FK Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica Result & Analysis

The model picks an away win with a 52% probability, the highest of the three outcomes, followed by a draw at 26% and a home win at 22%. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. FK Košice, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded, while Dukla Banská Bystrica, on the road, averages 2.12 scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 5.5 cards 86.6%, Over 19.5 fouls 81.4%, Over 1.5 78.4% (miss), Under 11.5 corners 75.5%, Under 4.5 cards 73.7%. Both sides entered the match after a draw, with FK Košice’s last game a 2-2 draw against Podbrezová and Dukla’s last 2-2 draw versus Komárno. The model’s selection indicates an away win, a 1-1 draw as the most probable score, and the listed probabilities for each pick.

The match saw Dukla Banská Bystrica extend their recent form, coming off a draw to secure a narrow 0-1 away win. The model’s favourite, an away victory, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 52%. The final score matched the actual result, confirming the model’s prediction. The suggested picks performed largely as expected: Under 5.5 cards hit with an 86.6% probability, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 81.4%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 75.5%, and Under 4.5 cards hit at 73.7%. Only the Over 1.5 goals selection missed, despite its 78.4% chance. Overall, the model’s selections proved largely accurate.