This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.33
1.13
0.73
1.67
1.93
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.41
1.44
1.23
0.77
1.57
2.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.6%
@ 2.43+18.8%
Under 2.5
42.4%
@ 1.54-18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
2-2 ✓
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
Fuenlabrada goals ↓
Mirandes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
5.2%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
1
7.6%
12%
6.8%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.5%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.4%
5.5%
3.5%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.9%
2.4%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fuenlabrada goals (down), columns = Mirandes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Huesca
1.67
Cadiz
1.64
Zaragoza
1.55
Almeria
1.52
Girona
1.50
Elche
1.45
Fuenlabrada
1.43
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Alcorcon
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Mirandes
1.33
Tenerife
1.31
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Lugo
1.24
Albacete
1.24
Deportivo La Coruna
1.21
Ponferradina
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Extremadura UD
1.02
Racing Santander
0.79
Fuenlabrada is 0.10 points better than Mirandes in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.48
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Zaragoza
1.40
Huesca
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Alcorcon
1.24
Elche
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Cadiz
1.19
Las Palmas
1.17
Oviedo
1.17
Girona
1.14
Fuenlabrada
1.12
Numancia
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Deportivo La Coruna
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Albacete
0.86
Malaga
0.83
Fuenlabrada is 0.19 goals worse than Mirandes in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Malaga
0.79
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Cadiz
0.93
Fuenlabrada
0.95
Huesca
1.00
Girona
1.02
Almeria
1.02
Elche
1.05
Tenerife
1.10
Las Palmas
1.10
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Ponferradina
1.19
Numancia
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Lugo
1.29
Racing Santander
1.33
Extremadura UD
1.40
Mirandes
1.40
Deportivo La Coruna
1.43
Fuenlabrada is 0.45 goals better than Mirandes in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
F
Fuenlabrada
For 2.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 17.2 · Total 34.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mirandes
For 4.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
F
Fuenlabrada
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
7.8
6.8
8.7
6.4
6.6
6.3
33.2
32.7
33.6
vs Stronger (20)
7.6
6.7
8.5
6.7
7.1
6.2
34.5
33.2
35.9
vs Similar (17)
8.1
7.0
9.0
6.2
5.9
6.4
31.5
32.1
31.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
22%
42%
92%
89%
95%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
68%
78%
58%
8%
11%
5%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
9.9
3.9
4.4
3.3
29.6
29.9
29.2
vs Stronger (5)
10.8
11.5
10.0
3.2
3.5
3.0
33.5
35.0
32.0
vs Similar (44)
9.6
9.3
9.9
4.0
4.7
3.4
29.1
29.4
28.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
53%
61%
52%
60%
44%
95%
95%
94%
% under line
43%
47%
39%
48%
40%
56%
5%
5%
6%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
10.7
Extremadura UD
10.0
Cadiz
9.8
Deportivo La Coruna
9.8
Mirandes
9.7
Numancia
9.7
Elche
9.6
Malaga
9.5
Oviedo
9.5
Sporting Gijon
9.3
Huesca
9.2
Zaragoza
9.2
Rayo Vallecano
9.2
Las Palmas
9.2
Racing Santander
9.1
Alcorcon
9.0
Albacete
8.9
Almeria
8.9
Tenerife
8.5
Ponferradina
8.2
Girona
7.9
Fuenlabrada
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Albacete
6.6
Alcorcon
6.6
Fuenlabrada
6.4
Las Palmas
6.4
Racing Santander
6.2
Oviedo
6.1
Elche
6.0
Tenerife
6.0
Ponferradina
6.0
Girona
6.0
Malaga
5.9
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Sporting Gijon
5.9
Cadiz
5.8
Numancia
5.7
Huesca
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Lugo
5.4
Extremadura UD
5.4
Mirandes
5.2
Zaragoza
5.1
Deportivo La Coruna
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
34.2
Albacete
34.2
Oviedo
33.8
Alcorcon
33.2
Fuenlabrada
33.2
Ponferradina
32.9
Elche
32.9
Sporting Gijon
32.6
Almeria
32.0
Las Palmas
31.8
Rayo Vallecano
31.3
Girona
31.2
Huesca
31.0
Cadiz
31.0
Numancia
30.8
Extremadura UD
30.8
Tenerife
30.4
Malaga
30.2
Lugo
29.8
Deportivo La Coruna
29.7
Mirandes
29.6
Zaragoza
27.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
29.3%
Under 9.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.9%
Under 3.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.3%
Under 21.5
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.43
0.47
0.33
0.13
0.53
vs Stronger (17)
0.24
0.18
0.25
0.12
0.22
0.22
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.77
0.71
0.57
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.59
0.62
0.46
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.73
0.60
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
0.53
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.56
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.46
0.71
0.71
1.00
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mirandes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.60
0.33
1.13
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.85
0.62
0.31
1.07
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mirandes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlos Fernández37%
Unax Del Cura31%
Javier Hernández29%
Pablo López Gómez25%
Adrián Pica25%
Gonzalo Petit21%
Nikola Maraš14%
Rafael Bauzà11%
Ismael Barea9%
Iker Varela6%
Fernando Medrano6%
Álex Cardero6%
Alberto Mari5%
Salim El Jebari3%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Martín Pascual0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Juan Palomares0%
Pablo Pérez0%
Igor Nikić0%
Marino Illescas0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Diego Sia0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Siren Diao0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Thiago Helguera0%
Iker Cordoba0%
Ali Houary0%
Aarón Martín0%
Toni Tamarit0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Gutiérrez36%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda33%
Javier Hernández33%
Rafael Bauzà32%
Iker Cordoba30%
Fernando Medrano30%
Nikola Maraš29%
Marino Illescas27%
Ismael Barea27%
Martín Pascual26%
Carlos Fernández26%
Sergio Postigo25%
Adrián Pica25%
Adrián Pica25%
Álex Cardero24%
Selvi Clúa23%
Alberto Mari21%
Juan Palomares19%
Pablo Pérez19%
Hugo Novoa Ramos17%
Unax Del Cura15%
Siren Diao14%
Ali Houary13%
Iker Varela12%
Salim El Jebari9%
Jorge Cabello9%
Thiago Helguera9%
Aarón Martín6%
Toni Tamarit3%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Igor Nikić0%
Diego Sia0%
Pablo López Gómez0%
Gonzalo Petit0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Unax Del Cura15%
Javier Hernández14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Alberto Mari11%
Hugo Novoa Ramos10%
Fernando Medrano9%
Marino Illescas9%
Martín Pascual9%
Rafael Bauzà8%
Pablo Pérez7%
Ali Houary7%
Toni Tamarit6%
Álex Cardero6%
Carlos Fernández6%
Gonzalo Petit5%
Thiago Helguera3%
Juan Gutiérrez3%
Nikola Maraš0%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Juan Palomares0%
Igor Nikić0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Iker Varela0%
Diego Sia0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Pablo López Gómez0%
Siren Diao0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Iker Cordoba0%
Ismael Barea0%
Aarón Martín0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Javier Hernández33%
Pablo López Gómez25%
Unax Del Cura23%
Alberto Mari21%
Carlos Fernández14%
Siren Diao14%
Sergio Postigo12%
Martín Pascual9%
Rafael Bauzà8%
Selvi Clúa8%
Iker Varela6%
Álex Cardero6%
Nikola Maraš0%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Fernando Medrano0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Juan Palomares0%
Pablo Pérez0%
Igor Nikić0%
Marino Illescas0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Diego Sia0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Thiago Helguera0%
Gonzalo Petit0%
Iker Cordoba0%
Ali Houary0%
Ismael Barea0%
Aarón Martín0%
Toni Tamarit0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →