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FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 0-3
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Vs
38%
28%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC St. Pauli win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.44
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.42
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 win✓ Hit
33.7%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.93
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L31W21W21W02L01L13L00D30WH·HAN26/04A·HAM03/05H·VFL12/05A·SV 19/05A·WEH19/05H·1. 25/08A·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.171.501.001.621.31
vs Stronger (2)1.500.000.000.003.000.00
vs Similar (20)1.501.351.671.221.361.45
vs Weaker (8)1.751.001.500.752.001.25
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D11D30W31W11D33D12L32W02LA·SC 21/04H·1. 28/04A·1. 05/05H·BOR11/05A·VFL18/05H·UNI24/08A·VFB31/08H·WER15/09A·FC 20/09H·1. 28/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.231.380.811.141.71
vs Stronger (6)1.331.832.500.000.752.75
vs Similar (24)1.251.081.210.931.301.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%015%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.87-0.1%
Under 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.97+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
FSV Mainz 05 goals →
01234
07.8%7.4%5.6%2.5%0.8%
18.0%13%8.0%3.5%1.1%
26.5%8.6%5.6%2.5%0.8%
33.1%4.0%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = FSV Mainz 05 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
FC St. Pauli is 0.59 points worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
FC St. Pauli is 0.79 goals worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
FC St. Pauli is 0.06 goals better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
FC St. Pauli is 6.4 percentage points worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average possession (44% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

For 4.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1602431774542888843156664149616167612A·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNIH·1. A·WEHA·SV H·VFLA·HAMH·HAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

703321341323212124246374533264A·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNIH·1. A·SV A·WEHH·VFLA·HAMH·HAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.4

⚠️ Fouls

27018768101211109156565112111581925142221241111132627A·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNIH·1. A·SV A·WEHH·VFLA·HAMH·HAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

170761141042118931423666421315141317469126H·1. A·FC H·WERA·VFBH·UNIA·VFLH·BORA·1. H·1. A·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.5

🟨 Cards

10055643224133222325443101056454597H·1. A·FC H·WERA·VFBH·UNIA·VFLH·BORA·1. H·1. A·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

3201010127127126101515131411881713151720191918252825163032H·1. A·FC H·WERA·VFBH·UNIA·VFLH·BORA·1. H·1. A·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.29.33.33.63.120.220.619.9
vs Stronger (2)5.04.06.04.53.06.019.514.025.0
vs Similar (38)8.78.98.53.43.92.920.821.520.1
vs Weaker (10)12.611.813.53.02.73.518.218.518.0
% over line45%50%40%48%60%36%35%30%40%
% under line55%50%60%52%40%64%65%70%60%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.111.28.94.44.54.225.826.924.8
vs Stronger (11)9.47.011.83.63.63.723.423.023.8
vs Similar (39)10.312.38.14.64.74.426.527.825.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line49%65%32%66%68%64%72%80%63%
% under line51%35%68%34%32%36%28%20%37%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.1
Borussia Dortmund
10.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.5
VfL Bochum
10.4
1. FC Heidenheim
10.4
SV Elversberg
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.2
RB Leipzig
10.1
FC Augsburg
10.1
FSV Mainz 05
10.0
Bayer Leverkusen
10.0
Union Berlin
9.8
VfL Wolfsburg
9.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.5
VfB Stuttgart
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.4
SC Freiburg
9.2
Bayern München
9.1
FC St. Pauli
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FSV Mainz 05
5.2
VfL Wolfsburg
4.9
Werder Bremen
4.9
RB Leipzig
4.7
VfL Bochum
4.6
Holstein Kiel
4.5
FC Augsburg
4.5
1899 Hoffenheim
4.5
Union Berlin
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.4
FC St. Pauli
4.3
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
Bayer Leverkusen
4.1
SC Freiburg
4.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.0
1. FC Heidenheim
4.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.8
Borussia Dortmund
3.8
Bayern München
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
26.5
VfL Bochum
25.0
FC Augsburg
24.9
VfL Wolfsburg
24.2
Werder Bremen
23.3
Union Berlin
23.2
Holstein Kiel
22.8
1. FC Heidenheim
22.8
RB Leipzig
22.2
1899 Hoffenheim
22.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
22.0
SC Freiburg
22.0
SV Elversberg
21.9
VfB Stuttgart
21.8
FC St. Pauli
20.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
20.5
Borussia Dortmund
20.0
Bayer Leverkusen
20.0
Bayern München
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.7%
Under 3.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.8%
Under 21.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W01L01L00D01L00D00D20WH·HAN26/04A·HAM03/05H·VFL12/05A·SV 19/05A·WEH19/05H·1. 25/08A·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.270.790.071.000.44
vs Stronger (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
vs Similar (20)1.000.251.110.110.910.36
vs Weaker (8)0.620.380.250.001.000.75
Clean sheet %73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W10W30W11D00D12L11D21W01LA·SC 21/04H·1. 28/04A·1. 05/05H·BOR11/05A·VFL18/05H·UNI24/08A·VFB31/08H·WER15/09A·FC 20/09H·1. 28/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.620.440.710.86
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.500.000.751.25
vs Similar (24)0.580.580.500.500.700.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L21W20W20W02L00D13L00D10WH·HAN26/04A·HAM03/05H·VFL12/05A·SV 19/05A·WEH19/05H·1. 25/08A·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.710.930.620.88
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.501.100.561.110.451.09
vs Weaker (8)1.120.621.250.751.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D20W11D21W01L11D01LA·SC 21/04H·1. 28/04A·1. 05/05H·BOR11/05A·VFL18/05H·UNI24/08A·VFB31/08H·WER15/09A·FC 20/09H·1. 28/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.750.380.430.86
vs Stronger (6)0.331.001.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.670.500.710.430.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards87.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards72.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Guilavogui22%
Johannes Eggestein14%
Elias Saad11%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Lars Ritzka9%
Siebe Van Der Heyden8%
Danel Sinani7%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Andreas Albers7%
Manolis Saliakas6%
Eric Smith6%
Adam Dźwigała6%
Noah Weißhaupt5%
Jackson Irvine0%
Connor Metcalfe0%
David Nemeth0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Philipp Treu0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Guilavogui26%
Siebe Van Der Heyden23%
Eric Smith21%
Karol Mets17%
Manolis Saliakas16%
James Sands14%
Abdoulie Ceesay14%
David Nemeth12%
Adam Dźwigała12%
Danel Sinani11%
Johannes Eggestein10%
Jackson Irvine10%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Scott Banks8%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Robert Wagner7%
Philipp Treu6%
Elias Saad5%
Lars Ritzka4%
Nikola Vasilj3%
Hauke Wahl3%
Andreas Albers0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johannes Eggestein17%
Jackson Irvine16%
Morgan Guilavogui15%
Elias Saad11%
Philipp Treu9%
David Nemeth4%
Danel Sinani4%
Manolis Saliakas3%
Eric Smith3%
Oladapo Afolayan3%
Connor Metcalfe0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Scott Banks0%
Carlo Boukhalfa0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elias Saad21%
Morgan Guilavogui19%
Jackson Irvine16%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan6%
Lars Ritzka4%
Danel Sinani4%
Carlo Boukhalfa4%
Johannes Eggestein3%
Philipp Treu3%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Manolis Saliakas0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Burkardt50%
Nadiem Amiri25%
Paul Nebel24%
Jae-sung Lee18%
Nelson Weiper12%
Dominik Kohr10%
Armindo Sieb7%
Maxim Leitsch6%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Anthony Caci3%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr43%
Nadiem Amiri28%
Moritz Jenz25%
Phillipp Mwene21%
Anthony Caci20%
Lennard Maloney20%
Stefan Bell20%
Paul Nebel15%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen13%
Maxim Leitsch12%
Nikolas Veratschnig12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Silvan Widmer11%
Robin Zentner9%
Kaishu Sano8%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Jonathan Burkardt0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jae-sung Lee18%
Anthony Caci17%
Paul Nebel15%
Nadiem Amiri12%
Phillipp Mwene12%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Jonathan Burkardt7%
Stefan Bell5%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Danny da Costa4%
Silvan Widmer4%
Dominik Kohr0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonathan Burkardt33%
Nadiem Amiri16%
Karim Onisiwo12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Paul Nebel6%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Nelson Weiper4%
Armindo Sieb3%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Phillipp Mwene0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €129m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€46m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
FC St. Pauli's attack is €39m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€10m vs €49m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €64m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€15m vs €80m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €26m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€21m vs €47m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FSP wins
0
Draws
0
FM0 wins

Head-to-head

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 · H/A from FSP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ASC Freiburg Vs FSP0-3
22/09/24HFSP Vs RB Leipzig0-0
15/09/24AFC Augsburg Vs FSP3-1
30/08/24AUnion Berlin Vs FSP1-0
25/08/24HFSP Vs 1. FC Heidenheim0-2
19/05/24AWehen Vs FSP1-2
19/05/24ASV Wehen Vs FSP1-2
12/05/24HFSP Vs VfL Osnabrück3-1
03/05/24AHamburger SV Vs FSP1-0
26/04/24HFSP Vs Hansa Rostock1-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HFM0 Vs 1. FC Heidenheim0-2
20/09/24AFC Augsburg Vs FM02-3
15/09/24HFM0 Vs Werder Bremen1-2
31/08/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM03-3
24/08/24HFM0 Vs Union Berlin1-1
18/05/24AVfL Wolfsburg Vs FM01-3
11/05/24HFM0 Vs Borussia Dortmund3-0
05/05/24A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FM01-1
28/04/24HFM0 Vs 1. FC Köln1-1
21/04/24ASC Freiburg Vs FM01-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.88
HomeLWWLD1.92
AwayWWLLW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%56%
AVG goals2.802.523.08
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.701.641.76
Conceded1.100.881.32
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners9.309.259.35
Cards4.174.453.90
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.02
HomeDWDLL1.16
AwayDDWDW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%28%12%
AVG goals2.902.723.08
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.261.361.16
Conceded1.641.361.92
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners10.1011.258.89
Cards5.595.605.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches