FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Partizan Result & Analysis

The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.9 goals and a 21% chance of six or more. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 for the home side, with an 8.7% probability. FK Crvena Zvezda, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 2.82 goals scored and 0.73 conceded, while Partizan, on a two-game winning streak, has a solid away record. The favourite result is a home win, with a 58% chance, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 22% chance of an away win. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals (91.1%), Over 2.5 goals (75.4%), Over 19.5 fouls (91.2%), Over 21.5 fouls (82.5%), Under 5.5 cards (75.8%), Under 11.5 corners (71.8%) and BTTS Yes (71.5%). The only miss is Over 2.5 cards at 78.6%. All selections are presented with their exact probabilities.

The model’s prediction proved spot on as FK Crvena Zvezda secured a 3-0 victory, extending their recent win streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 58% probability and the model’s call was correct. The 3-0 result also matched the most likely score of 2-1, 1-1 or 3-1, with the actual outcome falling within the predicted range. The suggested picks performed largely well: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.2%, Over 1.5 hit at 91.1%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 82.5%, Over 2.5 hit at 75.4%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 75.8%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 71.8%, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 78.6% and BTTS Yes missed at 71.5%. Overall, the model’s selections largely came through.