This opponent (RWDM) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RWDM
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.83
1.44
1.56
1.36
2.14
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
3.57
0.33
4.33
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.61
1.30
1.69
0.92
1.50
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.7%
0-1
10.0%
1-2 ✓
9.9%
0-3
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
Francs Borains goals ↓
RWDM goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
10%
11%
6.9%
3.4%
1
4.3%
11%
9.9%
6.4%
3.1%
2
2.4%
4.7%
4.6%
3.0%
1.4%
3
0.8%
1.5%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Francs Borains goals (down), columns = RWDM goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RAAL La Louvière
2.14
Zulte Waregem
2.07
RWDM
2.03
Patro Eisden
1.88
SK Beveren
1.65
Club Brugge II
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.39
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
Deinze
1.29
Liège
1.28
AS Eupen
1.07
Francs Borains
1.07
Lommel United
1.03
RSC Anderlecht II
0.79
Seraing United
0.76
KRC Genk II
0.48
Francs Borains is 0.96 points worse than RWDM in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 2.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zulte Waregem
1.97
Patro Eisden
1.88
RAAL La Louvière
1.79
Club Brugge II
1.59
RWDM
1.55
SK Beveren
1.45
RSC Anderlecht II
1.45
Liège
1.41
K. Lierse S.K.
1.38
AS Eupen
1.36
Deinze
1.29
Lokeren-Temse
1.15
Lommel United
1.14
Francs Borains
1.10
KRC Genk II
1.03
Seraing United
1.00
Francs Borains is 0.44 goals worse than RWDM in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RAAL La Louvière
0.86
RWDM
0.87
Patro Eisden
1.03
Zulte Waregem
1.10
SK Beveren
1.13
K. Lierse S.K.
1.24
Lokeren-Temse
1.24
Club Brugge II
1.28
Deinze
1.43
Liège
1.52
Lommel United
1.62
AS Eupen
1.68
Francs Borains
1.72
Seraing United
1.90
RSC Anderlecht II
2.00
KRC Genk II
2.17
Francs Borains is 0.85 goals worse than RWDM in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 0.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge II
57%
Lommel United
57%
Zulte Waregem
56%
RWDM
56%
Deinze
54%
SK Beveren
54%
KRC Genk II
52%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
50%
Lokeren-Temse
49%
Francs Borains
48%
Seraing United
44%
Liège
43%
RAAL La Louvière
42%
Patro Eisden
38%
Francs Borains is 7.4 percentage points worse than RWDM in terms of average possession (48% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Francs Borains
For 3.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 15.6 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RWDM
For 5.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Francs Borains
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
10.3
10.9
9.8
4.6
4.7
4.6
28.1
29.4
26.9
vs Stronger (12)
10.1
10.8
8.7
4.7
5.5
3.8
30.4
33.0
25.3
vs Similar (24)
10.4
11.0
10.0
4.6
4.3
4.9
27.0
26.8
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
64%
50%
75%
76%
74%
87%
79%
94%
% under line
43%
36%
50%
25%
24%
26%
13%
21%
6%
This opponent (RWDM) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RWDM
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
8.8
11.6
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.5
22.1
23.0
vs Stronger (12)
9.4
8.7
10.2
3.4
3.5
3.3
21.2
21.0
21.5
vs Similar (38)
10.5
8.9
12.1
2.9
2.9
2.9
23.1
22.5
23.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
40%
70%
54%
54%
54%
55%
55%
55%
% under line
45%
60%
30%
46%
46%
46%
45%
45%
45%
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
11.8
Liège
11.7
KRC Genk II
10.9
Seraing United
10.9
Deinze
10.7
K. Lierse S.K.
10.5
SK Beveren
10.3
Zulte Waregem
10.3
Francs Borains
10.3
RWDM
10.2
Club Brugge II
9.7
AS Eupen
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.7
Patro Eisden
9.5
Lommel United
9.4
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.2
KRC Genk II
5.9
RAAL La Louvière
5.8
Liège
5.6
Francs Borains
5.6
Patro Eisden
5.4
RSC Anderlecht II
5.3
K. Lierse S.K.
5.2
Seraing United
5.1
Lommel United
5.0
Deinze
4.7
SK Beveren
4.3
Zulte Waregem
4.2
Club Brugge II
4.1
AS Eupen
3.9
RWDM
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
RAAL La Louvière
33.2
Francs Borains
28.1
Lokeren-Temse
27.6
KRC Genk II
27.5
Patro Eisden
26.7
RSC Anderlecht II
25.9
Seraing United
25.9
Deinze
25.7
Liège
25.3
K. Lierse S.K.
25.0
SK Beveren
24.9
AS Eupen
24.5
Club Brugge II
23.8
Lommel United
23.6
Zulte Waregem
23.2
RWDM
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.36
0.86
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
1.22
0.00
1.17
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.71
0.62
0.62
0.77
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RWDM
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.03
0.56
1.19
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
2.14
0.00
3.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.70
0.69
0.77
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.64
0.79
0.62
0.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.89
0.83
0.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.86
0.50
1.00
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RWDM
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.88
0.38
0.79
1.29
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.43
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.61
1.00
0.15
0.90
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Francs Borains
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mondy Prunier36%
Alessio Curci25%
Kays Ruiz-Atil19%
Corenthyn Lavie14%
Jibril Othman12%
Adrian Troć9%
Yanis Massolin9%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Jordy Gillekens4%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Xavier Gies0%
Wilkims Ochieng0%
Louis Khoury0%
Abdoulaye Yahaya0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Matthew Healy0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Romain Donnez0%
Andrea Dacourt0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kays Ruiz-Atil57%
Romain Donnez50%
Christophe Janssens46%
Matthew Healy43%
Andrea Dacourt40%
Clement Libertiaux33%
Mateo Itrak28%
Wilkims Ochieng25%
Dorian Dessoleil24%
Mathias Francotte24%
Jordy Gillekens22%
Théo Gécé19%
Levi Malungu18%
Yanis Massolin18%
Fostave Mabani17%
Alessio Curci11%
Mondy Prunier11%
Adrian Troć9%
Xavier Gies8%
Sébastien Dewaest8%
Abdoulaye Yahaya8%
Corenthyn Lavie3%
Louis Khoury0%
Jibril Othman0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrea Dacourt20%
Kays Ruiz-Atil19%
Matthew Healy14%
Alessio Curci11%
Corenthyn Lavie10%
Mathias Francotte8%
Christophe Janssens8%
Abdoulaye Yahaya8%
Yanis Massolin5%
Fostave Mabani4%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Mondy Prunier4%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Xavier Gies0%
Wilkims Ochieng0%
Louis Khoury0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Adrian Troć0%
Romain Donnez0%
Jibril Othman0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mondy Prunier25%
Alessio Curci14%
Jordy Gillekens7%
Kays Ruiz-Atil5%
Yanis Massolin5%
Fostave Mabani4%
Dorian Dessoleil4%
Corenthyn Lavie3%
Sébastien Dewaest0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Xavier Gies0%
Wilkims Ochieng0%
Louis Khoury0%
Abdoulaye Yahaya0%
Matthew Healy0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Adrian Troć0%
Romain Donnez0%
Jibril Othman0%
Andrea Dacourt0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Maxime Alami0%
RWDM
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mickaël Biron45%
Gaëtan Robail29%
Ilyes Ziani27%
Aïman Maurer22%
Piotr Parzyszek21%
Kwasi Poku14%
Pjotr Kestens14%
Soufiane Benjdida10%
Christ Makosso8%
Shuto Abe7%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni7%
Achraf Laaziri4%
David Sousa4%
Islamdine Halifa4%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Alexis De Sart0%
Jacob Montes0%
Del Piage0%
Mohamed El Arouch0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Sapata0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Ibrahim Halilou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christ Makosso38%
Mickaël Biron36%
Ibrahim Halilou33%
Mats Lemmens29%
Mohamed El Arouch25%
Islamdine Halifa25%
Jacob Montes22%
Aïman Maurer22%
Shuto Abe21%
Ilyes Ziani19%
Achraf Laaziri19%
David Sousa18%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni17%
Djovkar Doudaev14%
Del Piage14%
Gaëtan Robail12%
Sapata10%
Alexis De Sart9%
Pjotr Kestens9%
Piotr Parzyszek7%
Noah Dodeigne5%
Bill Lathouwers4%
Soufiane Benjdida0%
Kwasi Poku0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed El Arouch25%
Ilyes Ziani23%
Achraf Laaziri22%
Piotr Parzyszek17%
Noah Dodeigne14%
Gaëtan Robail12%
Aïman Maurer11%
Islamdine Halifa11%
Sapata10%
David Sousa7%
Shuto Abe4%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni3%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Alexis De Sart0%
Mickaël Biron0%
Jacob Montes0%
Del Piage0%
Pjotr Kestens0%
Soufiane Benjdida0%
Kwasi Poku0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Christ Makosso0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Ibrahim Halilou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mickaël Biron45%
Piotr Parzyszek31%
Soufiane Benjdida20%
Achraf Laaziri15%
Kwasi Poku14%
Ilyes Ziani12%
Aïman Maurer11%
Shuto Abe7%
Gaëtan Robail6%
Pjotr Kestens5%
Islamdine Halifa4%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni3%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Alexis De Sart0%
Jacob Montes0%
David Sousa0%
Del Piage0%
Mohamed El Arouch0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Christ Makosso0%
Sapata0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Xavier Preijs0%
Ibrahim Halilou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
AE (26)
€12m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
RWD (7)
€2m
Francs Borains's squad is €2m more valuable than RWDM's (€4m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
AE (9)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
PE (7)
€1m
RWD (2)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
Francs Borains and RWDM have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
RLL (7)
€6m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
RWD (1)
€0m
Francs Borains and RWDM have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
RWD (4)
€1m
Francs Borains's defence is €1m more valuable than RWDM's (€2m vs €1m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →