The contest between Francs Borains and Lokeren-Temse feels razor-thin, with the model favouring an away win. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% chance. Home form shows the Borains scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.0 against similar opposition, while the Temse side averages 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded on the road. The probabilities are 29% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 40% for an away win, confirming the Temse edge. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% with a 5% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (97.0% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.6% with a 3% edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6% with a 6% edge). The match remains open, but the model’s pick remains an away victory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Francs Borains win
28.9%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.52
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.70
Dafabet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.50
Draw
30.7%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.43
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.64
Dafabet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.40
Lokeren-Temse win
40.4%
Avg Implied 36.7% · @ 2.50
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.52
10Bet
2.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Francs Borains
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.43
1.07
0.93
1.12
1.88
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
1.78
1.50
0.75
1.00
2.60
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.35
0.90
1.00
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokeren-Temse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
1.93
1.73
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.46
2.08
1.75
1.33
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.22-7.5%
Under 1.5
31.6%
@ 3.83+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.09
Unibet
3.95
10Bet
3.85
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.84
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 1.73-13.3%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 2.02+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.2%
@ 2.80-12.8%
Under 3.5
79.8%
@ 1.38+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.82
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Both teams to score
Yes
47.7%
@ 1.60-10.0%
No
52.3%
@ 2.18+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
No
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.19
Unibet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 6.11+7.4%
0-1
11.3%@ 8.72+6.4%
0-0
11.3%@ 10.77+7.3%
1-0
9.0%@ 8.74+4.1%
1-2
8.3%@ 8.36+3.2%
0-2
8.0%@ 11.78+4.4%
2-1
6.8%@ 8.54+1.8%
2-0
5.3%@ 11.81+1.7%
Francs Borains goals ↓
Lokeren-Temse goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
8.0%
3.4%
1.1%
1
9.0%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
5.3%
6.8%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.8%
2.3%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Francs Borains goals (down), columns = Lokeren-Temse goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
Francs Borains is 0.22 points worse than Lokeren-Temse in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
Francs Borains is 0.47 goals worse than Lokeren-Temse in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
Francs Borains is 0.06 goals worse than Lokeren-Temse in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Francs Borains is 8.8 percentage points worse than Lokeren-Temse in terms of average possession (45% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Francs Borains
For 4.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokeren-Temse
For 7.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Francs Borains
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.3
9.6
4.0
4.2
3.8
26.1
25.6
26.4
vs Stronger (18)
9.5
9.0
10.2
3.4
4.4
2.7
26.0
25.4
26.7
vs Similar (31)
10.1
11.0
9.4
4.5
4.1
4.9
26.1
25.8
26.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
51%
47%
55%
58%
62%
54%
79%
79%
80%
% under line
49%
53%
45%
42%
38%
46%
21%
21%
20%
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokeren-Temse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.2
12.1
3.6
3.9
3.2
28.6
29.1
27.9
vs Stronger (4)
9.0
9.0
-
3.0
6.0
0.0
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (40)
11.3
10.6
12.1
3.5
3.4
3.6
29.2
29.1
29.2
vs Weaker (6)
10.8
9.0
12.0
4.5
7.0
3.2
26.0
31.5
22.3
% over line
62%
61%
62%
50%
48%
52%
91%
89%
94%
% under line
38%
39%
38%
50%
52%
48%
9%
11%
6%
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.3
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Liège
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
27.1
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.9
Beerschot VA
24.5
Dender
21.3
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.1%
@ 1.57+4.6%
Under 9.5
36.9%
@ 2.22-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Unibet
1.61
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.21
Unibet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.1%
Under 21.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Francs Borains or Draw
59.6%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.46
Edge
-3.7%
29%
31%
40%
covers Francs Borains + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Francs Borains or Lokeren-Temse
69.3%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
-4.0%
29%
31%
40%
covers Francs Borains + Lokeren-Temse
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Draw or Lokeren-Temse
71.1%
Avg Implied 63.5% · @ 1.46
Edge
+7.6%
29%
31%
40%
covers Draw + Lokeren-Temse
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5
Over
64.5%
@ 1.24-10.1%
Under
35.5%
@ 3.64+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.87
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Francs Borains over/under 1.5
Over
27.8%
@ 2.21-14.1%
Under
72.2%
@ 1.59+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Francs Borains over/under 2.5
Over
8.7%
@ 4.83-10.4%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.14+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Francs Borains over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
@ 11.42-6.2%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5
Over
72.0%
@ 1.23-2.8%
Under
28.0%
@ 3.66+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.65
Unibet
3.65
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
@ 2.20-5.9%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.60+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Under
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
@ 4.78-5.7%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.14+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Superbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Lokeren-Temse over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 11.42-4.3%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Francs Borains, so a minus line means Francs Borains give that many goals of a start and Lokeren-Temse receive them. At -1, Francs Borains must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Francs Borains win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Francs Borains)
Francs Borains -2
3.3%
@ 9.32-6.0%
Draw -2
8.1%
@ 6.40-5.5%
Lokeren-Temse +2
88.6%
@ 1.13+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Francs Borains)
Francs Borains -1
11.4%
@ 4.89-6.9%
Draw -1
17.5%
@ 4.28-3.4%
Lokeren-Temse +1
71.1%
@ 1.47+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Draw
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Francs Borains)
Francs Borains +1
59.6%
@ 1.47-0.9%
Draw +1
21.7%
@ 4.23+0.7%
Lokeren-Temse -1
18.7%
@ 4.81+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.00
Away
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Francs Borains)
Francs Borains +2
81.3%
@ 1.13+3.9%
Draw +2
12.2%
@ 6.55-1.2%
Lokeren-Temse -2
6.5%
@ 9.47-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.36
0.43
0.25
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.78
0.50
0.25
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.80
0.30
0.50
0.30
1.10
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokeren-Temse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.80
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.67
0.75
0.83
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.32-1.4%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 3.13+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.12
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.4%
@ 2.51-5.3%
Under 1.5
68.6%
@ 1.46+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
Pinnacle
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.46
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 5.92-4.6%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.10+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.85
1xBet
5.75
Under
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.9%
@ 1.96-5.3%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.75+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.9%
@ 5.91-6.7%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.09+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 14.88-5.0%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.4%
@ 1.95-1.0%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.75+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Under
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.6%
@ 5.80-2.3%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.09+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.4%
@ 14.88-3.0%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.71
0.50
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.55
0.60
0.50
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokeren-Temse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokeren-Temse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.27
0.93
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.79
1.33
0.92
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.19-1.5%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 4.07+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
William Hil
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.5%
@ 1.95-6.0%
Under 1.5
58.5%
@ 1.76+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
William Hil
1.80
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.0%
@ 3.90-7.7%
Under 2.5
84.0%
@ 1.21+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
William Hil
3.90
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.7%
@ 1.69-7.1%
Under
52.3%
@ 2.05+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.3%
@ 4.31-6.0%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.17+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 10.50-5.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Lokeren-Temse over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.4%
@ 1.68-4.5%
Under
49.6%
@ 2.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Lokeren-Temse over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.8%
@ 4.30-5.6%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.17+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Lokeren-Temse over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
@ 10.38-5.6%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+6.2%
Under 5.5
97.0%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
-
-
+6.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.8%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+4.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.5%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
+9.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
91.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+10.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
+6.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.10
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+4.6%
Away +2 handicap
88.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+11.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+2.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+5.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+6.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.2%
1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+5.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.18
+7.7%
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
81.3%
1.13
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+3.9%
Under 3.5
79.8%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
+12.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.9%
1.19
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-1.5%
Over 8.5 corners
74.5%
1.31
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+5.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
72.2%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
+14.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
72.0%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
-2.8%
Draw or Away
71.1%
1.46
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
+7.6%
Away +1 handicap
71.1%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
-
+10.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Francs Borains · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Lima26%
Arsène Wukanya25%
Yanis Hadjem18%
Mondy Prunier17%
Massimo Bruno13%
Philipp Wydra10%
Levi Malungu10%
Aboubacar Ali Abdallah10%
Jordy Soladio8%
Corenthyn Lavie8%
Mathias Francotte8%
Maxime Bastian8%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Hossni Soye Ndime0%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Mathias Fixelles0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kays Ruiz-Atil0%
Yannick Pandor0%
Noah Diliberto0%
Yannis Kari0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Théo Gécé0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Jovan Mituljikić0%
Jason Dalle Molle0%
Victor Swinnen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathias Fixelles44%
Jason Dalle Molle32%
Levi Malungu30%
Massimo Bruno26%
Sébastien Dewaest25%
Mathias Francotte20%
Philipp Wydra20%
Victor Swinnen20%
Yanis Hadjem18%
Jordy Soladio17%
Théo Gécé17%
Corenthyn Lavie16%
Maxime Bastian16%
Lukas Mondele16%
Yannis Kari14%
Yannick Pandor10%
Noah Diliberto10%
Aboubacar Ali Abdallah10%
Jovan Mituljikić9%
Dorian Dessoleil8%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Hossni Soye Ndime0%
Kays Ruiz-Atil0%
Lucas Lima0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Arsène Wukanya0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sébastien Dewaest12%
Dorian Dessoleil12%
Philipp Wydra10%
Aboubacar Ali Abdallah10%
Massimo Bruno9%
Jordy Soladio8%
Corenthyn Lavie8%
Mathias Francotte8%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Lucas Lima5%
Noah Diliberto5%
Jason Dalle Molle5%
Maxime Bastian4%
Hossni Soye Ndime0%
Mathias Fixelles0%
Kays Ruiz-Atil0%
Yannick Pandor0%
Yanis Hadjem0%
Yannis Kari0%
Levi Malungu0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Théo Gécé0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Jovan Mituljikić0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Victor Swinnen0%
Arsène Wukanya0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Corenthyn Lavie20%
Massimo Bruno17%
Aboubacar Ali Abdallah10%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Lucas Lima5%
Mathias Francotte4%
Maxime Bastian4%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Hossni Soye Ndime0%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Mathias Fixelles0%
Jordy Soladio0%
Kays Ruiz-Atil0%
Yannick Pandor0%
Yanis Hadjem0%
Noah Diliberto0%
Philipp Wydra0%
Yannis Kari0%
Levi Malungu0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Théo Gécé0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Jovan Mituljikić0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Jason Dalle Molle0%
Victor Swinnen0%
Arsène Wukanya0%
Lokeren-Temse · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vancy Mabanza78%
Radja Nainggolan44%
Mohamed Soumaré29%
Sumaila Wasiu25%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sebastiaan Brebels11%
Sam Van Aerschot10%
Toon Janssen10%
Jordi Palacios8%
Rune Van Den Bergh8%
Indy Boonen6%
Iñaki Elejalde5%
Diego Camara5%
Tom Boere0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Naïm Boujouh0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Jeovanni Dianganga0%
Tein Troost0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
Matias Lloci0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeovanni Dianganga46%
Toon Janssen45%
Diego Camara35%
Jarno Vervaque29%
Maxime Pau29%
Sumaila Wasiu25%
Naïm Boujouh23%
Rune Van Den Bergh23%
Vancy Mabanza22%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sam Van Aerschot20%
Mohamed Soumaré19%
Sebastiaan Brebels16%
Matias Lloci16%
Jonas Vinck14%
Radja Nainggolan11%
Jordi Palacios8%
Andreas Spegelaere8%
Tein Troost8%
Iñaki Elejalde5%
Indy Boonen0%
Tom Boere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Soumaré24%
Toon Janssen20%
Sebastiaan Brebels16%
Jonas Vinck14%
Anisse Brrou13%
Jordi Palacios12%
Radja Nainggolan11%
Andreas Spegelaere8%
Naïm Boujouh8%
Jeovanni Dianganga8%
Rune Van Den Bergh8%
Tom Boere6%
Matias Lloci5%
Indy Boonen0%
Sam Van Aerschot0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Iñaki Elejalde0%
Diego Camara0%
Tein Troost0%
Sumaila Wasiu0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Vancy Mabanza0%
Yben Baert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vancy Mabanza56%
Radja Nainggolan33%
Anisse Brrou22%
Sumaila Wasiu12%
Iñaki Elejalde11%
Jordi Palacios8%
Matias Lloci5%
Sam Van Aerschot5%
Mohamed Soumaré5%
Indy Boonen0%
Sebastiaan Brebels0%
Tom Boere0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Naïm Boujouh0%
Jarno Vervaque0%
Maxime Pau0%
Diego Camara0%
Jeovanni Dianganga0%
Toon Janssen0%
Tein Troost0%
Rune Van Den Bergh0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Alama Bayo0%
Simon Vervacke0%
Yben Baert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
Francs Borains and Lokeren-Temse have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
Francs Borains and Lokeren-Temse have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
Francs Borains and Lokeren-Temse have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
Francs Borains and Lokeren-Temse have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Beerschot VA
Excelsior Virton
Club Brugge II
Dender
Sporting Hasselt
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Liège
Patro Eisden
KRC Genk II
KAA Gent II
Seraing United
RSC Anderlecht II