This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.53
1.60
1.20
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.43
1.73
1.00
1.40
1.90
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
1.78
1.25
1.75
0.80
1.80
Clean sheet %
17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
0-0 ✓
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
FC Luzern goals ↓
Lausanne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
4.9%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.3%
5.9%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.8%
2.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Luzern goals (down), columns = Lausanne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BSC Young Boys
2.03
FC Lugano
1.71
Servette FC
1.68
FC Zurich
1.58
FC ST. Gallen
1.50
FC Winterthur
1.29
FC Basel 1893
1.29
FC Luzern
1.29
Yverdon Sport
1.24
Lausanne
1.18
Grasshoppers
1.05
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.76
FC Thun
0.50
FC Luzern is 0.11 points better than Lausanne in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
2.00
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Winterthur
1.58
FC ST. Gallen
1.58
Servette FC
1.55
FC Zurich
1.39
Yverdon Sport
1.32
Lausanne
1.26
FC Luzern
1.24
FC Basel 1893
1.18
Grasshoppers
1.10
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.05
FC Thun
1.00
FC Luzern is 0.03 goals worse than Lausanne in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.89
FC Zurich
1.08
Servette FC
1.13
Grasshoppers
1.27
FC Lugano
1.34
FC ST. Gallen
1.34
FC Basel 1893
1.37
FC Luzern
1.39
Lausanne
1.39
FC Thun
1.50
FC Winterthur
1.87
Yverdon Sport
1.87
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.03
FC Luzern and Lausanne are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
56%
FC Lugano
56%
FC Basel 1893
51%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
51%
FC Zurich
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC ST. Gallen
49%
Servette FC
49%
Lausanne
49%
FC Winterthur
48%
Yverdon Sport
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Luzern is 0.4 percentage points better than Lausanne in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Luzern
For 5.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lausanne
For 5.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.2
10.2
5.2
5.8
4.7
25.2
26.2
24.2
vs Stronger (3)
14.7
16.0
14.0
4.0
7.0
2.5
25.0
28.0
23.5
vs Similar (42)
9.9
9.8
9.9
5.2
5.7
4.7
25.0
26.1
23.9
vs Weaker (5)
10.2
11.5
9.3
6.2
6.0
6.3
27.0
27.0
27.0
% over line
54%
56%
52%
70%
80%
60%
80%
80%
80%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
30%
20%
40%
20%
20%
20%
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.4
3.1
3.0
3.2
24.1
23.3
25.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
9.1
9.8
8.3
4.1
3.7
4.5
25.4
25.1
25.7
vs Weaker (22)
11.3
11.0
11.6
1.8
1.8
1.8
21.2
18.2
23.6
% over line
40%
47%
33%
44%
48%
40%
77%
67%
87%
% under line
60%
53%
67%
56%
52%
60%
23%
33%
13%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
11.3
Yverdon Sport
11.1
BSC Young Boys
10.7
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Winterthur
10.2
FC Luzern
10.2
Servette FC
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
Lausanne
9.8
FC Zurich
9.4
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
9.4
FC Lugano
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Basel 1893
5.7
FC ST. Gallen
5.6
FC Winterthur
5.5
FC Lugano
5.5
FC Luzern
5.3
Lausanne
5.1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
5.1
FC Zurich
5.0
Yverdon Sport
5.0
Servette FC
4.5
Grasshoppers
4.4
BSC Young Boys
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Yverdon Sport
26.4
FC Basel 1893
25.8
FC Luzern
25.2
FC Winterthur
24.6
FC Zurich
24.4
FC ST. Gallen
24.3
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
24.3
Lausanne
24.1
Grasshoppers
24.1
Servette FC
23.7
BSC Young Boys
23.6
FC Lugano
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.6%
Under 9.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.2%
Under 3.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.0%
Under 21.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.38
0.69
0.54
0.31
0.23
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.57
0.73
0.73
0.90
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.07
0.73
0.67
0.73
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.96
0.69
0.62
0.85
1.31
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.03
0.93
0.53
0.40
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.86
1.00
0.27
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
1.44
0.75
1.25
0.20
1.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Grbić29%
Thibault Klidje18%
Sofyan Chader18%
Kemal Ademi16%
Jakub Kadák16%
Marco Burch14%
Lars Villiger13%
Ardon Jashari13%
Max Meyer12%
Asumah Abubakar12%
Pius Dorn11%
Teddy Okou9%
Leny Meyer8%
Ismajl Beka7%
Severin Ottiger5%
Denis Simani4%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Nicolas Haas0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Kevin Spadanuda0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Levin Winkler0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Burch43%
Martin Frýdek32%
Ismajl Beka29%
Nicky Medja Beloko26%
Denis Simani25%
Leny Meyer23%
Nicolas Haas23%
Jakub Kadák22%
Kemal Ademi21%
Mauricio Willimann20%
Pius Dorn18%
Thibault Klidje18%
Ardon Jashari18%
Luca Jaquez16%
Adrian Grbić14%
Max Meyer12%
Kevin Spadanuda12%
Dario Ulrich11%
Severin Ottiger11%
Lars Villiger8%
Levin Winkler7%
Teddy Okou6%
Jesper Lofgren5%
Pascal Loretz2%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Sofyan Chader0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Frýdek16%
Pius Dorn16%
Adrian Grbić14%
Asumah Abubakar12%
Ardon Jashari10%
Thibault Klidje9%
Lars Villiger8%
Max Meyer8%
Teddy Okou6%
Kevin Spadanuda6%
Severin Ottiger5%
Kemal Ademi5%
Nicolas Haas5%
Sofyan Chader5%
Dario Ulrich4%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Denis Simani0%
Jakub Kadák0%
Marco Burch0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Grbić36%
Sofyan Chader23%
Max Meyer18%
Teddy Okou12%
Pius Dorn11%
Kemal Ademi11%
Thibault Klidje9%
Ardon Jashari8%
Ismajl Beka7%
Nicky Medja Beloko6%
Jakub Kadák6%
Lars Villiger3%
Nicolas Haas0%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Denis Simani0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Kevin Spadanuda0%
Marco Burch0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Lausanne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aliou Balde40%
Donat Rrudhani27%
Mamadou Kaly Sene25%
Alvyn Sanches20%
Noë Dussenne15%
Samuel Kalu14%
Dominik Schwizer12%
Brighton Labeau11%
Rares Ilie10%
Haithem Loucif10%
Trae Coyle8%
Fousseni Diabaté8%
Simone Pafundi6%
Berkay Dabanlı5%
Chris Kablan5%
Antoine Bernede3%
Karlo Letica0%
Morgan Poaty0%
Toichi Suzuki0%
Olivier Custodio0%
Thomas Castella0%
Ange Nanizayamo0%
Stjepan Kukuruzović0%
Raoul Giger0%
Simone Grippo0%
Archie Brown0%
Jamie Roche0%
Anel Husić0%
Gábor Szalai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gábor Szalai43%
Aliou Balde40%
Noë Dussenne38%
Chris Kablan29%
Olivier Custodio24%
Anel Husić24%
Raoul Giger21%
Mamadou Kaly Sene19%
Donat Rrudhani18%
Alvyn Sanches16%
Jamie Roche14%
Rares Ilie14%
Simone Pafundi12%
Brighton Labeau11%
Antoine Bernede11%
Berkay Dabanlı11%
Samuel Kalu10%
Toichi Suzuki9%
Stjepan Kukuruzović9%
Fousseni Diabaté8%
Morgan Poaty7%
Karlo Letica6%
Haithem Loucif0%
Dominik Schwizer0%
Thomas Castella0%
Ange Nanizayamo0%
Simone Grippo0%
Trae Coyle0%
Archie Brown0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toichi Suzuki18%
Simone Pafundi12%
Antoine Bernede11%
Rares Ilie10%
Morgan Poaty10%
Samuel Kalu10%
Stjepan Kukuruzović9%
Olivier Custodio9%
Mamadou Kaly Sene8%
Fousseni Diabaté4%
Jamie Roche3%
Noë Dussenne3%
Karlo Letica0%
Haithem Loucif0%
Brighton Labeau0%
Chris Kablan0%
Dominik Schwizer0%
Thomas Castella0%
Ange Nanizayamo0%
Raoul Giger0%
Berkay Dabanlı0%
Simone Grippo0%
Donat Rrudhani0%
Trae Coyle0%
Archie Brown0%
Aliou Balde0%
Alvyn Sanches0%
Anel Husić0%
Gábor Szalai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Kalu52%
Aliou Balde40%
Donat Rrudhani27%
Mamadou Kaly Sene25%
Brighton Labeau20%
Rares Ilie7%
Noë Dussenne6%
Simone Pafundi6%
Chris Kablan5%
Alvyn Sanches4%
Jamie Roche3%
Antoine Bernede3%
Karlo Letica0%
Haithem Loucif0%
Morgan Poaty0%
Toichi Suzuki0%
Dominik Schwizer0%
Olivier Custodio0%
Thomas Castella0%
Ange Nanizayamo0%
Stjepan Kukuruzović0%
Raoul Giger0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Berkay Dabanlı0%
Simone Grippo0%
Trae Coyle0%
Archie Brown0%
Anel Husić0%
Gábor Szalai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
FC Luzern and Lausanne have a similar squad value (both €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Luzern's attack is €6m more valuable than Lausanne's (€15m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
FC Luzern's midfield is €3m less valuable than Lausanne's (€3m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
FC Luzern's defence is €5m less valuable than Lausanne's (€8m vs €13m).
Switzerland: Super League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →