First Vienna and FC Liefering face off in the Austria: 2. Liga, with FC Liefering the favourites to win, according to the model's pick, an Away win. The model's selection, Away win, has a 44% probability of occurring, while the home side, First Vienna, has a 28% chance of winning and the draw a 28% chance. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with a most likely total of 2 goals.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.2%. First Vienna's home form against similar opponents is mediocre, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.33 goals per match. FC Liefering's away form against similar opponents is poor, scoring an average of 0 goals and conceding 1.33 goals per match.
The model suggests three selections: Over 1.5, with a 76.4% probability, represents a strong edge; Over 3.5 cards, with a 72.8% probability; and Under 3.5, with a 71.4% probability and an 8% edge. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 44%.
A stunning draw at the Pythia prediction model's expense as First Vienna held FC Liefering to a 2-2 stalemate. This result extends First Vienna's run of consecutive draws, with their last five matches reading DLWWL. The model had surprisingly picked an Away win, with a pre-match probability of 44%, but its call was incorrect as the favourite failed to come through. The model's selection was not the only one to miss the mark, as Under 3.5 also missed, despite having a 71.4% probability. On the other hand, Over 1.5 hit, with a 76.4% probability. The Pythia prediction model will be looking to bounce back from this upset.
First Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 1.21 | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.19 | 1.04 | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
FC Liefering| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.77 | 1.33 | 2.20 | 1.47 | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.50 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (28) | 1.79 | 1.39 | 2.14 | 1.50 | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
| FC Liefering goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 13% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
First Vienna
FC Liefering
First Vienna| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.4 | 10.4 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 25.0 | 21.6 | 27.4 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | 3.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | - |
| vs Similar (45) | 8.9 | 12.2 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 20.8 | 27.4 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 25% | 40% | 14% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 67% | 40% | 86% |
| % under line | 75% | 60% | 86% | 90% | 87% | 93% | 33% | 60% | 14% |
FC Liefering| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.9 | 9.6 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 24.2 | 24.6 | 23.5 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 13.5 | 13.5 | - | 2.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 24.5 | 24.5 | - |
| vs Weaker (46) | 9.4 | 8.6 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 24.1 | 24.6 | 23.5 |
| % over line | 56% | 40% | 83% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 69% | 60% | 83% |
| % under line | 44% | 60% | 17% | 80% | 76% | 84% | 31% | 40% | 17% |
First Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.70 | 0.41 | 0.69 | 0.54 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+40pp vs league) | |||||
FC Liefering| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.50 | 1.27 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (28) | 1.00 | 0.54 | 1.36 | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
First Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.48 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.77 | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
FC Liefering| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.50 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (28) | 0.79 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 87.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 80.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -1.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 73.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 72.9% | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +1.4% | - |
| Under 3.5 | 71.4% | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.45 | +7.6% | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 22/08/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 06/12/24 | H | 3-1 | |
| 02/08/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 10/05/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 28/10/23 | H | 2-0 | |
| 24/02/23 | H | 0-2 | |
| 12/08/22 | A | 1-1 |
First Vienna| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 24/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 0-1 |
FC Liefering| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 31/07/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 14/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 24/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 20/03/26 | H | 2-5 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | - |
| 2 | FC Liefering | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 3 | First Vienna | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 60% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Floridsdorfer AC | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 80% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Austria Salzburg | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 | Admira Wacker | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | SKU Amstetten | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 11 | Sturm Graz II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4.6 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - |
| 12 | Rapid Wien II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Voitsberg | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |