This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.10
1.47
1.07
0.93
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.40
1.20
1.50
1.00
1.30
1.40
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.90
1.40
1.20
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.2%
Under 1.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.3%
@ 2.74-8.9%
Under 2.5
74.7%
@ 1.42+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
9.9%
Under 3.5
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
34.9%
No
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.9%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
Fuenlabrada goals ↓
Oviedo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
13%
5.7%
1.5%
0.3%
1
15%
15%
5.3%
1.4%
0.3%
2
7.6%
6.1%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
3
2.4%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fuenlabrada goals (down), columns = Oviedo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Fuenlabrada is 0.05 points better than Oviedo in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Fuenlabrada and Oviedo are level in goals scored per game (both 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Fuenlabrada and Oviedo are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
F
Fuenlabrada
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 16.5 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
For 4.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
F
Fuenlabrada
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.0
8.6
6.7
6.8
6.6
33.5
33.1
33.8
vs Stronger (29)
8.5
8.1
8.8
6.9
7.4
6.6
32.9
31.9
33.6
vs Similar (21)
8.0
7.8
8.4
6.3
6.2
6.6
34.3
34.2
34.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
36%
40%
92%
92%
92%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
62%
64%
60%
8%
8%
8%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.3
8.0
5.7
5.3
6.1
30.8
30.9
30.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
8.1
8.4
7.8
5.7
4.9
6.5
29.9
29.4
30.5
vs Weaker (18)
8.4
8.3
8.4
5.7
6.0
5.4
32.3
33.8
30.9
% over line
38%
42%
33%
82%
81%
83%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
62%
58%
67%
18%
19%
17%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Mallorca
9.3
Lugo
9.2
Sabadell
9.0
Mirandes
8.9
Albacete
8.8
Zaragoza
8.8
Espanyol
8.8
Logrones
8.6
Alcorcon
8.5
Sporting Gijon
8.4
Rayo Vallecano
8.3
Girona
8.3
Fuenlabrada
8.3
Las Palmas
8.3
Oviedo
8.2
Tenerife
8.2
FC Cartagena
8.2
Ponferradina
8.0
Malaga
7.8
Leganes
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.7
FC Cartagena
6.1
Albacete
6.1
Rayo Vallecano
6.0
Leganes
5.8
Las Palmas
5.8
Oviedo
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Mallorca
5.6
Girona
5.5
Ponferradina
5.5
Malaga
5.5
Lugo
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Espanyol
5.2
Alcorcon
5.2
Zaragoza
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Sabadell
4.8
Castellón
4.6
Logrones
4.5
Sporting Gijon
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Cartagena
34.1
Fuenlabrada
33.5
Rayo Vallecano
33.4
Girona
32.4
Logrones
31.6
Las Palmas
31.5
Alcorcon
31.2
Malaga
31.0
Albacete
31.0
Tenerife
30.8
Oviedo
30.8
Ponferradina
30.6
Leganes
30.5
Almeria
30.1
Mirandes
28.9
Sabadell
28.8
Mallorca
28.8
Lugo
28.4
Espanyol
27.9
Zaragoza
27.8
Castellón
27.5
Sporting Gijon
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
32.9%
Under 9.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.8%
Under 3.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.4%
Under 21.5
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.30
0.13
0.13
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (18)
0.39
0.44
0.14
0.29
0.55
0.55
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.08
0.12
0.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.67
0.33
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.70
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
0.30
0.30
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (18)
0.72
0.83
0.86
0.57
0.64
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.58
0.75
0.62
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.80
0.73
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
74.7%
1.42
-
-
-
-
-
+8.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oviedo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →