This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.57
1.62
1.44
1.57
1.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.46
1.73
1.64
1.50
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.50
1.50
1.00
3.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.1%
Under 2.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.8%
Under 3.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2 ✓
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
Francs Borains goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
6.5%
6.8%
4.0%
1.8%
1
4.8%
11%
9.3%
5.5%
2.5%
2
4.0%
7.2%
6.4%
3.8%
1.7%
3
1.8%
3.3%
2.9%
1.7%
0.8%
4
0.6%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Francs Borains goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RAAL La Louvière
2.14
Zulte Waregem
2.07
RWDM
2.03
Patro Eisden
1.88
SK Beveren
1.65
Club Brugge II
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.39
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
Deinze
1.29
Liège
1.28
AS Eupen
1.07
Francs Borains
1.07
Lommel United
1.03
RSC Anderlecht II
0.79
Seraing United
0.76
KRC Genk II
0.48
Francs Borains is 0.21 points worse than Liège in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zulte Waregem
1.97
Patro Eisden
1.88
RAAL La Louvière
1.79
Club Brugge II
1.59
RWDM
1.55
SK Beveren
1.45
RSC Anderlecht II
1.45
Liège
1.41
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
AS Eupen
1.36
Deinze
1.29
Lokeren-Temse
1.15
Lommel United
1.14
Francs Borains
1.10
KRC Genk II
1.03
Seraing United
1.00
Francs Borains is 0.31 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.41).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RAAL La Louvière
0.86
RWDM
0.87
Patro Eisden
1.03
Zulte Waregem
1.10
SK Beveren
1.13
K. Lierse S.K.
1.24
Lokeren-Temse
1.24
Club Brugge II
1.28
Deinze
1.43
Liège
1.52
Lommel United
1.62
AS Eupen
1.68
Francs Borains
1.72
Seraing United
1.90
RSC Anderlecht II
2.00
KRC Genk II
2.17
Francs Borains is 0.21 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge II
57%
Lommel United
57%
Zulte Waregem
56%
RWDM
56%
Deinze
54%
SK Beveren
54%
KRC Genk II
52%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
50%
Lokeren-Temse
49%
Francs Borains
48%
Seraing United
44%
Liège
43%
RAAL La Louvière
42%
Patro Eisden
38%
Francs Borains is 5.3 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (48% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Francs Borains
For 3.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 16.4 · Total 31.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 5.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Francs Borains
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
10.0
10.7
9.5
4.8
4.7
4.8
28.6
29.8
27.5
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
10.3
8.7
4.7
5.4
3.8
30.9
33.3
25.3
vs Similar (25)
10.1
11.0
9.6
4.8
4.3
5.2
27.5
26.8
27.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
60%
47%
76%
78%
75%
88%
80%
94%
% under line
47%
40%
53%
24%
22%
25%
12%
20%
6%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
11.5
11.8
11.3
4.6
4.6
4.7
25.3
25.4
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
11.4
11.1
11.7
4.8
4.7
4.9
25.7
26.3
25.1
vs Weaker (5)
