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Forfar vs Livingston Result & Analysis

Date: 13/07/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
Forfar
Forfar
Vs
6%
18%
76%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Livingston
Livingston
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forfar win✗ Miss
5.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Livingston win✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W11D11D01L02L12L21W20W04LA·STR02/03H·CLY09/03H·STE16/03A·ELG23/03A·SPA30/03H·DUM06/04A·PET13/04H·EAS20/04H·STR27/04A·BON04/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.271.271.401.001.13
vs Stronger (17)1.001.241.291.140.801.30
vs Similar (10)1.201.501.171.831.251.00
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D03L03L00D24L20W14L21W15L11DA·ST 02/03A·HIB16/03H·CEL31/03H·ABE06/04A·HEA13/04H·ROS27/04A·MOT04/05H·ST 11/05A·ABE15/05H·HIB19/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.930.731.400.672.47
vs Stronger (13)0.462.230.331.500.572.86
vs Similar (17)0.881.711.001.330.752.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%017%125%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.2%
No
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
16.7%
0-1
14.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-1
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
Forfar goals ↓
Livingston goals →
01234
07.7%15%17%12%6.7%
12.6%8.0%7.9%5.8%3.2%
20.8%1.7%1.9%1.4%0.7%
30.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Livingston goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Forfar is 1.25 points worse than Livingston in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Forfar is 0.50 goals worse than Livingston in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Forfar is 0.75 goals worse than Livingston in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ForfarForfar

For 4.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1404777392344644733736611141258101161012A·BONH·STRH·EASA·PETH·DUMA·SPAA·ELGH·STEH·CLYA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

601311422411212124214266233603A·BONH·STRH·EASA·PETH·DUMA·SPAA·ELGH·STEH·CLYA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

3701317111010131471481691912152291314830212321222531372222A·BONH·STRH·EASA·PETH·DUMA·SPAA·ELGH·STEH·CLYA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LivingstonLivingston

For 3.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

130492648564555258232213812119107854H·HIBA·ABEH·ST A·MOTH·ROSA·HEAH·ABEH·CELA·HIBA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

60122212131216221432142164H·HIBA·ABEH·ST A·MOTH·ROSA·HEAH·ABEH·CELA·HIBA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.3 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

