Forest Green are clear favourites, with the model assigning a 64% chance of a home win, 21% for a draw and 14% for Altrincham to triumph. The prediction is driven by Forest Green’s strong home form, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding only 0.8 against weaker opposition, while Altrincham, playing away against a stronger side, averages just one goal scored and one conceded. The expected total goals is 3.1, yet the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, carrying an 10.8% chance. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (96.4% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.5% with a 7% edge), Home +2 handicap (95.2% with a 3% edge) and Away under 2.5 goals (93.4% with a 6% edge). Forest Green’s recent form, after two straight defeats, contrasts with Altrincham’s recent win, reinforcing the home advantage.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Forest Green, failed to deliver, with Altrincham snatching a 2-1 away victory. The model had predicted a home win with a 64% probability, but the outcome was the opposite. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the upset. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9%, Under 6.5 at 96.4%, Home +2 handicap at 95.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.9%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 93.4%. Forest Green’s form, after three consecutive defeats, was a stark contrast to Altrincham’s recent two-game winning streak.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Forest Green win✗ Miss
64.5%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.56
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.22
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.44
Dafabet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Altrincham win✓ Hit
14.1%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.75
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.75
Dafabet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.77
BetVictor
4.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Forest Green
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.33
2.20
1.33
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
3.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
1.79
1.42
2.44
1.44
1.20
1.40
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
1.12
2.20
0.80
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Altrincham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.40
1.47
1.13
0.93
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.43
1.36
1.14
0.93
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
@ 1.13-0.4%
Under 1.5
18.2%
@ 5.21+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.37
Superbet
5.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.9%
@ 1.46-4.3%
Under 2.5
41.1%
@ 2.51+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.60
Bet365
2.60
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
@ 2.17-6.2%
Under 3.5
63.5%
@ 1.62+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.24
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.64
BetVictor
1.62
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.9%
@ 1.52-6.6%
No
46.1%
@ 2.33+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
No
William Hil
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.8%@ 8.65+5.8%
1-1
10.2%@ 7.88+4.6%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.29+3.9%
1-0
9.2%@ 8.99+4.3%
3-0
7.7%@ 11.85+4.0%
3-1
7.0%@ 9.89+2.6%
0-0
5.6%@ 15.92+2.9%
2-2
4.5%@ 11.85+0.9%
Forest Green goals ↓
Altrincham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
3.4%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
1
9.2%
10%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
7.7%
7.0%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
4
4.1%
3.8%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forest Green goals (down), columns = Altrincham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Forest Green is 0.51 points better than Altrincham in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Forest Green is 0.55 goals better than Altrincham in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Forest Green is 0.31 goals better than Altrincham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Forest Green is 1.4 percentage points better than Altrincham in terms of average possession (53% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Forest Green or Draw✗ Miss
85.9%
Avg Implied 80.6% · @ 1.15
Edge
+5.4%
64%
21%
14%
covers Forest Green + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Forest Green or Altrincham✓ Hit
78.6%
Avg Implied 78.6% · @ 1.17
Edge
-0.1%
64%
21%
14%
covers Forest Green + Altrincham
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Draw or Altrincham✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.26
Edge
-5.3%
64%
21%
14%
covers Draw + Altrincham
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.37
Unibet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Forest Green over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.2%
@ 1.07+1.9%
Under
11.8%
@ 6.78-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Under
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.10
Forest Green over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
63.0%
@ 1.46-0.3%
Under
37.0%
@ 2.52+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.56
BetVictor
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Forest Green over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
36.1%
@ 2.46-1.5%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.48+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.57
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Forest Green over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 4.75-2.7%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.16+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
4.60
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Altrincham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.0%
@ 1.38-6.9%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.79+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.46
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Under
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.91
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.85
Altrincham over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
23.3%
@ 2.81-9.5%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.38+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Altrincham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 6.70-7.3%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.08+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Altrincham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 16.33-4.4%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Forest Green, so a minus line means Forest Green give that many goals of a start and Altrincham receive them. At -1, Forest Green must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Forest Green win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Forest Green)Actual: Altrincham
Forest Green -2
21.9%
@ 4.12+0.6%
Draw -2
19.8%
@ 4.41-0.1%
Altrincham +2
58.4%
@ 1.49-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.20
Unibet
3.30
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Unibet
3.60
Away
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Handicap -1 (Forest Green)Actual: Altrincham
Forest Green -1
41.6%
@ 2.32+4.0%
Draw -1
22.8%
@ 3.63-1.2%
Altrincham +1
35.5%
@ 2.28-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.35
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Away
Unibet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Handicap +1 (Forest Green)Actual: Draw
Forest Green +1
85.9%
@ 1.15+9.2%
Draw +1
9.3%
@ 6.25-4.9%
Altrincham -1
4.8%
@ 9.57-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
8.80
Marathonbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Forest Green)Actual: Forest Green
Forest Green +2
95.2%
@ 1.04+4.5%
Draw +2
3.6%
@ 15.00-2.7%
Altrincham -2
1.2%
@ 31.00-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Forest Green
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.47
1.00
0.44
1.22
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Altrincham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.87
0.40
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.54
0.86
0.43
0.29
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.22-3.6%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 3.75+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.7%
@ 2.14-8.6%
Under 1.5
65.3%
@ 1.63+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.21
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
BetVictor
1.65
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 4.61-6.4%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.16+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forest Green over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.1%
@ 1.51-7.5%
Under
45.9%
@ 2.41+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Betano
2.32
Forest Green over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.5%
@ 3.42-7.4%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.26+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
Forest Green over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 8.60-5.7%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.04+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Superbet
8.40
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Altrincham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.2%
@ 2.33-3.4%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.53+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Altrincham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 7.70-4.5%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Altrincham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 28.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Forest Green
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.50
1.60
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
1.32
0.42
2.00
0.22
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.62
1.20
0.40
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Altrincham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.60
0.73
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.89
0.50
0.71
0.64
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.3%
@ 1.13-2.0%
Under 0.5
19.7%
@ 5.22+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.7%
@ 1.68-6.5%
Under 1.5
51.3%
@ 2.07+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
Unibet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.18
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
22.7%
@ 3.07-7.4%
Under 2.5
77.3%
@ 1.32+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Under
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forest Green over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.2%
@ 1.34-6.9%
Under
37.8%
@ 3.02+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Under
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Forest Green over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.9%
@ 2.57-7.0%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.44+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Forest Green over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 5.93-6.8%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.09+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Altrincham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.1%
@ 1.91-5.3%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.79+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Altrincham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
11.0%
@ 5.56-5.6%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.11+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.60
Superbet
5.60
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Altrincham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 14.50-4.4%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.4%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.0%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.0%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
88.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.9%
1.15
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
85.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+9.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
83.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.6%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.5%
1.26
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.6%
1.17
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+7.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
76.7%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
+9.5%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-3.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.1%
1.44
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Forest Green and Altrincham have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Forest Green and Altrincham have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Forest Green and Altrincham have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Forest Green and Altrincham have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sutton
Yeovil
Boreham Wood
Harrogate
Southend
Eastleigh
Aldershot
Boston Utd
Halifax
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Wealdstone
Scunthorpe
Woking
Gateshead
Barrow
Tamworth
Solihull