This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.90
1.50
1.69
0.86
2.14
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.25
1.50
1.50
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.88
1.38
1.77
0.83
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.1%
Under 2.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.7%
No
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
FH hafnarfjordur goals ↓
Keflavik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10%
7.5%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.5%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.5%
7.3%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.1%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FH hafnarfjordur goals (down), columns = Keflavik goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Breidablik
2.29
Valur Reykjavik
2.17
Thor Akureyri
2.17
KA Akureyri
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.80
IR Reykjavik
1.80
Keflavik
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
IA Akranes
1.57
Afturelding
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Fylkir
1.20
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
Leiknir R.
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.80
HK Kopavogur
0.80
Stjarnan
0.60
Grotta
0.60
Vestri
0.40
Njardvik
0.40
Dalvík / Reynir
0.00
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.20 points better than Keflavik in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
3.33
Afturelding
3.20
Breidablik
2.86
Thor Akureyri
2.83
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
KR Reykjavik
2.60
IA Akranes
2.43
Keflavik
2.40
IR Reykjavik
2.40
Leiknir R.
2.40
KA Akureyri
2.20
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.80
Grindavik
1.80
Fylkir
1.80
Fjolnir
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.60
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
HK Kopavogur
1.40
Grotta
1.00
Njardvik
1.00
Stjarnan
0.80
Vestri
0.60
Dalvík / Reynir
0.20
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.80 goals worse than Keflavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Breidablik
0.71
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.20
KA Akureyri
1.20
Valur Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.57
Vestri
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fylkir
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
KR Reykjavik
1.80
Fram Reykjavik
1.80
Throttur Reykjavik
1.80
Grindavik
2.00
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Keflavik
2.20
Stjarnan
2.20
Leiknir R.
2.20
Grotta
2.20
IR Reykjavik
2.80
Afturelding
2.80
Njardvik
2.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.40
Dalvík / Reynir
5.20
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.60 goals better than Keflavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FH hafnarfjordur or Draw✗ Miss
60.4%
Avg Implied -
31%
30%
40%
covers FH hafnarfjordur + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur or Keflavik✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied -
31%
30%
40%
covers FH hafnarfjordur + Keflavik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Keflavik✓ Hit
69.5%
Avg Implied -
31%
30%
40%
covers Draw + Keflavik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.6%
Under
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.0%
Under
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.1%
Under
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.8%
Under
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FH hafnarfjordur, so a minus line means FH hafnarfjordur give that many goals of a start and Keflavik receive them. At -1, FH hafnarfjordur must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FH hafnarfjordur win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur -2
3.9%
Draw -2
8.8%
Keflavik +2
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur -1
12.7%
Draw -1
17.8%
Keflavik +1
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur +1
60.4%
Draw +1
21.0%
Keflavik -1
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur +2
81.4%
Draw +2
12.0%
Keflavik -2
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FH hafnarfjordur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.79
1.14
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.23
0.60
1.60
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.76
0.89
0.89
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.56
0.62
0.21
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.32
0.72
0.46
0.54
0.17
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FH hafnarfjordur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.97
1.36
0.71
0.94
1.19
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
0.69
1.00
0.40
0.75
0.88
vs Similar (17)
1.35
1.18
1.56
0.89
1.12
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.13
0.94
1.06
0.64
1.21
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
1.16
0.92
1.23
0.67
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →