This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.47
1.40
1.13
1.13
1.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
-
-
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.32
1.43
1.07
1.18
1.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
FC Lugano goals ↓
FC Sion goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
5.0%
3.9%
1.7%
0.5%
1
7.3%
12%
6.9%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.5%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
4.3%
5.6%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.9%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Lugano goals (down), columns = FC Sion goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Aarau
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.88
FC Winterthur
0.61
FC Lugano is 0.11 points better than FC Sion in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.23
FC Winterthur
1.16
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Lugano is 0.11 goals worse than FC Sion in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Winterthur
2.63
FC Lugano is 0.05 goals worse than FC Sion in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
FC Aarau
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
FC Winterthur
44%
FC Lugano is 5.4 percentage points better than FC Sion in terms of average possession (56% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Lugano
For 3.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
For 7.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 14.1 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Lugano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.3
8.8
5.3
5.0
5.5
25.8
25.6
26.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
9.0
9.0
9.0
5.5
5.3
5.7
26.1
26.5
25.7
vs Weaker (5)
9.4
11.3
6.5
3.4
3.0
4.0
23.2
19.0
29.5
% over line
48%
54%
42%
74%
72%
76%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
52%
46%
58%
26%
28%
24%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.1
10.6
4.7
5.2
4.1
24.4
24.2
24.6
vs Stronger (3)
10.7
8.0
12.0
4.7
8.0
3.0
25.0
22.0
26.5
vs Similar (42)
10.0
9.3
10.7
4.7
5.0
4.3
24.5
24.6
24.4
vs Weaker (5)
8.8
7.5
9.7
4.4
6.0
3.3
22.8
21.0
24.0
% over line
52%
44%
60%
74%
80%
68%
76%
72%
80%
% under line
48%
56%
40%
26%
20%
32%
24%
28%
20%
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Servette FC
11.4
Lausanne
10.6
FC Zurich
10.6
BSC Young Boys
10.6
FC ST. Gallen
10.3
FC Basel 1893
10.1
FC Luzern
10.0
FC Winterthur
9.9
FC Sion
9.9
Grasshoppers
9.6
FC Thun
9.5
FC Lugano
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.5
FC Lugano
5.3
FC Luzern
5.1
FC Aarau
5.0
Grasshoppers
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
Lausanne
4.7
FC Sion
4.7
FC Thun
4.7
Servette FC
4.2
BSC Young Boys
3.9
FC Winterthur
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Thun
29.1
FC Basel 1893
26.2
FC Zurich
25.9
FC Lugano
25.8
FC Luzern
25.4
FC ST. Gallen
24.5
FC Sion
24.4
Lausanne
24.2
Grasshoppers
24.1
BSC Young Boys
23.9
Servette FC
22.5
FC Winterthur
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.5%
Under 9.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.0%
Under 3.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.7%
Under 21.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Lugano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.67
0.40
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.63
0.77
0.46
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.87
0.60
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.76
0.86
0.64
0.36
0.91
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Lugano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Lugano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.73
1.33
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.52
1.04
0.54
1.38
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.53
0.53
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.56
0.57
0.43
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lugano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Lugano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lugano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Lugano
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Behrens31%
Renato Steffen30%
Anto Grgić21%
Georgios Koutsias18%
Daniel Dos Santos Correia12%
Antonios Papadopoulos11%
Claudio Cassano11%
Ezgjan Alioski9%
Ousmane Doumbia8%
Uran Bislimi8%
Yanis Cimignani8%
Hannes Delcroix7%
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud6%
Hicham Mahou4%
Martim Marques4%
Mattia Zanotti3%
Lars Lukas Mai0%
David von Ballmoos0%
Ahmed Kendouci0%
Mattia Bottani0%
Zachary Brault Guillard0%
Amir Saipi0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Damian Kelvin0%
Ayman El Wafi0%
Carbone0%
Elias Pihlström0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonios Papadopoulos29%
Damian Kelvin25%
Anto Grgić24%
Lars Lukas Mai20%
Carbone20%
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud19%
Daniel Dos Santos Correia18%
Ayman El Wafi18%
Hicham Mahou17%
Renato Steffen17%
Uran Bislimi14%
Ezgjan Alioski14%
Martim Marques13%
Mattia Zanotti12%
Amir Saipi12%
Claudio Cassano11%
Zachary Brault Guillard11%
Ahmed Kendouci10%
Mattia Bottani9%
Georgios Koutsias9%
Kevin Behrens8%
Ousmane Doumbia8%
Yanis Cimignani8%
Hannes Delcroix7%
Elias Pihlström7%
David von Ballmoos7%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Dos Santos Correia27%
Anto Grgić16%
Uran Bislimi11%
Renato Steffen10%
Mattia Zanotti9%
Georgios Koutsias9%
Martim Marques9%
Ousmane Doumbia8%
Kevin Behrens6%
Ezgjan Alioski5%
Hicham Mahou4%
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud3%
Lars Lukas Mai3%
Yanis Cimignani3%
David von Ballmoos0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Ahmed Kendouci0%
Antonios Papadopoulos0%
Mattia Bottani0%
Zachary Brault Guillard0%
Amir Saipi0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Claudio Cassano0%
Damian Kelvin0%
Ayman El Wafi0%
Carbone0%
Elias Pihlström0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Behrens22%
Antonios Papadopoulos14%
Uran Bislimi11%
Yanis Cimignani11%
Ousmane Doumbia8%
Hannes Delcroix7%
Georgios Koutsias6%
Renato Steffen3%
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud3%
Mattia Zanotti3%
Daniel Dos Santos Correia3%
Lars Lukas Mai0%
David von Ballmoos0%
Ahmed Kendouci0%
Ezgjan Alioski0%
Mattia Bottani0%
Anto Grgić0%
Zachary Brault Guillard0%
Amir Saipi0%
Hicham Mahou0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Martim Marques0%
Claudio Cassano0%
Damian Kelvin0%
Ayman El Wafi0%
Carbone0%
Elias Pihlström0%
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rilind Nivokazi27%
Benjamin Kololli25%
Ylyas Chouaref24%
Winsley Boteli Mokango24%
Donat Rrudhani14%
Liam Scott Chipperfield14%
Josias Lukembila12%
Ali Kabacalman8%
Franck Surdez6%
Baltazar Costa6%
Théo Berdayes6%
Noé Sow3%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Jan Kronig3%
Numa Lavanchy3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Nias Hefti0%
Lamine Diack0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Adrien Llukes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kreshnik Hajrizi41%
Baltazar Costa23%
Theo Bouchlarhem20%
Ali Kabacalman19%
Jan Kronig17%
Adrien Llukes14%
Numa Lavanchy14%
Franck Surdez12%
Josias Lukembila12%
Liam Scott Chipperfield11%
Nias Hefti11%
Rilind Nivokazi11%
Benjamin Kololli11%
Noé Sow10%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Ylyas Chouaref5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Théo Berdayes3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Lamine Diack0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franck Surdez19%
Ylyas Chouaref18%
Rilind Nivokazi14%
Nias Hefti11%
Théo Berdayes9%
Benjamin Kololli7%
Theo Bouchlarhem7%
Baltazar Costa6%
Numa Lavanchy5%
Ali Kabacalman5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Josias Lukembila3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Jan Kronig0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Winsley Boteli Mokango0%
Adrien Llukes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rilind Nivokazi30%
Ylyas Chouaref21%
Benjamin Kololli18%
Josias Lukembila9%
Théo Berdayes9%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Jan Kronig0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Baltazar Costa0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Franck Surdez0%
Adrien Llukes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
FC Lugano's squad is €9m more valuable than FC Sion's (€39m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
FC Lugano's attack is €7m less valuable than FC Sion's (€8m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
FC Lugano's midfield is €1m more valuable than FC Sion's (€7m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Lugano's defence is €15m more valuable than FC Sion's (€24m vs €9m).
Switzerland: Super League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
Servette FC
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
FC Aarau