Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.03
0.47
1.00
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (25)
0.56
1.08
0.33
0.92
0.77
1.23
vs Similar (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.33
1.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.42
0.69
0.54
0.38
0.31
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.03
0.87
0.80
0.87
1.27
vs Stronger (25)
0.88
1.20
0.83
1.00
0.92
1.38
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.80
0.67
0.73
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.96
0.77
0.62
0.85
1.31
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Winterthur
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Ballet29%
Aldin Turkeš29%
Sayfallah Ltaief20%
Nishan Burkart19%
Matteo Di Giusto17%
Boubacar Fofana16%
Randy Schneider16%
Roman Buess15%
Tobias Schättin11%
Adrian Gantenbein9%
Basil Stillhart9%
Luca Zuffi7%
Remo Arnold7%
LoĂŻc LĂĽthi7%
Markus Kuster0%
Antoine Baroan0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Silvan Sidler0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Musa Araz0%
Marvin Keller0%
Alexandre Jankewitz0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samuel Ballet35%
Alexandre Jankewitz28%
Tobias Schättin26%
Sayfallah Ltaief26%
Roman Buess23%
Basil Stillhart23%
Samir Ramizi20%
Silvan Sidler19%
Antoine Baroan17%
Remo Arnold17%
Nishan Burkart17%
Randy Schneider16%
Adrian Durrer15%
Musa Araz14%
Souleymane Diaby14%
Adrian Gantenbein12%
Boubacar Fofana11%
Thibault Corbaz11%
Aldin Turkeš10%
Yannick Schmid9%
Granit Lekaj9%
Luca Zuffi7%
Marvin Keller3%
Markus Kuster0%
Matteo Di Giusto0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
LoĂŻc LĂĽthi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrian Gantenbein19%
Samuel Ballet18%
Sayfallah Ltaief17%
Matteo Di Giusto14%
Samir Ramizi13%
Randy Schneider12%
Alexandre Jankewitz11%
Boubacar Fofana11%
Luca Zuffi10%
Antoine Baroan8%
Souleymane Diaby7%
Silvan Sidler6%
Tobias Schättin5%
Granit Lekaj4%
Aldin Turkeš3%
Basil Stillhart3%
Markus Kuster0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Roman Buess0%
Remo Arnold0%
Musa Araz0%
Marvin Keller0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
LoĂŻc LĂĽthi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Ballet29%
Matteo Di Giusto23%
Sayfallah Ltaief14%
Aldin Turkeš13%
Antoine Baroan8%
Nishan Burkart8%
Roman Buess8%
Boubacar Fofana5%
Silvan Sidler3%
Basil Stillhart3%
Markus Kuster0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Musa Araz0%
Marvin Keller0%
Alexandre Jankewitz0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Randy Schneider0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
LoĂŻc LĂĽthi0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Grbić29%
Thibault Klidje18%
Sofyan Chader18%
Kemal Ademi16%
Jakub Kadák16%
Marco Burch14%
Lars Villiger13%
Ardon Jashari13%
Max Meyer12%
Asumah Abubakar12%
Pius Dorn11%
Teddy Okou9%
Leny Meyer8%
Ismajl Beka7%
Severin Ottiger5%
Denis Simani4%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Nicolas Haas0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Kevin Spadanuda0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Levin Winkler0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Burch43%
Martin Frýdek32%
Ismajl Beka29%
Nicky Medja Beloko26%
Denis Simani25%
Leny Meyer23%
Nicolas Haas23%
Jakub Kadák22%
Kemal Ademi21%
Mauricio Willimann20%
Pius Dorn18%
Thibault Klidje18%
Ardon Jashari18%
Luca Jaquez16%
Adrian Grbić14%
Max Meyer12%
Kevin Spadanuda12%
Dario Ulrich11%
Severin Ottiger11%
Lars Villiger8%
Levin Winkler7%
Teddy Okou6%
Jesper Lofgren5%
Pascal Loretz2%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Sofyan Chader0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Frýdek16%
Pius Dorn16%
Adrian Grbić14%
Asumah Abubakar12%
Ardon Jashari10%
Thibault Klidje9%
Lars Villiger8%
Max Meyer8%
Teddy Okou6%
Kevin Spadanuda6%
Severin Ottiger5%
Kemal Ademi5%
Nicolas Haas5%
Sofyan Chader5%
Dario Ulrich4%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Denis Simani0%
Jakub Kadák0%
Marco Burch0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Grbić36%
Sofyan Chader23%
Max Meyer18%
Teddy Okou12%
Pius Dorn11%
Kemal Ademi11%
Thibault Klidje9%
Ardon Jashari8%
Ismajl Beka7%
Nicky Medja Beloko6%
Jakub Kadák6%
Lars Villiger3%
Nicolas Haas0%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Denis Simani0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Kevin Spadanuda0%
Marco Burch0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
FC Winterthur's squad is €19m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€6m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's attack is €13m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€2m vs €15m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
FC Winterthur and FC Luzern have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's defence is €6m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€2m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →