FCSB are tipped to win, a 61 % chance against a 15 % chance for Uta Arad and a 23 % chance of a draw, so the model favours a home victory. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 25 %. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for FCSB, a 11.4 % probability. FCSB, playing at home against a weaker side, average 2.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded, while Uta Arad, away against a stronger opponent, average 0.0 scored and 2.5 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.3 %, Under 7.5 at 99.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8 % (edge 6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1 % (edge 6 %), Under 6.5 at 97.6 % (edge 4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.4 % (edge 6 %), Home +2 handicap at 95.0 % (edge 3 %), and Away under 2.5 goals at 94.3 % (edge 4 %).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Uta Arad snatched a 3-1 win, extending their recent run after a victory and ending FCSB’s hopes of a home triumph. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 60% probability but proved wrong. The model’s selections were mixed: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4%, Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.8%, Home +2 handicap missed at 94.7%, and Away under 2.5 goals missed at 94.3%. The final score of 1-3 confirmed the away side’s victory, leaving the model’s main pick incorrect.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FCSB win✗ Miss
60.4%
Avg Implied 58.7% · @ 1.57
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.01
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Dafabet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
Uta Arad win✓ Hit
15.6%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.05
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.32
10Bet
5.30
Unibet
5.30
SBO
5.13
Betano
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FCSB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.33
1.88
1.19
1.36
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
2.29
1.33
2.67
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.86
1.05
2.08
0.83
1.60
1.30
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.13
1.67
0.93
0.93
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.71
1.20
1.40
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.43
0.96
1.90
0.70
1.08
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
@ 1.20-0.8%
Under 1.5
22.8%
@ 4.23+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.68-4.2%
Under 2.5
48.0%
@ 2.14+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.69
Under
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.8%
@ 2.68-5.0%
Under 3.5
70.2%
@ 1.43+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Superbet
2.70
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
@ 1.71-4.1%
No
49.8%
@ 2.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.70
No
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 7.40+5.4%
2-0
11.3%@ 7.62+5.5%
1-0
11.0%@ 7.35+4.9%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.38+3.8%
0-0
7.4%@ 12.43+3.8%
3-0
7.1%@ 11.01+3.1%
3-1
6.2%@ 11.01+2.1%
1-2
4.5%@ 15.08+1.5%
FCSB goals ↓
Uta Arad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
4.5%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.5%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.1%
6.2%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.4%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCSB goals (down), columns = Uta Arad goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
FCSB is 0.71 points better than Uta Arad in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
FCSB is 0.57 goals better than Uta Arad in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
FCSB is 0.29 goals better than Uta Arad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
FCSB is 11.9 percentage points better than Uta Arad in terms of average possession (58% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FCSB
For 6.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Uta Arad
For 5.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FCSB
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.0
9.6
4.6
4.8
4.5
24.9
25.1
24.7
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
9.5
11.0
3.3
3.5
3.0
21.3
20.0
24.0
vs Similar (12)
10.8
11.5
10.0
5.4
6.5
4.3
26.5
27.5
25.2
vs Weaker (35)
10.2
11.1
9.4
4.5
4.3
4.6
24.7
24.9
24.6
% over line
57%
62%
52%
68%
67%
69%
77%
75%
78%
% under line
43%
38%
48%
32%
33%
31%
23%
25%
22%
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.4
9.8
4.4
4.1
4.6
24.5
24.8
24.2
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
7.0
10.0
5.5
5.3
5.7
22.9
24.6
21.5
vs Similar (38)
9.9
10.1
9.8
4.0
3.8
4.3
25.1
24.9
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
46%
45%
68%
58%
79%
74%
71%
77%
% under line
54%
54%
55%
32%
42%
21%
26%
29%
23%
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.4
Rapid
10.1
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.7
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Rapid
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.3
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.7
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.8
Uta Arad
24.2
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Rapid
23.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.2%
@ 1.69+4.5%
Under 9.5
40.8%
@ 2.05-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.3%
@ 1.37+5.5%
Under 3.5
27.7%
@ 2.76-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.72
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.6%
Under 21.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FCSB or Draw✗ Miss
84.4%
Avg Implied 81.8% · @ 1.14
Edge
+2.6%
60%
24%
16%
covers FCSB + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.14
FCSB or Uta Arad✓ Hit
76.0%
Avg Implied 77.7% · @ 1.20
Edge
-1.7%
60%
24%
16%
covers FCSB + Uta Arad
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw or Uta Arad✓ Hit
39.6%
Avg Implied 40.5% · @ 2.30
Edge
-0.9%
60%
24%
16%
covers Draw + Uta Arad
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
SBO
2.33
Betano
2.32
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FCSB over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.9%
@ 1.11+1.0%
Under
15.1%
@ 5.79-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Under
Superbet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
FCSB over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.3%
@ 1.60-1.8%
Under
43.7%
@ 2.23+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
10Bet
2.25
FCSB over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.3%
@ 2.89-2.9%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.37+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.12
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
FCSB over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.88-3.5%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.11+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Uta Arad over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.0%
@ 1.50-4.1%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.46+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Under
Superbet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.56
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
BetVictor
2.45
Uta Arad over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
21.5%
@ 3.46-5.3%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.27+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.58
10Bet
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Under
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Uta Arad over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
5.7%
@ 9.35-4.2%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
9.40
1xBet
9.40
Superbet
9.20
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Uta Arad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 23.50-2.9%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FCSB, so a minus line means FCSB give that many goals of a start and Uta Arad receive them. At -1, FCSB must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FCSB win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FCSB)Actual: Uta Arad
FCSB -2
17.6%
@ 4.68-1.6%
Draw -2
18.9%
@ 4.50-1.0%
Uta Arad +2
63.5%
@ 1.47+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Draw
Superbet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Handicap -1 (FCSB)Actual: Uta Arad
FCSB -1
36.5%
@ 2.46+0.1%
Draw -1
23.9%
@ 3.58-1.2%
Uta Arad +1
39.6%
@ 2.32+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.54
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Betfair
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Handicap +1 (FCSB)Actual: Uta Arad
FCSB +1
84.4%
@ 1.13+6.0%
Draw +1
10.4%
@ 6.58-3.1%
Uta Arad -1
5.3%
@ 10.72-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Handicap +2 (FCSB)Actual: Draw
FCSB +2
94.7%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Draw +2
4.0%
@ 17.00-1.6%
Uta Arad -2
1.3%
@ 37.50-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
15.00
Away
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FCSB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
1.06
0.62
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
1.14
1.00
1.33
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.50
1.17
0.42
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.57
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.52
0.70
0.30
0.38
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.30-2.3%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.30+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.8%
@ 2.44-4.3%
Under 1.5
66.2%
@ 1.50+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Under
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 5.62-4.1%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.11+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Betano
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCSB over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.3%
@ 1.60-5.5%
Under
47.7%
@ 2.21+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.59
Under
10Bet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.27
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.17
FCSB over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 3.91-6.3%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.22+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.65
Under
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
FCSB over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 9.62-5.5%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.1%
@ 2.60-1.7%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.45+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.57
Unibet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 9.35-2.6%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
8.70
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 36.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FCSB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.81
0.56
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.29
1.14
0.33
1.33
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.77
0.55
0.92
0.42
0.60
0.70
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uta Arad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.07
0.47
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.80
0.60
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.43
1.20
0.40
0.69
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.7%
@ 1.18-1.1%
Under 0.5
22.3%
@ 4.39+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Under
Superbet
4.60
Betano
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.0%
@ 1.88-5.6%
Under 1.5
56.0%
@ 1.84+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.4%
@ 3.74-5.5%
Under 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.24+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCSB over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.9%
@ 1.42-2.8%
Under
37.1%
@ 2.71+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.38
Under
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
FCSB over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 2.94-7.5%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.35+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.02
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
2.85
Betano
2.85
Under
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
FCSB over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 7.12-6.1%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.7%
@ 2.10-2.3%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.66+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
9.6%
@ 6.78-4.1%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.07+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 20.00-2.8%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.7%
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
94.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
87.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.8%
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
85.5%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.9%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
84.4%
1.14
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.14
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
84.4%
1.13
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.6%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
78.5%
1.27
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.2%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.1%
1.35
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.0%
1.20
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.3%
1.37
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.1%
1.41
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.7%
1.37
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.2%
1.43
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
+5.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FCSB
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Bîrligea33%
João Paulo33%
Joyskim Dawa20%
Dennis Politic20%
Risto Radunović20%
Florin Tănase17%
Alexandru Stoian17%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
David Miculescu0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Juri Cisotti0%
Ofri Arad0%
André Duarte0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Octavian Popescu0%
Mihai Toma0%
David Popa0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ronny Labonne67%
Valentin Crețu50%
Florin Tănase33%
Daniel Bîrligea33%
Mihai Toma25%
Dylan Batubinsika20%
Dennis Politic20%
Aymen Boutoutaou20%
João Paulo17%
Octavian Popescu17%
Ricardo Pădurariu14%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
David Miculescu0%
Risto Radunović0%
Juri Cisotti0%
Ofri Arad0%
André Duarte0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
David Popa0%
Matei Popa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Miculescu33%
Octavian Popescu33%
Mihai Toma25%
Juri Cisotti14%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Dennis Politic0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Florin Tănase0%
Risto Radunović0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Ofri Arad0%
Daniel Bîrligea0%
André Duarte0%
João Paulo0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
David Popa0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Bîrligea67%
David Miculescu33%
João Paulo33%
Octavian Popescu33%
David Popa33%
Dennis Politic20%
André Duarte17%
Alexandru Stoian17%
Juri Cisotti14%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Florin Tănase0%
Risto Radunović0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Ofri Arad0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Mihai Toma0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
Uta Arad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismet Sinani17%
Jayson Papeau14%
Marius Coman14%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Roman Alin0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dmytro Pospelov50%
Peter Ouaneh40%
Alexandru Benga33%
Jayson Papeau29%
Sota Mino29%
Roman Alin29%
Andrea Padula20%
Din Alomerovic20%
Richard Odada17%
Marinos Tzionis14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jayson Papeau29%
Roman Alin29%
Dmytro Pospelov25%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Andrei Dorobanțu0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Alin43%
Marius Coman29%
Ismet Sinani17%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Jayson Papeau0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
FCSB's squad is €18m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€26m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
FCSB's attack is €8m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€12m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
FCSB's midfield is €3m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
FCSB's defence is €7m more valuable than Uta Arad's (€11m vs €4m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
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Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda