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FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel Result & Analysis

Date: 29/11/2024
Time: 19:30
Final 3-1
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Vs
37%
30%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC St. Pauli win✓ Hit
36.7%
Avg Implied 56.0% · @ 1.71
Edge
-19.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.79
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied 18.7% · @ 5.11
Edge
+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L00D30W03L12L00D20W01L02LA·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09H·FSV05/10A·BOR18/10H·VFL26/10A·18902/11H·BAY09/11A·BOR24/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.231.291.071.441.38
vs Stronger (4)1.000.750.000.502.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.331.431.441.331.251.50
vs Weaker (5)1.800.801.670.672.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L16L22D24L22D02L12L10W12L03LH·VFL31/08H·BAY14/09A·VFL21/09H·EIN29/09A·BAY05/10H·UNI20/10A·VFB26/10H·1. 02/11A·WER09/11H·FSV24/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.471.401.801.801.13
vs Stronger (6)1.502.831.505.001.501.75
vs Similar (20)1.551.351.091.552.111.11
vs Weaker (4)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.0%
@ 1.92-4.8%
Under 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.91+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
Holstein Kiel goals →
01234
09.7%8.8%6.1%2.5%0.7%
19.4%14%7.8%3.1%0.9%
26.8%8.2%4.9%2.0%0.6%
32.9%3.5%2.1%0.8%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = Holstein Kiel goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
FC St. Pauli is 0.21 points better than Holstein Kiel in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 0.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
FC St. Pauli is 0.62 goals worse than Holstein Kiel in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
FC St. Pauli is 1.15 goals better than Holstein Kiel in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 2.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
FC St. Pauli is 0.3 percentage points better than Holstein Kiel in terms of average possession (44% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

For 3.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1504551027761722243177459159138464149A·BORH·BAYA·189H·VFLA·BORH·FSVA·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

7012213123332134131413336374A·BORH·BAYA·189H·VFLA·BORH·FSVA·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

280871071010912781216187681012111015172021152825142221A·BORH·BAYA·189H·VFLA·BORH·FSVA·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

For 3.7 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

15026365659733124952210178911141015137128H·FSVA·WERH·1. A·VFBH·UNIA·BAYH·EINA·VFLH·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

110123457421221314147159113445111H·FSVA·WERH·1. A·VFBH·UNIA·BAYH·EINA·VFLH·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

310117191016141768119512129191211171418293023191424282331H·FSVA·WERH·1. A·VFBH·UNIA·BAYH·EINA·VFLH·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.49.33.64.03.320.120.719.5
vs Stronger (4)8.29.57.04.03.54.517.815.520.0
vs Similar (38)8.78.98.53.64.03.220.921.919.8
vs Weaker (8)12.611.813.53.84.03.518.218.518.0
% over line43%52%35%50%64%36%33%30%35%
% under line57%48%65%50%36%64%67%70%65%
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.410.911.84.44.24.623.123.922.3
vs Stronger (7)14.012.715.04.93.06.221.924.320.0
vs Similar (35)11.110.411.94.24.14.423.023.822.0
vs Weaker (8)10.212.08.54.85.54.024.923.826.0
% over line72%67%78%62%54%71%55%58%52%
% under line28%33%22%38%46%29%45%42%48%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.3
SV Elversberg
10.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.6
Borussia Dortmund
10.5
1899 Hoffenheim
10.5
VfL Bochum
10.3
FC Augsburg
10.2
Union Berlin
10.1
RB Leipzig
10.1
Bayer Leverkusen
10.1
1. FC Heidenheim
10.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.8
FSV Mainz 05
9.7
VfB Stuttgart
9.6
VfL Wolfsburg
9.6
Werder Bremen
9.5
Bayern München
9.3
FC St. Pauli
9.2
SC Freiburg
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FSV Mainz 05
5.1
VfL Wolfsburg
5.0
Werder Bremen
4.9
RB Leipzig
4.7
Holstein Kiel
4.6
VfL Bochum
4.5
FC Augsburg
4.5
1899 Hoffenheim
4.4
SV Elversberg
4.3
VfB Stuttgart
4.3
Union Berlin
4.3
1. FC Heidenheim
4.3
FC St. Pauli
4.2
Bayer Leverkusen
4.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.0
SC Freiburg
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7
Bayern München
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
25.6
VfL Bochum
24.9
VfL Wolfsburg
24.3
FC Augsburg
24.1
1. FC Heidenheim
23.8
Werder Bremen
23.5
Holstein Kiel
22.9
Union Berlin
22.3
1899 Hoffenheim
22.2
RB Leipzig
22.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
22.0
SV Elversberg
21.9
VfB Stuttgart
21.7
SC Freiburg
21.3
FC St. Pauli
20.4
Borussia Dortmund
20.1
Bayer Leverkusen
19.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.3
Bayern München
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.3%
Under 3.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.4%
Under 21.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D20W02L01L00D10W01L02LA·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09H·FSV05/10A·BOR18/10H·VFL26/10A·18902/11H·BAY09/11A·BOR24/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.640.290.690.56
vs Stronger (4)0.500.500.000.501.000.50
vs Similar (21)0.810.430.890.330.750.50
vs Weaker (5)0.200.400.330.000.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L04L12L11D12L01L01L10W01L02LH·VFL31/08H·BAY14/09A·VFL21/09H·EIN29/09A·BAY05/10H·UNI20/10A·VFB26/10H·1. 02/11A·WER09/11H·FSV24/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.731.070.730.67
vs Stronger (6)0.331.670.502.500.251.25
vs Similar (20)0.850.800.641.001.110.56
vs Weaker (4)0.750.001.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L00D10W01L11D00D10W00D00DA·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09H·FSV05/10A·BOR18/10H·VFL26/10A·18902/11H·BAY09/11A·BOR24/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.640.790.750.81
vs Stronger (4)0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (21)0.521.000.561.000.501.00
vs Weaker (5)1.600.401.330.672.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L10W13L10W01L11D00D11D01LH·VFL31/08H·BAY14/09A·VFL21/09H·EIN29/09A·BAY05/10H·UNI20/10A·VFB26/10H·1. 02/11A·WER09/11H·FSV24/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.670.731.070.47
vs Stronger (6)1.171.171.002.501.250.50
vs Similar (20)0.700.550.450.551.000.56
vs Weaker (4)1.250.001.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls83.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Guilavogui22%
Johannes Eggestein14%
Elias Saad11%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Lars Ritzka9%
Siebe Van Der Heyden8%
Danel Sinani7%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Andreas Albers7%
Manolis Saliakas6%
Eric Smith6%
Adam Dźwigała6%
Noah Weißhaupt5%
Jackson Irvine0%
Connor Metcalfe0%
David Nemeth0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Philipp Treu0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Guilavogui26%
Siebe Van Der Heyden23%
Eric Smith21%
Karol Mets17%
Manolis Saliakas16%
James Sands14%
Abdoulie Ceesay14%
David Nemeth12%
Adam Dźwigała12%
Danel Sinani11%
Johannes Eggestein10%
Jackson Irvine10%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Scott Banks8%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Robert Wagner7%
Philipp Treu6%
Elias Saad5%
Lars Ritzka4%
Nikola Vasilj3%
Hauke Wahl3%
Andreas Albers0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johannes Eggestein17%
Jackson Irvine16%
Morgan Guilavogui15%
Elias Saad11%
Philipp Treu9%
David Nemeth4%
Danel Sinani4%
Manolis Saliakas3%
Eric Smith3%
Oladapo Afolayan3%
Connor Metcalfe0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Scott Banks0%
Carlo Boukhalfa0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elias Saad21%
Morgan Guilavogui19%
Jackson Irvine16%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan6%
Lars Ritzka4%
Danel Sinani4%
Carlo Boukhalfa4%
Johannes Eggestein3%
Philipp Treu3%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Manolis Saliakas0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
Holstein Kiel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Bernhardsson30%
Shuto Machino26%
Phil Harres22%
Steven Skrzybski16%
Armin Gigović16%
David Zec11%
Andu Yobel Kelati11%
Lasse Rosenboom11%
Patrick Erras8%
Jann-Fiete Arp8%
Finn Porath6%
Benedikt Pichler5%
Max Geschwill5%
Lewis Holtby0%
Timon Weiner0%
Marco Komenda0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Thomas Dähne0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Carl Johansson0%
Marvin Schulz0%
Timo Becker0%
John Tolkin0%
Nicolai Remberg0%
Dominik Javorček0%
Marko Ivezić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolai Remberg36%
Jann-Fiete Arp32%
David Zec28%
Marvin Schulz23%
Magnus Knudsen21%
Marko Ivezić20%
Armin Gigović19%
Patrick Erras17%
Dominik Javorček15%
Finn Porath15%
Marco Komenda15%
Alexander Bernhardsson15%
Timon Weiner15%
Andu Yobel Kelati11%
Phil Harres11%
Lasse Rosenboom11%
Max Geschwill10%
Shuto Machino9%
Timo Becker6%
Benedikt Pichler5%
Lewis Holtby4%
Steven Skrzybski0%
Thomas Dähne0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Carl Johansson0%
John Tolkin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John Tolkin18%
Dominik Javorček15%
Steven Skrzybski12%
Andu Yobel Kelati11%
Benedikt Pichler10%
Alexander Bernhardsson10%
Max Geschwill10%
Finn Porath9%
Tymoteusz Puchacz8%
Lasse Rosenboom7%
Shuto Machino6%
Lewis Holtby4%
Phil Harres4%
Armin Gigović3%
Timo Becker3%
Magnus Knudsen3%
Nicolai Remberg3%
Jann-Fiete Arp0%
Timon Weiner0%
Patrick Erras0%
Marco Komenda0%
Thomas Dähne0%
David Zec0%
Carl Johansson0%
Marvin Schulz0%
Marko Ivezić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shuto Machino21%
Phil Harres15%
Andu Yobel Kelati11%
Finn Porath9%
Timo Becker6%
David Zec6%
Benedikt Pichler5%
Alexander Bernhardsson5%
Steven Skrzybski4%
Jann-Fiete Arp4%
Lasse Rosenboom4%
Nicolai Remberg3%
Lewis Holtby0%
Timon Weiner0%
Patrick Erras0%
Marco Komenda0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Thomas Dähne0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Carl Johansson0%
Marvin Schulz0%
Armin Gigović0%
John Tolkin0%
Max Geschwill0%
Dominik Javorček0%
Marko Ivezić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €12m more valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€46m vs €34m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
FC St. Pauli's attack is €2m less valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€10m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €9m more valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€15m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €6m more valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€21m vs €16m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
FSP wins
2
Draws
2
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel · H/A from FSP
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/24AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP3-4
17/09/23HFSP Vs Holstein Kiel5-1
19/05/23AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP3-4
08/11/22HFSP Vs Holstein Kiel0-0
17/12/21AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP3-0
25/07/21HFSP Vs Holstein Kiel3-0
07/05/21AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP4-0
09/01/21HFSP Vs Holstein Kiel1-1

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs FSP2-0
09/11/24HFSP Vs Bayern München0-1
02/11/24A1899 Hoffenheim Vs FSP0-2
26/10/24HFSP Vs VfL Wolfsburg0-0
18/10/24ABorussia Dortmund Vs FSP2-1
05/10/24HFSP Vs FSV Mainz 050-3
28/09/24ASC Freiburg Vs FSP0-3
22/09/24HFSP Vs RB Leipzig0-0
15/09/24AFC Augsburg Vs FSP3-1
30/08/24AUnion Berlin Vs FSP1-0

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24HHK Vs FSV Mainz 050-3
09/11/24AWerder Bremen Vs HK2-1
02/11/24HHK Vs 1. FC Heidenheim1-0
26/10/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs HK2-1
20/10/24HHK Vs Union Berlin0-2
05/10/24ABayer Leverkusen Vs HK2-2
29/09/24HHK Vs Eintracht Frankfurt2-4
21/09/24AVfL Bochum Vs HK2-2
14/09/24HHK Vs Bayern München1-6
31/08/24HHK Vs VfL Wolfsburg0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.72
HomeLDLDL1.72
AwayLWLWL1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%44%52%
AVG goals2.662.402.92
Over 1.5 %74%64%84%
Over 2.5 %50%40%60%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.541.481.60
Conceded1.120.921.32
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners9.359.439.26
Cards3.964.303.61
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.70
HomeLLLWL1.46
AwayLDDLL1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%46%58%
AVG goals3.323.652.96
Over 1.5 %84%88%79%
Over 2.5 %62%65%58%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.821.731.92
Conceded1.501.921.04
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet34%23%46%
Corners11.3610.9211.83
Cards4.684.544.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches