This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.27
1.07
1.33
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.67
1.22
0.50
1.38
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
1.36
1.67
1.33
1.00
1.40
Clean sheet %
10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.9%
Under 1.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.6%
@ 2.18-6.6%
Under 2.5
63.4%
@ 1.66+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0 ✓
12.9%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
Fuenlabrada goals ↓
Sporting Gijon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
12%
7.2%
2.7%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.3%
7.0%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.2%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fuenlabrada goals (down), columns = Sporting Gijon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Fuenlabrada is 0.31 points worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of average points per game (0.79 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Fuenlabrada is 0.10 goals worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Fuenlabrada is 0.40 goals worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
F
Fuenlabrada
For 5.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
For 4.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
F
Fuenlabrada
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.6
5.9
6.2
5.7
29.7
30.2
29.2
vs Stronger (25)
10.7
10.5
10.9
6.3
6.5
6.1
30.3
30.9
29.6
vs Similar (25)
9.6
10.9
8.5
5.6
5.8
5.4
29.1
29.3
28.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
72%
72%
72%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
28%
28%
28%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.9
9.6
4.8
4.6
4.9
24.0
24.0
23.9
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
14.0
9.5
2.3
2.0
2.5
18.7
9.0
23.5
vs Similar (32)
9.0
8.8
9.2
4.9
4.5
5.4
24.4
23.8
25.0
vs Weaker (15)
9.3
8.5
10.3
4.9
5.1
4.6
24.2
26.5
21.6
% over line
40%
40%
40%
70%
68%
72%
66%
64%
68%
% under line
60%
60%
60%
30%
32%
28%
34%
36%
32%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fuenlabrada
10.2
Huesca
9.9
Ibiza
9.8
Mirandes
9.6
Valladolid
9.6
Zaragoza
9.5
Amorebieta
9.5
Eibar
9.4
Burgos
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Ponferradina
9.0
Almeria
9.0
Real Sociedad II
8.9
Tenerife
8.8
Las Palmas
8.7
Oviedo
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.6
Alcorcon
8.4
Leganes
8.3
Girona
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
5.9
Girona
5.6
Las Palmas
5.6
Malaga
5.5
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.3
Oviedo
5.2
Almeria
5.2
Valladolid
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.1
Huesca
4.9
Mirandes
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Leganes
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Ponferradina
4.6
Alcorcon
4.6
Real Sociedad II
4.3
Amorebieta
4.2
Eibar
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
30.6
Leganes
30.1
Fuenlabrada
29.7
FC Cartagena
29.1
Ibiza
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Huesca
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.6
Alcorcon
27.4
Oviedo
27.3
Valladolid
27.0
Girona
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Amorebieta
25.9
Almeria
25.6
Mirandes
25.5
Ponferradina
24.7
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.1
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Real Sociedad II
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.2%
Under 9.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.2%
Under 3.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.1%
Under 21.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.53
0.33
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (18)
0.28
0.67
0.12
0.25
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.43
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.27
0.67
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.22
0.33
0.00
0.38
0.40
0.30
vs Weaker (11)
0.27
0.91
0.33
1.00
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.07
0.53
1.00
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (18)
0.50
0.89
0.75
0.62
0.30
1.10
vs Similar (12)
0.50
1.33
0.29
1.43
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.89
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.45
1.33
0.33
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →