This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.48
1.41
1.50
1.29
1.46
1.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.48
1.50
1.33
1.27
1.64
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2 ✓
6.1%
Francs Borains goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
7.1%
6.3%
3.2%
1.2%
1
6.4%
13%
8.7%
4.4%
1.7%
2
5.3%
8.0%
6.1%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.5%
3.7%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Francs Borains goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Francs Borains is 0.57 points worse than Liège in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Francs Borains is 0.37 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Francs Borains is 0.37 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Francs Borains is 1.4 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (46% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Francs Borains
For 6.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 6.4 · Against 5.7 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Francs Borains
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.9
12.0
9.9
4.5
4.5
4.4
27.0
28.6
25.8
vs Stronger (8)
10.2
11.8
7.0
4.6
5.8
3.5
26.8
29.8
21.0
vs Similar (19)
11.1
12.2
10.5
4.4
4.0
4.8
27.1
27.8
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
80%
50%
78%
77%
79%
86%
80%
92%
% under line
36%
20%
50%
22%
23%
21%
14%
20%
8%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
12.3
12.5
12.2
4.4
4.5
4.2
24.5
23.7
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
12.1
11.6
12.5
4.6
4.6
4.6
25.1
24.8
25.4
vs Weaker (4)
14.0
16.5
9.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
20.3
19.0
23.0
% over line
73%
73%
73%
67%
64%
69%
77%
82%
73%
% under line
27%
27%
27%
33%
36%
31%
23%
18%
27%
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Standard Liège II
12.3
Liège
12.3
Seraing United
11.6
Beerschot VA
11.6
Deinze
11.2
Francs Borains
10.9
KRC Genk II
10.8
K. Lierse S.K.
10.7
SK Beveren
10.7
Lommel United
10.2
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Club Brugge II
10.0
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Oostende
9.7
Dender
9.6
Patro Eisden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.3
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.5
Liège
5.4
Standard Liège II
5.3
Patro Eisden
5.3
RSC Anderlecht II
5.2
Beerschot VA
5.2
K. Lierse S.K.
5.2
Lommel United
5.0
Deinze
5.0
Dender
5.0
Oostende
4.8
SK Beveren
4.3
Zulte Waregem
4.2
Club Brugge II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
27.7
KRC Genk II
27.5
Francs Borains
27.0
Patro Eisden
26.4
Seraing United
26.3
Deinze
26.1
Standard Liège II
25.7
Beerschot VA
25.6
K. Lierse S.K.
25.3
RSC Anderlecht II
25.3
Oostende
25.2
Liège
24.5
SK Beveren
24.4
Club Brugge II
23.3
Zulte Waregem
23.0
Lommel United
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
72.1%
Under 9.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.4%
Under 3.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.3%
Under 21.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.67
0.38
0.54
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.00
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.68
0.56
0.44
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
0.44
0.86
0.36
0.62
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.52
0.92
0.42
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
59% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
1.04
0.85
0.92
0.64
1.14
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.95
0.78
1.00
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
0.96
0.64
0.93
0.85
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.96
0.58
0.92
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Francs Borains
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordan Attah Kadiri28%
Corenthyn Lavie16%
Niklo Dailly15%
Yanis Massolin10%
Romain Donnez10%
Hedy Chaabi10%
Clement Tainmont9%
Fode Guirassy9%
Matthew Healy8%
Kevin Vandendriessche5%
Teddy Chevalier0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Alessio Curci0%
Sidney Obissa0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Patryk Walicki0%
Thierno Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fostave Mabani64%
Patryk Walicki43%
Romain Donnez40%
Jordy Gillekens33%
Mateo Itrak30%
Thierno Diallo30%
Clement Tainmont27%
Matthew Healy25%
Levi Malungu23%
Jordan Attah Kadiri22%
Mathias Francotte20%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu18%
Corenthyn Lavie16%
Kevin Vandendriessche16%
Niklo Dailly15%
Sidney Obissa14%
Teddy Chevalier12%
Fode Guirassy9%
Alessio Curci8%
Yanis Massolin5%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Hedy Chaabi0%
Théo Gécé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Corenthyn Lavie16%
Niklo Dailly15%
Mathias Francotte10%
Romain Donnez10%
Fode Guirassy9%
Alessio Curci8%
Matthew Healy8%
Jordan Attah Kadiri6%
Kevin Vandendriessche5%
Teddy Chevalier0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu0%
Clement Tainmont0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Hedy Chaabi0%
Sidney Obissa0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Yanis Massolin0%
Patryk Walicki0%
Thierno Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordan Attah Kadiri56%
Corenthyn Lavie40%
Teddy Chevalier25%
Niklo Dailly15%
Yanis Massolin15%
Matthew Healy12%
Thierno Diallo10%
Fode Guirassy9%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Kevin Vandendriessche0%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu0%
Clement Tainmont0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Hedy Chaabi0%
Alessio Curci0%
Sidney Obissa0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Patryk Walicki0%
Romain Donnez0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Seraing United
Standard Liège II