
40.1%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.66
Edge
-15.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.76
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Peterhead win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.46
Edge
+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W03L42W03L20W60W14L21WA·KEL30/07H·DUN06/08A·ALL13/08H·FAL20/08H·CLY27/08A·AIR03/09A·QUE17/09A·MON01/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.121.620.672.003.001.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.141.860.003.003.001.40
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D02L22D13L14L05L02L21W22DH·EAS23/04A·AIR30/04H·AIR30/07A·CLY06/08A·FAL13/08H·QUE20/08A·ALL27/08H·MON03/09H·KEL17/09A·DUN01/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.631.001.331.271.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.781.650.771.230.802.20
vs Weaker (7)2.291.572.502.002.201.40
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.1%
@ 1.68+3.8%
Under 2.5
40.9%
@ 2.08-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-0 ✓
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
FC Edinburgh goals ↓
Peterhead goals →
01234
05.8%5.7%5.0%2.4%0.9%
16.4%12%8.0%3.9%1.4%
26.0%8.8%6.4%3.1%1.1%
33.2%4.7%3.4%1.7%0.6%
41.3%1.9%1.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Edinburgh goals (down), columns = Peterhead goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.25
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.67
Alloa
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.50
FC Edinburgh
1.42
Montrose
1.33
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Clyde
0.67
Peterhead
0.44
FC Edinburgh is 0.97 points better than Peterhead in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 0.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.28
Falkirk
1.94
Dunfermline
1.75
FC Edinburgh
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.64
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.08
Clyde
0.97
Peterhead
0.53
FC Edinburgh is 1.14 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.53).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.58
Falkirk
1.08
Alloa
1.31
Airdrie United
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.50
Montrose
1.53
FC Edinburgh
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.64
Clyde
1.89
Peterhead
2.33
FC Edinburgh is 0.81 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 2.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FE
FC Edinburgh

For 3.0 · Against 6.9 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1609113362818571636104910912169A·MONA·QUEA·AIRH·CLYH·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60311212142233211243354633A·MONA·QUEA·AIRH·CLYH·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

29014117763101316131089101012251492329181922A·MONA·QUEA·AIRH·CLYH·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

For 3.4 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

14016410734861115621261427141012612111476A·DUNH·KELH·MONA·ALLH·QUEA·FALA·CLYH·AIRA·AIRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8043443321413222117860355231A·DUNH·KELH·MONA·ALLH·QUEA·FALA·CLYH·AIRA·AIRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

300991812101476101213131091212916121018302413222619242522A·DUNH·KELH·MONA·ALLH·QUEA·FALA·CLYH·AIRA·AIRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FE
FC Edinburgh

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (8)9.911.78.83.94.03.819.923.717.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)9.912.58.83.73.53.819.424.017.6
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-5.05.0-23.023.0-
% over line50%67%40%50%67%40%50%67%40%
% under line50%33%60%50%33%60%50%33%60%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.510.64.34.34.325.326.823.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.19.510.74.64.84.324.926.723.2
vs Weaker (12)10.09.510.53.42.74.226.227.025.5
% over line56%52%60%60%56%64%80%88%72%
% under line44%48%40%40%44%36%20%12%28%
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Peterhead
10.1
Dunfermline
10.0
Falkirk
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
FC Edinburgh
9.9
Queen of Sth
9.8
Montrose
9.8
Alloa
9.7
Clyde
9.5
Kelty Hearts
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.3
Falkirk
4.2
Clyde
3.9
FC Edinburgh
3.9
Montrose
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Airdrie United
3.3
Alloa
3.2
Dunfermline
3.2
Queen of Sth
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.3
Montrose
22.5
Falkirk
22.2
Clyde
22.1
Dunfermline
21.2
Alloa
20.8
Kelty Hearts
20.8
Queen of Sth
20.6
FC Edinburgh
19.9
Airdrie United
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.5%
Under 9.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.5%
Under 21.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FE
FC Edinburgh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L21W01L10W20W01L11DA·KEL30/07H·DUN06/08A·ALL13/08H·FAL20/08H·CLY27/08A·AIR03/09A·QUE17/09A·MON01/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.750.331.001.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.860.001.501.200.60
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L22D11D12L03L01L10W00DH·EAS23/04A·AIR30/04H·AIR30/07A·CLY06/08A·FAL13/08H·QUE20/08A·ALL27/08H·MON03/09H·KEL17/09A·DUN01/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.530.600.801.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.390.780.380.620.401.00
vs Weaker (7)1.571.001.500.501.601.20
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FE
FC Edinburgh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L21W02L10W40W13L10WA·KEL30/07H·DUN06/08A·ALL13/08H·FAL20/08H·CLY27/08A·AIR03/09A·QUE17/09A·MON01/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.880.331.001.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.000.001.501.800.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D02L02L02L01L11D22DH·EAS23/04A·AIR30/04H·AIR30/07A·CLY06/08A·FAL13/08H·QUE20/08A·ALL27/08H·MON03/09H·KEL17/09A·DUN01/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.470.730.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.390.870.380.620.401.20
vs Weaker (7)0.710.571.001.500.600.20
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners70.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
KH (4)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
KH (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FE wins
0
Draws
0
PET wins

Head-to-head

FC Edinburgh vs Peterhead · H/A from FE
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22AMontrose Vs FE1-2
17/09/22AQueen of Sth Vs FE4-1
03/09/22AAirdrie United Vs FE0-6
27/08/22HFE Vs Clyde2-0
20/08/22HFE Vs Falkirk0-3
13/08/22AAlloa Vs FE2-4
06/08/22HFE Vs Dunfermline0-3
30/07/22AKelty Hearts Vs FE0-2

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22ADunfermline Vs PET2-2
17/09/22HPET Vs Kelty Hearts2-1
03/09/22HPET Vs Montrose0-2
27/08/22AAlloa Vs PET5-0
20/08/22HPET Vs Queen of Sth1-4
13/08/22AFalkirk Vs PET3-1
06/08/22AClyde Vs PET2-2
30/07/22HPET Vs Airdrie United0-2
30/04/22AAirdrie United Vs PET1-1
23/04/22HPET Vs East Fife1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FE
FC Edinburgh
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.88
HomeLLW1.00
AwayWWWLW2.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%33%80%
AVG goals3.752.674.40
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %75%67%80%
Over 3.5 %38%0%60%
Scored2.120.673.00
Conceded1.622.001.40
BTTS38%0%60%
Clean Sheet38%33%40%
Corners9.8811.678.80
Cards3.884.003.80
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.12
HomeWLLLW1.48
AwayDDLLD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.902.403.40
Over 1.5 %74%60%88%
Over 2.5 %56%40%72%
Over 3.5 %34%20%48%
Scored1.301.281.32
Conceded1.601.122.08
BTTS54%40%68%
Clean Sheet20%32%8%
Corners10.089.5210.64
Cards4.284.284.28

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3681
64%
2.2
6321+42
2.3
78%
33%
19%
10.6
47%
3.8
44%
19.6
36%
4
2021.80.6
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3667
53%
1.9
7039+31
3.0
83%
61%
44%
10.1
61%
3.9
64%
21.9
56%
6
2131.91.1
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3660
47%
1.7
8251+31
3.7
86%
58%
53%
10.4
56%
3.2
36%
18.0
19%
0
0002.31.4
-
4
A
Alloa
3657
47%
1.6
5647+9
2.9
78%
50%
33%
9.7
53%
2.8
39%
18.0
22%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
QO
Queen of Sth
3654
44%
1.5
5959+0
3.3
83%
64%
44%
9.9
53%
3.7
50%
20.0
39%
0
0001.61.6
-
6
FE
FC Edinburgh
3651
42%
1.4
6055+5
3.2
86%
61%
33%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.2
31%
0
0001.71.5
-
7MontroseMontrose3648
36%
1.3
5055-5
2.9
81%
64%
33%
10.3
56%
4.1
64%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3640
28%
1.1
3954-15
2.6
75%
58%
19%
10.7
67%
3.6
44%
22.6
53%
1
1001.11.5
-
9ClydeClyde3624
14%
0.7
3568-33
2.9
81%
58%
31%
10.5
53%
3.7
44%
21.2
47%
0
0001.01.9
-
10PeterheadPeterhead3616
8%
0.4
1984-65
2.9
86%
53%
33%
9.9
56%
4.1
58%
22.1
61%
0
0000.52.3
-
Scotland: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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