3106818131291281313179157781613161514312120262622152931H·HIBA·ABEH·ST A·MOTH·ROSA·HEAH·ABEH·CELA·HIBA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.59.73.43.23.523.723.723.7
vs Stronger (26)9.410.58.33.93.83.925.024.026.0
vs Similar (20)11.210.811.52.93.02.721.823.120.7
vs Weaker (4)9.29.59.02.50.54.524.524.524.5
% over line56%58%54%46%46%46%66%67%65%
% under line44%42%46%54%54%54%34%33%35%
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.79.62.62.42.723.624.023.1
vs Stronger (18)9.48.99.93.43.23.622.122.821.6
vs Similar (32)9.08.59.42.12.02.224.724.924.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line39%26%53%34%32%36%66%68%63%
% under line61%74%47%66%68%64%34%32%37%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.9
Rangers
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Dundee
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.1
Ross County
11.1
Kelty Hearts
11.0
Morton
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Falkirk
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.7
Arbroath
10.7
Dunfermline
10.7
Aberdeen
10.5
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Hibernian
10.3
Stirling
10.3
Montrose
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.1
Forfar
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Partick
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
Edinburgh City
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Spartans
9.4
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Annan Athletic
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Morton
4.3
Rangers
4.2
Aberdeen
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.0
Dumbarton
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Dundee
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Hibernian
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
ST Johnstone
3.8
Ross County
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Stranraer
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Partick
3.5
Livingston
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.2
ST Mirren
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Aberdeen
24.2
Livingston
23.9
Elgin
23.7
Forfar
23.7
Kilmarnock
22.8
Heart Of Midlothian
22.7
Motherwell
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.3
Morton
22.3
Ross County
22.2
Dundee Utd
22.2
Rangers
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Falkirk
21.8
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Hibernian
21.6
East Fife
21.5
ST Mirren
21.3
Montrose
21.1
Annan Athletic
20.9
Arbroath
20.9
Spartans
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Edinburgh City
20.4
Clyde
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Stirling
20.2
Stranraer
20.0
Dundee
20.0
Partick
19.9
Celtic
19.5
Inverness CT
19.3
Dunfermline
19.3
Cove Rangers
18.8
Airdrie United
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.9%
Under 21.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Forfar or Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
6%
18%
76%
covers Forfar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar or Livingston✓ Hit
82.2%
Avg Implied -
6%
18%
76%
covers Forfar + Livingston
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Livingston✓ Hit
94.1%
Avg Implied -
6%
18%
76%
covers Draw + Livingston
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Forfar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
37.7%
Under
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.8%
Under
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
64.2%
Under
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.4%
Under
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.8%
Under
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Forfar, so a minus line means Forfar give that many goals of a start and Livingston receive them. At -1, Forfar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Forfar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Forfar)Actual: Livingston
Forfar -2
0.2%
Draw -2
1.1%
Livingston +2
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Forfar)Actual: Livingston
Forfar -1
1.3%
Draw -1
4.6%
Livingston +1
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Forfar)Actual: Livingston
Forfar +1
23.7%
Draw +1
24.0%
Livingston -1
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Forfar)Actual: Draw
Forfar +2
47.6%
Draw +2
23.3%
Livingston -2
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L11D00D00D00D01L20W00DA·STR02/03H·CLY09/03H·STE16/03A·ELG23/03A·SPA30/03H·DUM06/04A·PET13/04H·EAS20/04H·STR27/04A·BON04/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.670.670.530.47
vs Stronger (17)0.530.470.570.570.500.40
vs Similar (10)0.900.801.000.830.750.75
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W03L00D00D24L10W02L01L00D00DA·ST 02/03A·HIB16/03H·CEL31/03H·ABE06/04A·HEA13/04H·ROS27/04A·MOT04/05H·ST 11/05A·ABE15/05H·HIB19/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.830.270.330.401.33
vs Stronger (13)0.230.920.000.330.431.43
vs Similar (17)0.410.760.440.330.381.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W10W00D01L02L12L20W00D04LA·STR02/03H·CLY09/03H·STE16/03A·ELG23/03A·SPA30/03H·DUM06/04A·PET13/04H·EAS20/04H·STR27/04A·BON04/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.600.730.470.67
vs Stronger (17)0.470.760.710.570.300.90
vs Similar (10)0.300.700.171.000.500.25
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D03L00D00D10W12L20W15L11DA·ST 02/03A·HIB16/03H·CEL31/03H·ABE06/04A·HEA13/04H·ROS27/04A·MOT04/05H·ST 11/05A·ABE15/05H·HIB19/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.100.471.070.271.13
vs Stronger (13)0.231.310.331.170.141.43
vs Similar (17)0.470.940.561.000.380.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals99.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap98.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.6%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away94.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap94.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals91.8%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals88.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls87.0%--------
Under 4.586.9%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away82.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals82.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.0%--------
Away win76.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards75.7%--------
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.6%--------
Under 3.572.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Livingston · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jeremy Bokila22%
Connor McLennan19%
Lewis Smith17%
Robbie Muirhead15%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Brooklyn Kabongolo12%
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Stevie May6%
Mahamadou Susoho6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Mohammad Sylla3%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor McLennan38%
Mahamadou Susoho33%
Cristian Montaño27%
Adam Montgomery25%
Macaulay Tait24%
Emmanuel Danso23%
Danny Finlayson23%
Jeremy Bokila22%
Robbie Muirhead21%
Brooklyn Kabongolo19%
Stevie May18%
Ryan McGowan17%
Babacar Fati17%
Mohammad Sylla16%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Joshua Zimmerman14%
Samson Lawal13%
Scott Arfield12%
Jérôme Prior11%
Cammy Kerr9%
Lewis Smith6%
Tete Yengi5%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jon Nouble0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barrie McKay29%
Jon Nouble20%
Graham Carey14%
Adam Montgomery12%
Cristian Montaño12%
Macaulay Tait9%
Emmanuel Danso8%
Joshua Brenet7%
Robbie Muirhead6%
Stevie May6%
Scott Pittman6%
Lewis Smith6%
Ryan McGowan4%
Danny Finlayson3%
Jérôme Prior3%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Connor McLennan0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Babacar Fati0%
Tete Yengi0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Samson Lawal0%
Brooklyn Kabongolo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Robbie Muirhead9%
Stevie May9%
Connor McLennan6%
Brooklyn Kabongolo6%
Lewis Smith6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Graham Carey0%
Scott Pittman0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Forfar's squad is €4m less valuable than Livingston's (€0m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Forfar's attack is €1m less valuable than Livingston's (€0m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Forfar's midfield is €1m less valuable than Livingston's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Forfar's defence is €1m less valuable than Livingston's (€0m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FOR wins
0
Draws
0
LIV wins

Head-to-head

Forfar vs Livingston · H/A from FOR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs FOR4-0
27/04/24HFOR Vs Stranraer2-0
20/04/24HFOR Vs East Fife2-1
13/04/24APeterhead Vs FOR2-1
06/04/24HFOR Vs Dumbarton0-2
30/03/24ASpartans Vs FOR1-0
23/03/24AElgin Vs FOR1-1
16/03/24HFOR Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
09/03/24HFOR Vs Clyde2-1
02/03/24AStranraer Vs FOR0-0

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/24HLIV Vs Hibernian1-1
15/05/24AAberdeen Vs LIV5-1
11/05/24HLIV Vs ST Johnstone2-1
04/05/24AMotherwell Vs LIV4-1
27/04/24HLIV Vs Ross County2-0
13/04/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs LIV4-2
06/04/24HLIV Vs Aberdeen0-0
31/03/24HLIV Vs Celtic0-3
16/03/24AHibernian Vs LIV3-0
02/03/24AST Johnstone Vs LIV1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.18
HomeWDLWW1.42
AwayDDLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.202.382.04
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %38%46%31%
Over 3.5 %18%21%15%
Scored1.001.170.85
Conceded1.201.211.19
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners10.1210.549.73
Cards3.363.253.46
Livingston
Livingston
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD0.72
HomeLDWWD1.20
AwayDLLLL0.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%28%4%
AVG goals2.602.242.96
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored0.760.920.60
Conceded1.841.322.36
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet16%32%0%
Corners9.168.689.63
Cards3.463.213.72

🏆 17. League Table

Forfar plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
Livingston plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk52104
60%
2.0
10150+51
2.9
77%
54%
37%
11.4
56%
4.1
44%
22.1
56%
6
2131.91.0
-
2LivingstonLivingston52103
58%
2.0
8538+47
2.4
73%
54%
12%
8.8
50%
5.2
69%
24.4
62%
4
1111.60.7
-
3PartickPartick5282
44%
1.6
6552+13
2.2
67%
42%
10%
9.5
38%
4.6
69%
20.8
44%
3
1111.21.0
-
4MortonMorton5274
37%
1.4
6264-2
2.4
71%
42%
21%
11.8
69%
4.2
69%
19.7
38%
1
0001.21.2
-
5
A
Ayr		3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
9.9
53%
4.4
72%
22.5
61%
0
0001.61.1
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5656
27%
1.0
5893-35
2.7
75%
52%
29%
11.4
50%
3.6
56%
22.3
62%
0
0001.01.7
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
7.9
28%
4.1
58%
23.1
67%
0
0001.31.2
-
10DunfermlineDunfermline5249
25%
0.9
4064-24
2.0
60%
31%
12%
9.2
38%
3.9
50%
22.9
62%
4
2020.81.2
-
11
H
Hamilton		3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
10.9
50%
4.1
53%
23.0
69%
0
0001.11.8
-
12Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Queens ParkQueens Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
11.8
64%
4.0
58%
19.4
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
14QueenQueen's Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
15Cove RangersCove Rangers45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
17StenhousemuirStenhousemuir20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches