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FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Lida Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Vs
31%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lida
Lida
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk are likely to fall short against Lida, with the away side expected to take the points. Lida's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning streak, while FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk have struggled, suffering two straight defeats. The predicted match result is an away win, with a probability of 43%. The probability of a home win is 29%, and a draw is 28%. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a probability of 13.1%.

At home, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk have scored an average of 0.44 goals and conceded 0.78 goals per game against similar opponents. Lida, on the other hand, have scored 1.42 goals and conceded 1.5 goals per game when away against similar opponents. The model suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 77.5%, and Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 70%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk secured a 3-2 win at home, extending their run of recent victories. The home team's win was a surprise, as the pre-match favourite, Lida, was expected to claim the victory with a 41% probability. However, the model's selection, an away win, was incorrect, with a probability of 41%. The model's call was wrong. The model's selection of an away win was the only choice among the suggested picks that did not come to fruition. In contrast, the suggestion to back over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 77.5%, as the final score was 3-2.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lida win✗ Miss
41.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L11D02L60W01L01L00D03L01L12LA·ML 20/10H·ORS27/10A·BAR03/11H·SLO10/11H·MOL17/11H·ABF23/11H·DIN24/07A·FC 31/07A·SHA05/08A·NIV09/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.601.081.231.061.88
vs Stronger (2)1.003.002.005.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.741.610.501.000.922.08
vs Weaker (5)2.601.003.500.502.001.33
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Lida) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LidaLida

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-770W23L30W20W12L50W13L31W21W21WH·NIV18/10A·OSI25/10A·UNI31/10A·ABF06/11H·BAR15/11A·GOM22/11H·SLO26/07A·OST01/08A·DIN05/08H·FC 09/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.302.561.121.861.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (23)2.221.302.671.081.731.55
vs Weaker (6)2.671.332.251.253.501.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk goals ↓
Lida goals →
01234
07.5%8.2%7.1%3.5%1.3%
16.8%13%9.0%4.5%1.7%
25.0%7.6%5.7%2.8%1.1%
32.1%3.2%2.4%1.2%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk goals (down), columns = Lida goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk is 1.14 points worse than Lida in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk is 1.29 goals worse than Lida in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 2.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk is 0.29 goals better than Lida in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L30W01L01L00D01L01L10WA·ML 20/10H·ORS27/10A·BAR03/11H·SLO10/11H·MOL17/11H·ABF23/11H·DIN24/07A·FC 31/07A·SHA05/08A·NIV09/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.460.540.350.82
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.220.700.200.400.230.92
vs Weaker (5)1.200.401.500.001.000.67
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Lida) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LidaLida

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W12L20W00D11D20W01L10W20W11DH·NIV18/10A·OSI25/10A·UNI31/10A·ABF06/11H·BAR15/11A·GOM22/11H·SLO26/07A·OST01/08A·DIN05/08H·FC 09/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.120.560.790.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.000.521.250.580.730.45
vs Weaker (6)1.000.670.750.501.501.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D30W00D00D00D02L00D02LA·ML 20/10H·ORS27/10A·BAR03/11H·SLO10/11H·MOL17/11H·ABF23/11H·DIN24/07A·FC 31/07A·SHA05/08A·NIV09/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.620.690.711.06
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.910.300.600.691.15
vs Weaker (5)1.400.602.000.501.000.67
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Lida) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LidaLida

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D10W20W01L30W12L21W01L10WH·NIV18/10A·OSI25/10A·UNI31/10A·ABF06/11H·BAR15/11A·GOM22/11H·SLO26/07A·OST01/08A·DIN05/08H·FC 09/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.771.440.561.071.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.220.781.420.501.001.09
vs Weaker (6)1.670.671.500.752.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
FEM wins
1
Draws
1
LID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Lida · H/A from FEM
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/24HFEM Vs Lida0-0
15/06/24ALida Vs FEM1-0

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26ANiva Vs FEM2-1
05/08/26AShakhter Soligorsk Vs FEM1-0
31/07/26AFC Slutsk Vs FEM3-0
24/07/26HFEM Vs Dinamo Minsk II0-0
23/11/24HFEM Vs ABFF U170-1
17/11/24HFEM Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-1
10/11/24HFEM Vs Slonim6-0
03/11/24ABaranovichi Vs FEM2-0
27/10/24HFEM Vs Orsha1-1
20/10/24AML Vitebsk Vs FEM1-0

LidaLida

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26HLID Vs FC Slutsk2-1
05/08/26ADinamo Minsk II Vs LID1-2
01/08/26AOstrovets FC Vs LID1-3
26/07/26HLID Vs Slonim1-3
22/11/25AGomel II Vs LID0-5
15/11/25HLID Vs Baranovichi1-2
06/11/25AABFF U19 Vs LID0-2
31/10/25AUni Minsk Vs LID0-3
25/10/25AOsipovichy Vs LID3-2
18/10/25HLID Vs Niva7-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.88
HomeDWLLD0.92
AwayLLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.622.682.56
Over 1.5 %64%64%64%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.041.081.00
Conceded1.581.601.56
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners8.5710.677.00
Cards5.333.506.25
Lida
Lida
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.80
HomeWWLLW2.04
AwayWWWWW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.403.523.28
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %72%80%64%
Over 3.5 %50%48%52%
Scored2.122.361.88
Conceded1.281.161.40
BTTS64%68%60%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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