This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AR
Albion Rvs
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.90
1.25
1.94
2.36
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.67
1.96
1.08
1.77
2.36
2.18
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
1.67
2.00
2.67
2.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.9%
Under 2.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 3.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
Forfar goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
6.6%
8.3%
6.1%
3.4%
1
3.1%
9.6%
9.7%
7.2%
4.0%
2
2.3%
5.1%
5.7%
4.2%
2.3%
3
0.9%
2.0%
2.2%
1.6%
0.9%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Ayr
2.11
Raith Rvs
2.08
Alloa
1.67
Arbroath
1.64
Stranraer
1.47
East Fife
1.17
Airdrie United
1.14
Forfar
1.06
Queens Park
0.86
Albion Rvs
0.83
Forfar is 0.22 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.83).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ayr
2.56
Arbroath
1.94
Raith Rvs
1.89
Stranraer
1.61
Albion Rvs
1.58
Alloa
1.56
East Fife
1.36
Airdrie United
1.28
Queens Park
1.17
Forfar
1.11
Forfar is 0.47 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.58).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Raith Rvs
0.89
Ayr
1.17
Alloa
1.19
Arbroath
1.42
Airdrie United
1.67
Forfar
1.81
Stranraer
1.83
East Fife
1.86
Queens Park
2.00
Albion Rvs
2.22
Forfar is 0.42 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 2.22).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Forfar
For 3.2 · Against 8.1 · Total 11.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AR
Albion Rvs
For 5.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
10.0
12.5
1.6
1.8
1.3
23.4
24.5
22.4
vs Stronger (36)
11.6
10.2
12.9
1.9
2.4
1.6
22.7
23.8
21.7
vs Similar (11)
8.0
8.0
8.0
0.7
1.0
0.4
30.0
31.0
29.0
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
50%
64%
24%
32%
16%
67%
70%
64%
% under line
43%
50%
36%
76%
68%
84%
33%
30%
36%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AR
Albion Rvs
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
12.0
10.3
1.2
1.2
1.3
21.7
22.8
20.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
10.4
12.1
8.9
1.2
1.2
1.2
21.6
23.3
20.1
vs Weaker (11)
13.8
11.5
16.0
1.5
1.2
1.7
22.2
21.0
23.5
% over line
53%
67%
40%
16%
12%
19%
42%
56%
30%
% under line
47%
33%
60%
84%
88%
81%
58%
44%
70%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Raith Rvs
12.3
Ayr
11.9
Forfar
11.3
Stranraer
11.2
Albion Rvs
11.1
Airdrie United
11.1
East Fife
10.8
Arbroath
10.7
Queens Park
10.5
Alloa
9.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.1
Forfar
3.7
Queens Park
3.6
Raith Rvs
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Albion Rvs
3.3
Arbroath
3.1
East Fife
3.0
Airdrie United
3.0
Alloa
2.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
East Fife
24.3
Forfar
23.4
Stranraer
23.3
Raith Rvs
21.9
Ayr
21.8
Albion Rvs
21.7
Airdrie United
21.3
Alloa
21.1
Arbroath
20.4
Queens Park
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.4%
Under 3.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.7%
Under 21.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.67
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (24)
0.25
0.75
0.18
0.64
0.31
0.85
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AR
Albion Rvs
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.44
0.94
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.96
0.38
0.85
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.83
0.67
1.33
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.30
0.60
1.40
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (24)
0.71
1.33
0.55
1.55
0.85
1.15
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.40
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AR
Albion Rvs
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.97
0.81
1.00
1.43
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.00
1.00
0.69
0.92
1.36
1.09
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.83
1.33
1.33
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League One 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Forfar
Arbroath
Stranraer
East Fife
Airdrie United
Queens Park