12.5
16.5
8.5
3.6
4.0
3.3
22.2
19.0
25.5
% over line
62%
62%
62%
71%
65%
78%
78%
81%
75%
% under line
38%
38%
38%
29%
35%
22%
22%
19%
25%
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
11.9
Liège
11.5
Seraing United
10.8
KRC Genk II
10.8
Deinze
10.6
SK Beveren
10.6
K. Lierse S.K.
10.2
Zulte Waregem
10.1
RWDM
10.1
Francs Borains
10.0
Club Brugge II
9.8
AS Eupen
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.6
Patro Eisden
9.4
Lommel United
9.4
RAAL La Louvière
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
RAAL La Louvière
6.4
Lokeren-Temse
6.4
Patro Eisden
5.7
KRC Genk II
5.7
Francs Borains
5.7
Liège
5.5
K. Lierse S.K.
5.2
RSC Anderlecht II
5.1
Seraing United
5.1
Deinze
4.9
Lommel United
4.8
SK Beveren
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.2
RWDM
4.0
AS Eupen
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
RAAL La Louvière
31.9
Francs Borains
28.6
Lokeren-Temse
28.0
KRC Genk II
27.4
Patro Eisden
27.2
Deinze
26.2
Seraing United
26.1
RSC Anderlecht II
25.7
Liège
25.3
K. Lierse S.K.
25.2
SK Beveren
25.2
AS Eupen
24.7
Club Brugge II
24.0
Lommel United
23.5
Zulte Waregem
23.2
RWDM
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.4%
Under 3.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.0%
Under 21.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.43
0.93
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.20
0.14
1.14
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.80
0.71
0.71
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.88
0.50
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.62
0.93
0.57
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.64
0.71
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.90
0.71
0.57
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.90
0.57
0.86
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.03
0.75
0.94
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
1.12
0.71
0.93
0.58
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Francs Borains
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mondy Prunier36%
Alessio Curci25%
Kays Ruiz-Atil19%
Corenthyn Lavie14%
Jibril Othman12%
Adrian Troć9%
Yanis Massolin9%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Jordy Gillekens4%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Xavier Gies0%
Wilkims Ochieng0%
Louis Khoury0%
Abdoulaye Yahaya0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Matthew Healy0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Romain Donnez0%
Andrea Dacourt0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kays Ruiz-Atil57%
Romain Donnez50%
Christophe Janssens46%
Matthew Healy43%
Andrea Dacourt40%
Clement Libertiaux33%
Mateo Itrak28%
Wilkims Ochieng25%
Dorian Dessoleil24%
Mathias Francotte24%
Jordy Gillekens22%
Théo Gécé19%
Levi Malungu18%
Yanis Massolin18%
Fostave Mabani17%
Alessio Curci11%
Mondy Prunier11%
Adrian Troć9%
Xavier Gies8%
Sébastien Dewaest8%
Abdoulaye Yahaya8%
Corenthyn Lavie3%
Louis Khoury0%
Jibril Othman0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrea Dacourt20%
Kays Ruiz-Atil19%
Matthew Healy14%
Alessio Curci11%
Corenthyn Lavie10%
Mathias Francotte8%
Christophe Janssens8%
Abdoulaye Yahaya8%
Yanis Massolin5%
Fostave Mabani4%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Mondy Prunier4%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Xavier Gies0%
Wilkims Ochieng0%
Louis Khoury0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Adrian Troć0%
Romain Donnez0%
Jibril Othman0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mondy Prunier25%
Alessio Curci14%
Jordy Gillekens7%
Kays Ruiz-Atil5%
Yanis Massolin5%
Fostave Mabani4%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Corenthyn Lavie3%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Xavier Gies0%
Wilkims Ochieng0%
Louis Khoury0%
Abdoulaye Yahaya0%
Matthew Healy0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Adrian Troć0%
Romain Donnez0%
Jibril Othman0%
Andrea Dacourt0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ryan Merlen27%
Mohamed Mouhli25%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Flavio Da Silva17%
Jordan Bustin15%
Alessandro Albanese14%
Alexis Lefebvre9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio5%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Theo Pierrot5%
Benoit Bruggeman4%
Lucca Lucker4%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Antoine Lejoly0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin38%
Jonathan D'Ostilio29%
Ryan Merlen27%
Alessio Cascio25%
Flavio Da Silva22%
Stefano Marzo21%
Zakaria Atteri21%
Abian Arslan19%
Jérémie Lioka19%
Mohamed Mouhli19%
Benoit Bruggeman17%
Benjamin Lambot15%
Lucca Lucker15%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa14%
Theo Pierrot14%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Antoine Lejoly5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Alessandro Albanese0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alessio Cascio15%
Zakaria Atteri12%
Benjamin Lambot12%
Abian Arslan12%
Ryan Merlen8%
Stefano Marzo7%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Alexis Lefebvre5%
Benoit Bruggeman4%
Flavio Da Silva4%
Lucca Lucker4%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Antoine Lejoly0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Mohamed Mouhli0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Alessandro Albanese0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Mouhli38%
Benoit Bruggeman26%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Ryan Merlen23%
Flavio Da Silva13%
Benjamin Lambot8%
Abian Arslan4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Antoine Lejoly0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Alessio Cascio0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Alessandro Albanese0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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RWDM
Patro Eisden
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
SK Beveren
Club Brugge II
Lokeren-Temse
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Lommel United
RSC Anderlecht II
Seraing United
Deinze
KRC Genk II